NFL · resolved market
Spread: Panthers (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x84b9ea0ef1f98570087886c4fe86afc3da5056f5f59bbe680d7bc9c0fc24fcc7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Panthersof Panthers, Cardinals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $66,576
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $66,984
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $66,576 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Panthers | 51c | 51,649$26,386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,262.47 | 87 | 47.1%41 W · 46 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3a6…71bdbacked Cardinals | 50c | 13,453$6,708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,707.88 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Cardinals | 48c | 12,856$6,229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,228.57 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Cardinals | 50c | 9,618$4,829 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,828.59 | 173 | 50.9%88 W · 85 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Cardinals | 49c | 7,062$3,453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,452.52 | 148 | 50%74 W · 74 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x885f…8ed9backed Cardinals | 48c | 5,000$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Cardinals | 48c | 2,365$1,136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,135.96 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | -5.8wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Cardinals | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 232 | 44.4%103 W · 129 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Cardinals | 48c | 988$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.34 | 91 | 45.1%41 W · 50 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Panthers | 79c | 959.9$754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.13 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x68df…4815backed Panthers | 48c | 800$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416 | 181 | 56.9%103 W · 78 L | +11.8wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Panthers | 32c | 655.65$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.68 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6859…fb90backed Cardinals | 52c | 628.29$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.71 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc07b…6ee4backed Panthers | 47c | 564.26$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.22 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +137.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Cardinals | 39c | 539.69$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.68 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e0…6241backed Cardinals | 52c | 441$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.32 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Panthers | 55c | 438.59$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.57 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Cardinals | 3c | 362.18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.87 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Panthers | 45c | 341.55$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.92 | 50 | 66%33 W · 17 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa7…3767backed Panthers | 66c | 300.17$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.06 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Panthers | 57c | 290$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.74 | 159 | 52.2%83 W · 76 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Cardinals | 51c | 280.48$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.36 | 121 | 51.2%62 W · 59 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Panthers | 50c | 268.6$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.3 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Cardinals | 10c | 253.11$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Cardinals | 11c | 229$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.72 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x374e…87c9backed Panthers | 24c | 206.24$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.24 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Cardinals | 50c | 155.4$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.7 | 259 | 56.8%147 W · 112 L | +14.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2638…8e2dbacked Cardinals | 58c | 153.96$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Cardinals | 58c | 146.47$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.39 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Cardinals | 47c | 138$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.86 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Cardinals | 53c | 133.29$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.05 | 119 | 58%69 W · 50 L | +7.8wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Cardinals | 50c | 128$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.42 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.33per pick | 48cpaid | -63.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Panthers | 44c | 115.84$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.5 | 83 | 49.4%41 W · 42 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Cardinals | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.8 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.26per pick | 56cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa21e…044abacked Cardinals | 49c | 99.02$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.93 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Cardinals | 67c | 97$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.99 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf17d…6f86backed Cardinals | 68c | 93$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.24 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8956…755fbacked Cardinals | 51c | 80$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.8 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe05c…452abacked Panthers | 50c | 70.12$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1044…d67abacked Panthers | 53c | 58.01$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +89.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x403c…7f06backed Cardinals | 49c | 55$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.02 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e31…4716backed Cardinals | 54c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.7wins | -0.15per pick | 54cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x94eb…fcdfbacked Cardinals | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe267…eb96backed Panthers | 62c | 48.39$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Cardinals | 49c | 41.2$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.17 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2953…2ed5backed Panthers | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 70 | 61.4%43 W · 27 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e50…c665backed Panthers | 49c | 37.35$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.15 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +3.4wins | +0.24per pick | 40cpaid | +66.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd774…82cdbacked Cardinals | 50c | 33.46$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.73 | 133 | 39.8%53 W · 80 L | -10.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Cardinals | 51c | 27.5$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.03 | 594 | 53.7%319 W · 275 L | +24.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Cardinals | 48c | 26.16$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.56 | 81 | 56.8%46 W · 35 L | +5.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf49…b4a5backed Panthers | 52c | 25.08$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.08 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +89.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb77…fbeebacked Panthers | 45c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.15per pick | 58cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0460…7137backed Cardinals | 50c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed Panthers | 49c | 22.23$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.34 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe28d…9c81backed Cardinals | 56c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Panthers (-1.5)this page
- Panthers vs. CardinalsPanthers won
- Panthers vs. Cardinals: 1H O/U 17.5Over won
- Panthers vs. Cardinals: O/U 32.5Over won
- Panthers vs. Cardinals: O/U 34.5Over won
- Panthers vs. Cardinals: O/U 35.5Over won
- Panthers vs. Cardinals: O/U 37.5Over won
- Spread: Panthers (-2.5)Panthers won
- Spread: Panthers (-3.5)Cardinals won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.