Tennis · resolved market
Kingston: Evan Zhu vs Pedro Martinez
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6aa6f1fe3b71fc908b93c04c8e2011392582d6b13b1e5bb1475900a00618b340
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pedro Martinezof Evan Zhu, Pedro Martinez
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $43,995
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $49,361
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,995 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Evan Zhu | 9c | 9,808$883 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$882.76 | 4,159 | 52.8%2,198 W · 1,961 L | +66.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf585…fe8dbacked Pedro Martinez | 79c | 4,108$3,241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$867.05 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.25per pick | 65cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Pedro Martinez | 78c | 2,784$2,161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$623.12 | 1,318 | 43.6%574 W · 744 L | -23.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5818…5269backed Evan Zhu | 41c | 2,683$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100.01 | 89 | 33.7%30 W · 59 L | -8.4wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Pedro Martinez | 59c | 2,134$1,259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$874.97 | 3,541 | 42.4%1,501 W · 2,040 L | -44.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7787…bf58backed Evan Zhu | 18c | 540.54$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 144 | 47.2%68 W · 76 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26eb…5369backed Pedro Martinez | 79c | 462.51$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.13 | 137 | 54%74 W · 63 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Evan Zhu | 11c | 460.89$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.85 | 4,875 | 41.5%2,023 W · 2,852 L | -77.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Evan Zhu | 33c | 445.82$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.12 | 11,325 | 43.4%4,912 W · 6,413 L | +18.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9d6…730abacked Evan Zhu | 21c | 411.18$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.35 | 139 | 43.9%61 W · 78 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Evan Zhu | 20c | 400$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.67 | 1,252 | 38.8%486 W · 766 L | -23.0wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed Evan Zhu | 25c | 397.23$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.72 | 489 | 47.4%232 W · 257 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Pedro Martinez | 77c | 389$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.47 | 1,920 | 55.4%1,064 W · 856 L | -44.5wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42d6…01ccbacked Pedro Martinez | 67c | 373.13$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.13 | 1,077 | 62.8%676 W · 401 L | -27.9wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Evan Zhu | 23c | 351.79$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.68 | 6,596 | 50.7%3,341 W · 3,255 L | +259.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ce…11a2backed Evan Zhu | 37c | 280.46$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.77 | 82 | 42.7%35 W · 47 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40e9…494fbacked Evan Zhu | 14c | 250.49$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.15 | 421 | 30.2%127 W · 294 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f76…dcc9backed Evan Zhu | 15c | 246.05$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.91 | 874 | 50.6%442 W · 432 L | +20.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked Evan Zhu | 8c | 227.53$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.02 | 274 | 49.6%136 W · 138 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x796f…00f6backed Evan Zhu | 27c | 200$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 136 | 47.8%65 W · 71 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Evan Zhu | 10c | 173.98$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.31 | 6,685 | 36.9%2,466 W · 4,219 L | -96.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Evan Zhu | 24c | 172.01$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.71 | 5,288 | 56.5%2,989 W · 2,299 L | +231.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6d…f2b4backed Pedro Martinez | 67c | 148.66$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.66 | 443 | 59.8%265 W · 178 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Evan Zhu | 9c | 139.67$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.57 | 1,212 | 52%630 W · 582 L | +44.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Pedro Martinez | 79c | 129.8$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.62 | 9,231 | 44.3%4,088 W · 5,143 L | -241.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Evan Zhu | 15c | 125$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.42 | 1,657 | 44.2%733 W · 924 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x571f…1d37backed Evan Zhu | 33c | 113.09$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.88 | 1,001 | 54.9%550 W · 451 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Pedro Martinez | 63c | 99.99$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0a…ea32backed Evan Zhu | 12c | 92.34$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 436 | 18.3%80 W · 356 L | -21.4wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2516…51edbacked Pedro Martinez | 67c | 72.69$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.99 | 153 | 74.5%114 W · 39 L | +10.3wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbc7b…c4ebbacked Evan Zhu | 31c | 64.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 88 | 10.2%9 W · 79 L | -6.2wins | -0.07per pick | 17cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe017…9036backed Evan Zhu | 41c | 61.1$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Evan Zhu | 19c | 60.85$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.79 | 8,396 | 42.6%3,578 W · 4,818 L | -162.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Evan Zhu | 35c | 57.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.82 | 6,740 | 48.8%3,288 W · 3,452 L | +58.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Evan Zhu | 34c | 54.39$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.49 | 1,013 | 36.5%370 W · 643 L | -17.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Evan Zhu | 31c | 51.61$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 317 | 42.3%134 W · 183 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Pedro Martinez | 69c | 40.75$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.63 | 481 | 52%250 W · 231 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb0…408cbacked Evan Zhu | 33c | 39.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | -5.6wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01af…7bc2backed Evan Zhu | 34c | 38.3$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.02 | 215 | 36.7%79 W · 136 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e7…f2e5backed Pedro Martinez | 67c | 37.31$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.31 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…331cbacked Pedro Martinez | 76c | 35.22$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.45 | 331 | 64%212 W · 119 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd7…1735backed Pedro Martinez | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 133 | 66.9%89 W · 44 L | +16.1wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x08c8…016abacked Pedro Martinez | 65c | 24.01$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.29 | 326 | 59.2%193 W · 133 L | -12.1wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6022…9ec8backed Pedro Martinez | 65c | 22.2$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.84 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Pedro Martinez | 77c | 20.91$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.75 | 4,647 | 49.3%2,291 W · 2,356 L | +159.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9307…9da3backed Pedro Martinez | 77c | 20.36$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.65 | 80 | 72.5%58 W · 22 L | +10.2wins | +0.13per pick | 60cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcc2f…5388backed Pedro Martinez | 70c | 18.62$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.62 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e07…306fbacked Pedro Martinez | 78c | 15.95$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.52 | 23 | 78.3%18 W · 5 L | +3.7wins | +0.16per pick | 62cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Pedro Martinez | 78c | 14.43$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.15 | 2,997 | 57.3%1,717 W · 1,280 L | +170.2wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kingston: Evan Zhu vs Pedro Martinezthis page
- Set 1 Winner: Zhu vs MartinezMartinez won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.