Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Campbell Fighting Camels (-4.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x60bcaafd8cdf5d8ffe9f9298bdefee164b084aa28e8a5a01dd9fa367baf084c5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Campbell Fighting Camelsof Campbell Fighting Camels, North Carolina A&T Aggies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,056
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,139
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,056 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked North Carolina A&T Aggies | 53c | 5,187$2,764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,763.95 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a2…ae70backed Campbell Fighting Camels | 47c | 5,070$2,370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,699.93 | 148 | 54.1%80 W · 68 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Campbell Fighting Camels | 46c | 4,000$1,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,160 | 146 | 47.9%70 W · 76 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05b9…2adfbacked North Carolina A&T Aggies | 55c | 3,133$1,721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,721 | 572 | 48.1%275 W · 297 L | -27.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33dd…ef8abacked Campbell Fighting Camels | 47c | 3,000$1,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,590 | 278 | 51.1%142 W · 136 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed North Carolina A&T Aggies | 54c | 1,400$756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$756 | 898 | 50%449 W · 449 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked North Carolina A&T Aggies | 54c | 1,399$755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$755.46 | 741 | 52.6%390 W · 351 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed North Carolina A&T Aggies | 52c | 991.67$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.67 | 740 | 51.5%381 W · 359 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Campbell Fighting Camels | 46c | 675$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.5 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa632…4c96backed North Carolina A&T Aggies | 56c | 535.71$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 564 | 44.1%249 W · 315 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae28…5d17backed Campbell Fighting Camels | 46c | 114$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.56 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +4.4wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed North Carolina A&T Aggies | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 1,070 | 46.9%502 W · 568 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e6…71e4backed North Carolina A&T Aggies | 49c | 89$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.61 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5101…4a4fbacked North Carolina A&T Aggies | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 226 | 56.2%127 W · 99 L | +14.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b0f…e949backed Campbell Fighting Camels | 47c | 38.45$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.38 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6468…e03dbacked Campbell Fighting Camels | 51c | 36$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.64 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed North Carolina A&T Aggies | 54c | 30.59$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.52 | 624 | 51.1%319 W · 305 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480a…e3c9backed Campbell Fighting Camels | 51c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | +3.9wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x13a4…581ebacked North Carolina A&T Aggies | 54c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a7c…1214backed North Carolina A&T Aggies | 54c | 23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.42 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08a7…e161backed Campbell Fighting Camels | 51c | 23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.27 | 35 | 68.6%24 W · 11 L | +5.1wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9310…569fbacked Campbell Fighting Camels | 47c | 22.32$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.83 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb5…6a69backed North Carolina A&T Aggies | 54c | 21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Campbell Fighting Camels (-4.5)this page
- Campbell Fighting Camels vs. North Carolina A&T AggiesCampbell Fighting Camels won
- Campbell Fighting Camels vs. North Carolina A&T Aggies: O/U 158.5Under won
- Campbell Fighting Camels vs. North Carolina A&T Aggies: O/U 159.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.