Europa Conference League · resolved market
Celtic FC vs. FC Utrecht: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7dac9351d591416f5a05cc3472fea78a3d9f862099ce9cc02fa06001d8b94f54
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,248
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,582
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,248 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed No | 52c | 4,400$2,288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,288 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc311…44fcbacked Yes | 48c | 2,083$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,083.33 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +4.1wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 48c | 1,563$743 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$819.42 | 920 | 50.9%468 W · 452 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8e…349fbacked No | 55c | 813.14$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 48c | 384.36$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.49 | 428 | 44.9%192 W · 236 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2472…8d9bbacked Yes | 45c | 345$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.75 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed No | 31c | 329.69$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb917…02c6backed No | 43c | 282.99$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.78 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa354…b85fbacked Yes | 68c | 279.69$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.5 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8415…dfe1backed No | 52c | 254$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.08 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes | 48c | 250$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 639 | 57.1%365 W · 274 L | +35.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x69dd…1964backed Yes | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | +4.4wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x81ab…ba97backed Yes | 53c | 187.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.44 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Yes | 51c | 156$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.72 | 181 | 45.9%83 W · 98 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12f9…74babacked Yes | 56c | 141.82$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.4 | 29 | 86.2%25 W · 4 L | +6.3wins | +0.22per pick | 64cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 46c | 137.93$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.99 | 195 | 46.2%90 W · 105 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x581b…0290backed No | 45c | 124$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.8 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 33cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 47c | 106.03$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.71 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…be4fbacked Yes | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 69 | 29%20 W · 49 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00e0…8a94backed Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6aa…3746backed Yes | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcf…402abacked Yes | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 82 | 29.3%24 W · 58 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Yes | 52c | 96.48$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.48 | 76 | 28.9%22 W · 54 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 48c | 86.25$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.85 | 361 | 36%130 W · 231 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1d…219ebacked No | 52c | 76.92$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 80 | 62.5%50 W · 30 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7104…8cffbacked Yes | 56c | 71.43$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.43 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 48c | 62.48$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 706 | 39.5%279 W · 427 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked No | 48c | 60.8$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.19 | 98 | 58.2%57 W · 41 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 49c | 60$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.29 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacb0…f162backed Yes | 52c | 57.93$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.93 | 17 | 94.1%16 W · 1 L | +6.5wins | +0.38per pick | 56cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xb568…14d4backed No | 50c | 50.24$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 74cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x995e…534cbacked Yes | 75c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked No | 53c | 49.66$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.32 | 49 | 14.3%7 W · 42 L | -8.3wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xfd43…7b3fbacked Yes | 49c | 41.08$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.08 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26fc…2286backed Yes | 55c | 38$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.1 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 55c | 34.85$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.68 | 2,999 | 42.4%1,273 W · 1,726 L | +7.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9487…54bbbacked Yes | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.91 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33b7…c747backed Yes | 55c | 31$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.95 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c08…e7b6backed Yes | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yes | 48c | 28.76$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.96 | 338 | 47%159 W · 179 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1670…d6a2backed Yes | 55c | 24$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.3wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +66.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe384…7fafbacked Yes | 48c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b0f…e949backed No | 53c | 20.53$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.83 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb70d…baabbacked Yes | 51c | 20.19$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +95.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86c4…a5cbbacked No | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x583b…9249backed No | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Celtic FC vs. FC Utrecht: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Celtic FC vs. FC Utrecht: O/U 1.5Over won
- Celtic FC vs. FC Utrecht: O/U 2.5Over won
- Celtic FC vs. FC Utrecht: O/U 3.5Over won
- Celtic FC vs. FC Utrecht: O/U 4.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.