South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CD Riestra win on 2026-07-26?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbfca500afa76bee4ed14f86a448cefab866c401cae0d9247bea837979e07af42
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $40,396
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $40,812
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,396 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 50c | 16,143$8,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,117.75 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed No | 56c | 11,369$6,366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,366.13 | 289 | 40.1%116 W · 173 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 37c | 4,520$1,656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,655.81 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 15c | 1,527$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.94 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Yes | 22c | 1,200$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$936 | 51 | 33.3%17 W · 34 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 19c | 995$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$805.95 | 491 | 36.3%178 W · 313 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…97cfbacked No | 3c | 833.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 64 | 12.5%8 W · 56 L | -5.7wins | -0.09per pick | 21cpaid | -70%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 6c | 797.43$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.64 | 824 | 34.5%284 W · 540 L | -17.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bc5…e563backed No | 4c | 749.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 110 | 39.1%43 W · 67 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3250…7beabacked No | 17c | 705.5$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.76 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Yes | 44c | 685.79$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.1 | 552 | 50.2%277 W · 275 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked No | 35c | 567.05$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 116 | 57.8%67 W · 49 L | +6.9wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 6c | 523.22$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.73 | 166 | 41.6%69 W · 97 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44f3…975cbacked No | 5c | 473.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.66 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 9c | 425.83$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.5 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed No | 80c | 332.24$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.79 | 94 | 54.3%51 W · 43 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Yes | 49c | 303.15$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.42 | 694 | 53.5%371 W · 323 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Yes | 53c | 266.69$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.3 | 951 | 55.8%531 W · 420 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked No | 26c | 248.67$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.06 | 268 | 35.1%94 W · 174 L | -12.9wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 20c | 245.8$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.64 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f0c…7047backed Yes | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +3.1wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +51.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked No | 38c | 200$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 127 | 37.8%48 W · 79 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca89…7bc4backed No | 80c | 144$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.2 | 195 | 59.5%116 W · 79 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb8a…45aabacked Yes | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 67cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed No | 18c | 120.8$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.25 | 464 | 49.6%230 W · 234 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1010…d793backed Yes | 18c | 120$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.4 | 253 | 45.1%114 W · 139 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Yes | 20c | 108$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.48 | 197 | 11.2%22 W · 175 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Yes | 44c | 107$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.31 | 720 | 58.8%423 W · 297 L | +29.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8527…fa85backed Yes | 47c | 106.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.49 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +74.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1db2…dacabacked No | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd325…8c5fbacked Yes | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 72 | 41.7%30 W · 42 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 30c | 95$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.92 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f29…935ebacked No | 13c | 90$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 18c | 89.37$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.26 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16c8…1badbacked No | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 43c | 87.46$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.32 | 852 | 20.7%176 W · 676 L | -85.2wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed No | 21c | 63.19$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.01 | 429 | 46.2%198 W · 231 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Yes | 43c | 58.14$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.14 | 646 | 33.1%214 W · 432 L | -24.8wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 20c | 56.25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfeef…4b1fbacked Yes | 57c | 54.48$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.65 | 264 | 65.9%174 W · 90 L | +13.6wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x968d…7537backed No | 80c | 50.04$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.03 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd3…226ebacked Yes | 22c | 50$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29d4…5d18backed Yes | 55c | 44.86$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.3 | 153 | 64.1%98 W · 55 L | +14.4wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc07b…6ee4backed Yes | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked No | 29c | 42.23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.05 | 183 | 38.8%71 W · 112 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed Yes | 76c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 352 | 40.3%142 W · 210 L | -28.0wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Yes | 62c | 39.81$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.33 | 352 | 46.9%165 W · 187 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc2…93d7backed Yes | 74c | 39.19$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.19 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed3…0a22backed No | 80c | 36$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 220 | 58.6%129 W · 91 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91e7…6716backed Yes | 59c | 34.18$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.18 | 60 | 65%39 W · 21 L | +5.4wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Yes | 68c | 22.75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.28 | 630 | 61.3%386 W · 244 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6dd…5e33backed Yes | 70c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.45 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CD Riestra win on 2026-07-26?this page
- Will CA Boca Juniors win on 2026-07-26?No won
- Will CD Riestra vs. CA Boca Juniors end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.