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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Campbell Fighting Camels vs. North Carolina A&T Aggies

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Campbell Fighting Camelsof Campbell Fighting Camels, North Carolina A&T Aggies
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$7,804
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$8,492

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,804 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Campbell Fighting Camels63c1,500$945 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$554.992,68748.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L+4.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7aa8…56dbbacked Campbell Fighting Camels75c806.45$603 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.621,05855.8%590 W · 468 L+34.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-2.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked North Carolina A&T Aggies37c767.39$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284.0712,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed North Carolina A&T Aggies27c556.41$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.861,49348.7%727 W · 766 L-1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-19.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed North Carolina A&T Aggies37c450$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.52,57947.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L-42.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa1a9…e22ebacked North Carolina A&T Aggies36c424.88$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.0237441.7%156 W · 218 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed North Carolina A&T Aggies19c408.06$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.413,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Campbell Fighting Camels64c400$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14482048.2%395 W · 425 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Campbell Fighting Camels59c357.68$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.855,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed North Carolina A&T Aggies41c292.68$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12079448.9%388 W · 406 L+1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc8e5…9401backed North Carolina A&T Aggies19c263.16$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509525.3%24 W · 71 L-7.4wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-28.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked North Carolina A&T Aggies37c162.16$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$604,55250.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L-36.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x94fa…989ebacked North Carolina A&T Aggies39c142.16$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.0381453.1%432 W · 382 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+3.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6a72…f81dbacked North Carolina A&T Aggies17c138$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.8987047.2%411 W · 459 L-23.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xda16…6da2backed Campbell Fighting Camels72c137.2$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.0138345.4%174 W · 209 L-18.4wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-16.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe062…61fdbacked North Carolina A&T Aggies22c136.36$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303826.3%10 W · 28 L+0.1wins0.00per pick26cpaid+118.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked North Carolina A&T Aggies21c131.66$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.65,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xac3f…1966backed Campbell Fighting Camels61c95$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.0525152.6%132 W · 119 L+0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed North Carolina A&T Aggies30c89.6$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.9868254.3%370 W · 312 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed North Carolina A&T Aggies38c85$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.092,04832.7%670 W · 1,378 L-16.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4f9…5526backed North Carolina A&T Aggies36c73$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.287346.6%34 W · 39 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x61d1…a379backed Campbell Fighting Camels72c68.06$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.065457.4%31 W · 23 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked North Carolina A&T Aggies43c60$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.82,19433.4%733 W · 1,461 L+19.2wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Campbell Fighting Camels72c58.96$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.343,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7226…873dbacked North Carolina A&T Aggies30c55.14$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.65637.5%21 W · 35 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-25.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed North Carolina A&T Aggies37c50$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.51,07046.9%502 W · 568 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed North Carolina A&T Aggies24c46.86$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.11,98564.1%1,273 W · 712 L+144.2wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+7.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x095b…6f34backed North Carolina A&T Aggies28c46.22$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.792236.4%8 W · 14 L-4.1wins-0.18per pick55cpaid-50.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xd647…9c8fbacked Campbell Fighting Camels64c40$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.43050%15 W · 15 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x077a…ec51backed Campbell Fighting Camels79c38$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.063956.4%22 W · 17 L-3.7wins-0.10per pick66cpaid-17.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc368…0b4ebacked North Carolina A&T Aggies36c35$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.63043.3%13 W · 17 L-2.8wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-19.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb732…e416backed Campbell Fighting Camels71c27.99$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.99560%3 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick62cpaid+24.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x25c0…c187backed Campbell Fighting Camels61c27.51$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.732657.7%15 W · 11 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8ef9…b5bfbacked Campbell Fighting Camels64c23$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.282763%17 W · 10 L+2.9wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+16.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x085d…5302backed Campbell Fighting Camels63c21.25$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.8613550.4%68 W · 67 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b12…7a77backed Campbell Fighting Camels60c20$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$852353.5%280 W · 243 L-17.9wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-5.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x25c3…eb62backed Campbell Fighting Camels64c19$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.844156.1%23 W · 18 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc653…bb8cbacked Campbell Fighting Camels64c18.75$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.7539050.5%197 W · 193 L-34.9wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-15.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2e78…11ffbacked Campbell Fighting Camels64c15.63$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.634540%18 W · 27 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-11.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.