NBA · resolved market
NBA Summer League: Detroit Pistons vs. Cleveland Cavaliers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x60cb3196c77fadab5181a5599ea7bcded471a2f56e1b6f9fd3dcfab48c370244
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Detroit Pistonsof Detroit Pistons, Cleveland Cavaliers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,183
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,153
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,183 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Cleveland Cavaliers | 0c | 6,954$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.54 | 550 | 2.5%14 W · 536 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54ce…9f80backed Cleveland Cavaliers | 57c | 3,342$1,921 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,921.37 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -24%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Cleveland Cavaliers | 1c | 2,594$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.77 | 750 | 2%15 W · 735 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc308…7b09backed Cleveland Cavaliers | 3c | 2,170$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.79 | 312 | 22.1%69 W · 243 L | +14.9wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | +79.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Cleveland Cavaliers | 53c | 1,366$731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$730.5 | 111 | 45.9%51 W · 60 L | +7.7wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…9b4dbacked Cleveland Cavaliers | 16c | 1,299$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.39 | 134 | 42.5%57 W · 77 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe77…8fe4backed Detroit Pistons | 44c | 1,185$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660.39 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Cleveland Cavaliers | 52c | 1,080$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.71 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeef6…cd4cbacked Detroit Pistons | 48c | 989.95$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.77 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked Cleveland Cavaliers | 53c | 901.95$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.03 | 216 | 53.7%116 W · 100 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c73…750abacked Cleveland Cavaliers | 27c | 899.98$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.99 | 49 | 34.7%17 W · 32 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe53f…62d7backed Cleveland Cavaliers | 31c | 777.44$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.44 | 128 | 46.9%60 W · 68 L | +13.3wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Detroit Pistons | 64c | 710.21$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.4 | 227 | 53.3%121 W · 106 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26eb…5369backed Detroit Pistons | 76c | 652.12$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.56 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Detroit Pistons | 74c | 604.29$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.57 | 107 | 61.7%66 W · 41 L | +8.4wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x90eb…0374backed Cleveland Cavaliers | 28c | 524.89$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.4 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Detroit Pistons | 70c | 510$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.06 | 111 | 60.4%67 W · 44 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fec…b125backed Cleveland Cavaliers | 31c | 452.59$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.47 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Detroit Pistons | 43c | 428.68$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.48 | 323 | 51.1%165 W · 158 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Detroit Pistons | 67c | 301.55$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.89 | 86 | 54.7%47 W · 39 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Detroit Pistons | 46c | 253.01$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.4 | 259 | 54.4%141 W · 118 L | +34.1wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +68.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Detroit Pistons | 42c | 226$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.08 | 373 | 55%205 W · 168 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf990…88bcbacked Detroit Pistons | 44c | 200$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa54d…deb8backed Cleveland Cavaliers | 55c | 181.66$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 112 | 42%47 W · 65 L | -13.8wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Detroit Pistons | 71c | 153.71$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.07 | 521 | 50.9%265 W · 256 L | +18.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd360…2eabbacked Cleveland Cavaliers | 32c | 144.22$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Cleveland Cavaliers | 53c | 131.47$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.68 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Detroit Pistons | 49c | 128.9$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.49 | 333 | 56.2%187 W · 146 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Cleveland Cavaliers | 27c | 126.65$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.24 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7bb…2753backed Cleveland Cavaliers | 58c | 112.07$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -4.8wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Cleveland Cavaliers | 29c | 102.14$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.42 | 249 | 37.3%93 W · 156 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -35%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Cleveland Cavaliers | 52c | 95.61$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.72 | 1,084 | 50%542 W · 542 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a21…6a2ebacked Cleveland Cavaliers | 36c | 95.27$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -2.8wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8766…4171backed Detroit Pistons | 69c | 92.51$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.3 | 21 | 76.2%16 W · 5 L | +4.3wins | +0.20per pick | 56cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Cleveland Cavaliers | 49c | 92.5$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.24 | 195 | 48.2%94 W · 101 L | +12.4wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed Detroit Pistons | 50c | 91$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.5 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd1e…4754backed Cleveland Cavaliers | 38c | 82.53$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.22 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed Cleveland Cavaliers | 48c | 82.5$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.62 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Cleveland Cavaliers | 51c | 78$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.78 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Detroit Pistons | 44c | 70.45$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.19 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -2.9wins | -0.17per pick | 58cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa5bd…226cbacked Cleveland Cavaliers | 27c | 69$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.63 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Cleveland Cavaliers | 57c | 66.54$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.07 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Detroit Pistons | 55c | 66.16$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.73 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff24…437bbacked Detroit Pistons | 62c | 63.39$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.39 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d7c…a9b9backed Detroit Pistons | 53c | 62.26$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.26 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Cleveland Cavaliers | 31c | 58.8$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.08 | 50 | 76%38 W · 12 L | +8.5wins | +0.17per pick | 59cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x663e…9cf0backed Cleveland Cavaliers | 34c | 58.38$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.66 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c3…a6e8backed Cleveland Cavaliers | 30c | 55$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.3 | 201 | 44.8%90 W · 111 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f1…23eebacked Detroit Pistons | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x237f…e76ebacked Detroit Pistons | 47c | 46.64$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.64 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1052…c340backed Detroit Pistons | 55c | 45.55$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.55 | 97 | 46.4%45 W · 52 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x999a…9a25backed Cleveland Cavaliers | 31c | 39.03$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.93 | 27 | 81.5%22 W · 5 L | +5.9wins | +0.22per pick | 60cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Cleveland Cavaliers | 48c | 34.85$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.73 | 331 | 50.8%168 W · 163 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…c4b2backed Cleveland Cavaliers | 60c | 33.42$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x657c…66a3backed Detroit Pistons | 46c | 32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.28 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 45cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27bd…5452backed Detroit Pistons | 63c | 30.3$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.18 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Detroit Pistons | 72c | 29.84$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.42 | 1,200 | 51.6%619 W · 581 L | +66.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe4b6…a582backed Detroit Pistons | 47c | 25.74$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.74 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…91f4backed Detroit Pistons | 60c | 24$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0c…47eabacked Detroit Pistons | 52c | 20.89$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.01 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.