Europa Conference League · resolved market
Celtic FC vs. FC Utrecht: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa9975e2f90b1b7112ecf41dbde21f570b0da24d3ceeb0f0c2d3fc918f512511a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,902
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,137
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,902 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Over | 56c | 1,605$899 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$706.4 | 112 | 26.8%30 W · 82 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Under | 43c | 1,499$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$644.69 | 219 | 25.6%56 W · 163 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 42c | 1,432$606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$605.77 | 919 | 50.9%468 W · 451 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ed…6fb8backed Over | 59c | 900.19$533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.19 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e16…a795backed Over | 60c | 839.61$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.61 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 43c | 659.07$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.74 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 40c | 657.01$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.95 | 351 | 58.1%204 W · 147 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…f836backed Over | 55c | 650$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Under | 42c | 607.99$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.04 | 49 | 14.3%7 W · 42 L | -8.3wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x064e…4347backed Over | 57c | 257.88$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.89 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc880…a622backed Under | 43c | 254$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.5 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb81d…c6c0backed Under | 37c | 186$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.82 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa35f…b58fbacked Over | 60c | 145.78$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.31 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8415…dfe1backed Under | 44c | 104.46$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.72 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11f0…890dbacked Over | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 78 | 50%39 W · 39 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Over | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 428 | 44.9%192 W · 236 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b0e…2b59backed Over | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.13per pick | 60cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9372…3b1abacked Under | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1d…219ebacked Under | 41c | 97.56$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 80 | 62.5%50 W · 30 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 42c | 93.08$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.88 | 702 | 39.3%276 W · 426 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d14…1eb4backed Over | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.4wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x28a2…91a4backed Under | 45c | 82$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.9 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -3.8wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfd85…6a32backed Under | 43c | 80.64$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.4 | 90 | 56.7%51 W · 39 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd851…9305backed Over | 56c | 75$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56d2…e5f5backed Over | 59c | 70$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.86 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d43…fc99backed Over | 56c | 53.13$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.13 | 28 | 78.6%22 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 73cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb87…88d1backed Under | 35c | 53$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.55 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 59c | 50.85$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.85 | 239 | 49.4%118 W · 121 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c16…630fbacked Over | 56c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75fd…9a86backed Under | 39c | 49$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.11 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed Over | 59c | 42.47$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.41 | 122 | 58.2%71 W · 51 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b5…694ebacked Over | 59c | 37$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.17 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc92…6564backed Over | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 32 | 75%24 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed Over | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 132 | 56.8%75 W · 57 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcd…1a94backed Over | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0095…42c1backed Over | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e69…200ebacked Over | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.35per pick | 52cpaid | -70.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb4a0…993dbacked Over | 57c | 35.05$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.12 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a2c…38ccbacked Over | 63c | 35$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.95 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7399…fe96backed Over | 63c | 34$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.58 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -3.1wins | -0.38per pick | 63cpaid | -62.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd289…98b5backed Over | 63c | 34$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.58 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14c2…6070backed Over | 59c | 34$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.94 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 62cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb7…8745backed Over | 55c | 34$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x828c…fb4cbacked Over | 57c | 33.88$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.57 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Under | 44c | 33.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.88 | 86 | 60.5%52 W · 34 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf21a…0751backed Over | 55c | 33$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.85 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.16per pick | 65cpaid | +33%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb821…5cddbacked Over | 56c | 31.46$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.84 | 29 | 86.2%25 W · 4 L | +6.1wins | +0.21per pick | 65cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7b72…5b75backed Over | 61c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf71c…488bbacked Over | 59c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9487…54bbbacked Over | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.27 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f6c…ac71backed Over | 65c | 27$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.45 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 69cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95c4…a93bbacked Over | 63c | 27$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.99 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -3.2wins | -0.32per pick | 62cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe829…a4aabacked Over | 65c | 26$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.1 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Under | 43c | 24.44$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.59 | 102 | 54.9%56 W · 46 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac27…18e7backed Over | 56c | 24.2$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.65 | 32 | 75%24 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1313…866abacked Over | 63c | 23$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.51 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd253…14d9backed Over | 55c | 21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.45 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 62cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x816e…2663backed Over | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.8wins | +0.40per pick | 46cpaid | +75.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…042fbacked Over | 55c | 19$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.55 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -3.0wins | -0.30per pick | 60cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x29ab…b38dbacked Over | 59c | 19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.79 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Celtic FC vs. FC Utrecht: O/U 2.5this page
- Celtic FC vs. FC Utrecht: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Celtic FC vs. FC Utrecht: O/U 1.5Over won
- Celtic FC vs. FC Utrecht: O/U 3.5Over won
- Celtic FC vs. FC Utrecht: O/U 4.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.