Us Midterms · resolved market
Will Ralph Norman win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3218454b5b166b36e000e1b45e87e60679457847991bd268423bacbe07a57508
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Midtermsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,610
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,488
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,610 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 99 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Midterms is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 22c | 10,341$2,255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,254.86 | 343 | 33.5%115 W · 228 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -30%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7726…4aeebacked Yes | 2c | 2,000$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.9wins | +0.29per pick | 41cpaid | +68.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 77c | 1,996$1,531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.55 | 90 | 35.6%32 W · 58 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe40a…e4a2backed No | 77c | 1,804$1,389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.14 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 76c | 1,425$1,081 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.61 | 332 | 38.6%128 W · 204 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -30%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23d8…0288backed Yes | 26c | 1,227$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.55 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | +8.1wins | +0.15per pick | 38cpaid | +19%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 79c | 1,195$938 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.55 | 132 | 43.9%58 W · 74 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbacd…ab35backed Yes | 15c | 946.18$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.16 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | +6.9wins | +0.15per pick | 30cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 80c | 924.67$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.98 | 183 | 37.7%69 W · 114 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x815a…af37backed Yes | 21c | 757.46$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.07 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 74c | 712.05$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.39 | 103 | 45.6%47 W · 56 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b25…7a69backed Yes | 24c | 704.44$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.2 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +68.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79fd…78cebacked Yes | 30c | 599.99$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb6…93f6backed No | 68c | 576.83$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.62 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 79c | 556.71$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.48 | 168 | 33.3%56 W · 112 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 76c | 500$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 315 | 34%107 W · 208 L | -11.6wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3de…e227backed Yes | 29c | 500$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 74 | 25.7%19 W · 55 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 23c | 493.34$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.58 | 335 | 21.8%73 W · 262 L | -24.0wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f2…5508backed Yes | 12c | 475.55$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28ca…5d19backed Yes | 22c | 448.71$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.11 | 211 | 61.1%129 W · 82 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b44…be1ebacked Yes | 30c | 315.64$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.69 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf333…ba41backed Yes | 30c | 314.99$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.5 | 66 | 36.4%24 W · 42 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -26%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 75c | 303.25$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.51 | 104 | 41.3%43 W · 61 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked Yes | 5c | 301.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.43 | 136 | 25.7%35 W · 101 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -30%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Yes | 21c | 286$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.06 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe457…5ab3backed Yes | 21c | 280.42$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.54 | 101 | 33.7%34 W · 67 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Yes | 15c | 263.91$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.69 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked No | 76c | 255.99$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.78 | 95 | 42.1%40 W · 55 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32fd…5c8bbacked Yes | 23c | 252.08$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.12 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 78c | 249$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.96 | 172 | 40.7%70 W · 102 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d57…419cbacked Yes | 19c | 245.66$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.68 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x13f3…0becbacked Yes | 26c | 230.77$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd23f…94a1backed No | 79c | 229.29$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.91 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 76c | 225$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.1 | 125 | 45.6%57 W · 68 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…c5bebacked Yes | 22c | 224.16$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.09 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc7…2385backed Yes | 31c | 205$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.45 | 25 | 8%2 W · 23 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 13cpaid | -83.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…7db4backed No | 77c | 204.24$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.55 | 98 | 46.9%46 W · 52 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 29c | 203$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.87 | 450 | 35.1%158 W · 292 L | -37.8wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa9…1737backed Yes | 30c | 200$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 74 | 25.7%19 W · 55 L | -10.9wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2213…492cbacked No | 75c | 200$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x40e4…6ef7backed No | 80c | 198.63$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…db0dbacked No | 77c | 196.95$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.67 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd322…8503backed Yes | 23c | 180.7$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.23 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +22%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x378a…a638backed Yes | 15c | 154.51$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.33 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06f2…8798backed No | 77c | 150$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 74cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 78c | 143$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 91 | 47.3%43 W · 48 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 76c | 111.66$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.63 | 120 | 49.2%59 W · 61 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 74c | 110$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.7 | 87 | 40.2%35 W · 52 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ee…5996backed Yes | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 58cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf607…afa9backed Yes | 22c | 99.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa65c…32fbbacked No | 68c | 99.99$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbea0…e19dbacked Yes | 17c | 96$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.98 | 37 | 73%27 W · 10 L | +4.9wins | +0.13per pick | 60cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae0…b747backed Yes | 13c | 92.46$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9d…95f4backed No | 78c | 90$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.93 | 75 | 37.3%28 W · 47 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe2d…da35backed No | 77c | 89.98$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.64 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…0fa6backed No | 74c | 86.55$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.7 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21a6…c753backed Yes | 24c | 80$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf83e…4663backed No | 76c | 68.66$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.26 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4708…9580backed Yes | 20c | 66.59$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.32 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed No | 77c | 66$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.18 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed No | 78c | 65.58$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.76 | 155 | 31%48 W · 107 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 78c | 65$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.23 | 110 | 48.2%53 W · 57 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ed5…ceefbacked Yes | 24c | 64$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 74c | 60$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 211 | 55.9%118 W · 93 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4c4…e42dbacked Yes | 27c | 60$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29ef…dddabacked Yes | 23c | 59.42$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.82 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf86c…ba99backed Yes | 23c | 54$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x571c…b9f9backed Yes | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.13 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae7a…25eabacked Yes | 32c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7ec…e53abacked Yes | 32c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x78b6…bc74backed Yes | 23c | 49.05$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.28 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33e2…3a1bbacked Yes | 28c | 48.9$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.69 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41e6…66b7backed No | 76c | 44.31$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.71 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4629…f3b1backed No | 76c | 41.72$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.03 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x840e…b9edbacked Yes | 30c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0c…9db8backed No | 77c | 40$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 70cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 78c | 38.54$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.48 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7cf4…328dbacked No | 77c | 37$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5566…7c29backed No | 76c | 37$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.88 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x98ac…40d9backed No | 77c | 34.42$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.92 | 45 | 62.2%28 W · 17 L | +5.2wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x813f…26ecbacked No | 74c | 32.45$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.31 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +2.5wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d8…76a7backed No | 76c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +86.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68d9…012dbacked No | 77c | 27.5$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56d3…e307backed No | 79c | 24.7$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.19 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9129…dd8ebacked No | 76c | 24.32$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.84 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd44c…28c5backed No | 75c | 24$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb141…aa3bbacked No | 76c | 23.4$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.62 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0407…bcfdbacked No | 76c | 23.14$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 76c | 22$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.26 | 90 | 10%9 W · 81 L | -20.0wins | -0.22per pick | 32cpaid | -81.2%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xad70…4ccfbacked No | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -62.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2232…a2c5backed No | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…d282backed No | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc83…37efbacked No | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96ee…0662backed No | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…6f6ebacked No | 77c | 19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.29 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.19per pick | 45cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f6…e7fdbacked No | 69c | 18.22$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbed5…0483backed No | 73c | 17.68$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a85…ff94backed No | 80c | 15.19$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.04 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed No | 79c | 12.98$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.67 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Ralph Norman win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary?this page
- Will Darline Graham Nordone win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary?Yes won
- Will Mark Sanford win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary?No won
- Will Russell Fry win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.