Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Saint Louis Billikens (-23.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x99c1713218bacca86fdab56a994b4078d28f11c6352c51ba452d9ad37da53a6f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Saint Louis Billikensof Saint Louis Billikens, La Salle Explorers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,569
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,087
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,569 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x067f…e041backed La Salle Explorers | 52c | 10,000$5,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,200 | 301 | 39.2%118 W · 183 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Saint Louis Billikens | 47c | 4,000$1,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,120 | 146 | 47.9%70 W · 76 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05b9…2adfbacked La Salle Explorers | 53c | 3,774$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 572 | 48.1%275 W · 297 L | -27.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked La Salle Explorers | 52c | 2,393$1,244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,244.2 | 110 | 48.2%53 W · 57 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Saint Louis Billikens | 48c | 1,815$870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$945.89 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Saint Louis Billikens | 48c | 1,650$792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$858 | 407 | 55.8%227 W · 180 L | +14.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Saint Louis Billikens | 48c | 1,616$776 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840.32 | 898 | 50%449 W · 449 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Saint Louis Billikens | 48c | 1,616$776 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840.32 | 741 | 52.6%390 W · 351 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e3…6dfebacked Saint Louis Billikens | 48c | 1,458$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$758.33 | 274 | 50%137 W · 137 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Saint Louis Billikens | 48c | 1,061$509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$551.79 | 746 | 49.2%367 W · 379 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e16…0127backed Saint Louis Billikens | 48c | 971$466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.92 | 137 | 46.7%64 W · 73 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa632…4c96backed Saint Louis Billikens | 48c | 937.5$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.5 | 564 | 44.1%249 W · 315 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca0f…780bbacked Saint Louis Billikens | 51c | 761.69$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.23 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Saint Louis Billikens | 47c | 330$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.9 | 754 | 47.1%355 W · 399 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae4…7c46backed La Salle Explorers | 53c | 190.4$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.91 | 133 | 50.4%67 W · 66 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7eaa…3ea5backed La Salle Explorers | 53c | 141.51$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 114 | 45.6%52 W · 62 L | -7.6wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Saint Louis Billikens | 48c | 107$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.82 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a85bbacked La Salle Explorers | 52c | 101$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.52 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed Saint Louis Billikens | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 505 | 46.9%237 W · 268 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Saint Louis Billikens | 48c | 99.99$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.99 | 624 | 51.1%319 W · 305 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d30…2645backed Saint Louis Billikens | 49c | 80$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.8 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6061…1ff7backed La Salle Explorers | 51c | 38$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.38 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x350e…6539backed La Salle Explorers | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b0f…e949backed Saint Louis Billikens | 48c | 35.98$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.71 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9310…569fbacked Saint Louis Billikens | 48c | 35.98$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.71 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68e8…4facbacked La Salle Explorers | 51c | 29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.79 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +5.3wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Saint Louis Billikens (-23.5)this page
- La Salle Explorers vs. Saint Louis BillikensSaint Louis Billikens won
- La Salle Explorers vs. Saint Louis Billikens: O/U 153.5Under won
- La Salle Explorers vs. Saint Louis Billikens: O/U 154.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.