Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Akron Zips vs. Troy Trojans
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7930febc7bc2f08659ef904753003927d90bb3541143c1fd99d692d6cb1ecf5f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Troy Trojansof Akron Zips, Troy Trojans
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $38,661
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,751
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,661 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Akron Zips | 62c | 23,885$14,809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,808.68 | 896 | 45.9%411 W · 485 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d92…8676backed Troy Trojans | 38c | 11,434$4,345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,088.89 | 211 | 49.3%104 W · 107 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…0494backed Troy Trojans | 38c | 4,266$1,621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,644.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Troy Trojans | 38c | 4,000$1,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,480 | 146 | 47.9%70 W · 76 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Troy Trojans | 38c | 3,302$1,255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,047.41 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Akron Zips | 42c | 2,394$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 160 | 56.9%91 W · 69 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Troy Trojans | 66c | 1,663$1,096 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$567.22 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Troy Trojans | 29c | 1,017$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$717.28 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Akron Zips | 32c | 947.08$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.41 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Akron Zips | 60c | 698.99$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.39 | 158 | 51.9%82 W · 76 L | -8.4wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Troy Trojans | 50c | 565$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.9 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Troy Trojans | 40c | 552.23$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.34 | 605 | 48.9%296 W · 309 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94fa…989ebacked Troy Trojans | 37c | 500$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315 | 814 | 53.1%432 W · 382 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…bd17backed Akron Zips | 63c | 500$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 163 | 50.9%83 W · 80 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe622…ea5ebacked Akron Zips | 62c | 480$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.99 | 371 | 42.6%158 W · 213 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Troy Trojans | 38c | 400$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248 | 820 | 48.2%395 W · 425 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Akron Zips | 31c | 359.31$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.44 | 771 | 42.3%326 W · 445 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa072…9e34backed Akron Zips | 11c | 310$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 83 | 42.2%35 W · 48 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +22%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked Troy Trojans | 67c | 294.91$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.32 | 1,058 | 55.8%590 W · 468 L | +34.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Troy Trojans | 55c | 274.65$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.46 | 682 | 54.3%370 W · 312 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Akron Zips | 17c | 270$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.9 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc091…3d42backed Troy Trojans | 59c | 266$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.06 | 722 | 48.8%352 W · 370 L | -23.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19f8…98f9backed Troy Trojans | 38c | 263.95$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.95 | 484 | 62.8%304 W · 180 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Troy Trojans | 40c | 247$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.2 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Troy Trojans | 26c | 242.15$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.19 | 441 | 46.5%205 W · 236 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed Troy Trojans | 54c | 235.18$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.41 | 383 | 45.4%174 W · 209 L | -18.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8e5…9401backed Troy Trojans | 44c | 228.75$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.75 | 95 | 25.3%24 W · 71 L | -7.4wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Akron Zips | 14c | 221.25$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.73 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Akron Zips | 58c | 209.86$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.72 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Akron Zips | 44c | 200$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.9 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b2…1c67backed Troy Trojans | 71c | 182.52$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.93 | 143 | 54.5%78 W · 65 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Troy Trojans | 39c | 167.15$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.3 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5cf…7b4cbacked Troy Trojans | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 31 | 74.2%23 W · 8 L | +3.9wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Troy Trojans | 71c | 142.54$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.78 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x348f…a206backed Troy Trojans | 74c | 141.76$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.76 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -4.3wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Troy Trojans | 35c | 138.64$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.74 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Akron Zips | 60c | 123$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.8 | 918 | 48.9%449 W · 469 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd77d…b01cbacked Troy Trojans | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.95 | 188 | 51.6%97 W · 91 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb25f…32c9backed Troy Trojans | 78c | 121.27$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.2 | 69 | 52.2%36 W · 33 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed Akron Zips | 11c | 113$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.43 | 383 | 43.6%167 W · 216 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Akron Zips | 70c | 100.17$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.69 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Akron Zips | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x989a…afbcbacked Troy Trojans | 57c | 91.65$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.22 | 703 | 49.6%349 W · 354 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e5…eb6abacked Akron Zips | 36c | 84.58$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.83 | 157 | 33.1%52 W · 105 L | -10.9wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…15efbacked Akron Zips | 30c | 82.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 191 | 38.2%73 W · 118 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Troy Trojans | 60c | 81.85$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.33 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Akron Zips | 40c | 80$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.64 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…f81dbacked Akron Zips | 52c | 75.05$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.83 | 870 | 47.2%411 W · 459 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Akron Zips | 69c | 72.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.54 | 1,074 | 43.3%465 W · 609 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Troy Trojans | 39c | 60$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.6 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a64…6769backed Troy Trojans | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.78 | 179 | 50.8%91 W · 88 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Akron Zips | 68c | 42.03$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.71 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Akron Zips | 29c | 41$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.05 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b0f…e949backed Troy Trojans | 38c | 40$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.8 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc3a…e1f0backed Troy Trojans | 42c | 35.98$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.87 | 268 | 48.1%129 W · 139 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Troy Trojans | 38c | 32.74$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.15 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Akron Zips | 47c | 27.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.03 | 309 | 45.6%141 W · 168 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf628…ba6fbacked Akron Zips | 45c | 26.48$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.94 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b12…7a77backed Akron Zips | 58c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 523 | 53.5%280 W · 243 L | -17.9wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe53…2dbabacked Troy Trojans | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 100 | 95%95 W · 5 L | +21.3wins | +0.21per pick | 74cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xed3f…2d57backed Troy Trojans | 77c | 16.7$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.84 | 69 | 56.5%39 W · 30 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Akron Zips vs. Troy Trojansthis page
- Spread: Akron Zips (-3.5)Troy Trojans won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.