Tennis · resolved market
Roehampton 2: Oscar Weightman vs Alec Deckers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x61ec0c890a9daf50bfa8b99f62a611375cc4b6d6dd44be6ca7eda76f25f197ee
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Alec Deckersof Oscar Weightman, Alec Deckers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,995
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,272
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,995 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Oscar Weightman | 27c | 1,385$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.01 | 3,068 | 57.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L | +173.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbbbe…ae0ebacked Oscar Weightman | 23c | 988$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.5 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Alec Deckers | 51c | 818.49$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.06 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26eb…5369backed Alec Deckers | 78c | 589.47$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.68 | 137 | 54%74 W · 63 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Oscar Weightman | 49c | 566.05$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.88 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x55b9…a814backed Oscar Weightman | 10c | 495.89$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.64 | 369 | 46.9%173 W · 196 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb524…0808backed Alec Deckers | 64c | 399.99$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 156 | 57.1%89 W · 67 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Alec Deckers | 78c | 338.68$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.44 | 2,766 | 47.7%1,318 W · 1,448 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Oscar Weightman | 23c | 262.3$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.84 | 1,308 | 38.9%509 W · 799 L | -23.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed2f…5e19backed Alec Deckers | 53c | 250$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.5 | 107 | 61.7%66 W · 41 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e0e…1cebbacked Oscar Weightman | 21c | 238.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 209 | 39.7%83 W · 126 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Alec Deckers | 75c | 199.25$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.71 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Oscar Weightman | 34c | 191.91$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.56 | 1,959 | 43.7%857 W · 1,102 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6d…f2b4backed Alec Deckers | 52c | 190$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.3 | 470 | 58.5%275 W · 195 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Oscar Weightman | 48c | 185.58$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.08 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4eb2…1bfcbacked Alec Deckers | 75c | 141.31$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.33 | 280 | 55.4%155 W · 125 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Oscar Weightman | 24c | 138.25$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.86 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Alec Deckers | 79c | 95.81$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.11 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0df7…1ec1backed Oscar Weightman | 41c | 82$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.42 | 1,853 | 57.7%1,069 W · 784 L | +106.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…0a73backed Alec Deckers | 75c | 66.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 940 | 58.4%549 W · 391 L | +21.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Alec Deckers | 77c | 63$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.51 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5513…de2abacked Alec Deckers | 69c | 62.09$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.39 | 788 | 38.2%301 W · 487 L | -15.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5317…9a3bbacked Oscar Weightman | 19c | 60.2$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.15 | 105 | 43.8%46 W · 59 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x762d…45a6backed Oscar Weightman | 37c | 51.35$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 190 | 41.6%79 W · 111 L | -16.7wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd7…1735backed Alec Deckers | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.02 | 139 | 66.2%92 W · 47 L | +15.5wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0f17…0724backed Alec Deckers | 59c | 48$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.68 | 702 | 54.4%382 W · 320 L | +40.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Alec Deckers | 74c | 44.44$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.47 | 1,710 | 53.7%918 W · 792 L | +30.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf8c…e040backed Alec Deckers | 80c | 40$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 648 | 37.5%243 W · 405 L | -32.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf40e…9addbacked Alec Deckers | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 386 | 64%247 W · 139 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40e9…494fbacked Alec Deckers | 59c | 35.59$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.61 | 447 | 29.3%131 W · 316 L | -10.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Oscar Weightman | 48c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1,624 | 49.8%809 W · 815 L | -9.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8526…72aabacked Alec Deckers | 75c | 21$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.25 | 736 | 48.1%354 W · 382 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0dc4…4870backed Alec Deckers | 74c | 15.31$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.98 | 160 | 51.3%82 W · 78 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8fc…b543backed Alec Deckers | 72c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.16 | 245 | 46.9%115 W · 130 L | -8.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.