TailMyPicks

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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

American Eagles vs. Lehigh Mountain Hawks

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Lehigh Mountain Hawksof American Eagles, Lehigh Mountain Hawks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$24,249
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$25,782

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,249 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb45a…192cbacked American Eagles54c16,764$9,039 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,039.4189645.9%411 W · 485 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Lehigh Mountain Hawks46c10,999$5,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,939.5490645.4%411 W · 495 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Lehigh Mountain Hawks46c3,000$1,380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,62014647.9%70 W · 76 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked American Eagles1c1,460$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.341,54041.3%636 W · 904 L+4.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa632…4c96backed Lehigh Mountain Hawks47c1,117$525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$592.0256444.1%249 W · 315 L+2.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x94fa…989ebacked Lehigh Mountain Hawks46c529.21$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$285.7781453.1%432 W · 382 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+3.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked Lehigh Mountain Hawks46c462$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.488843.2%38 W · 50 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+22.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked American Eagles22c364$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.521,98326.4%523 W · 1,460 L-55.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Lehigh Mountain Hawks54c316.53$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.823,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Lehigh Mountain Hawks46c312.45$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.0212,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c9e…bba8backed Lehigh Mountain Hawks74c265$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.5814643.2%63 W · 83 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-21.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Lehigh Mountain Hawks44c200.46$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.812,19433.4%733 W · 1,461 L+19.2wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Lehigh Mountain Hawks45c199.99$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11050745.2%229 W · 278 L+0.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Lehigh Mountain Hawks76c161.1$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.792,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked American Eagles39c120$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.845953.8%247 W · 212 L-1.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed American Eagles56c113$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.952,25442.2%951 W · 1,303 L+3.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d70…fdd9backed American Eagles27c113$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.6393247.3%441 W · 491 L-22.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Lehigh Mountain Hawks66c105.95$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.431,98564.1%1,273 W · 712 L+144.2wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+7.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3c15…45a0backed American Eagles57c104.71$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.593756.8%21 W · 16 L+0.2wins0.00per pick56cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5562…3b41backed American Eagles56c103$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.186657.6%38 W · 28 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x00cf…d102backed American Eagles55c100$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5521449.5%106 W · 108 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb552…ecf3backed Lehigh Mountain Hawks46c96$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.846743.3%29 W · 38 L-4.2wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-8.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x28ad…0614backed American Eagles57c88.96$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.9712034.2%41 W · 79 L-13.3wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-33.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Lehigh Mountain Hawks47c87.94$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.3993447.9%447 W · 487 L-19.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-13.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e40…cf85backed American Eagles36c73.27$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.3821937.4%82 W · 137 L-10.4wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-10%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked American Eagles33c71.89$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.891,66736.4%607 W · 1,060 L-4.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked American Eagles22c69.75$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.321,88745.2%853 W · 1,034 L+6.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Lehigh Mountain Hawks77c64.83$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.921,00355.3%555 W · 448 L+46.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+1.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8b4e…417cbacked Lehigh Mountain Hawks47c64.31$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.313036.7%11 W · 19 L-2.5wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-18.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Lehigh Mountain Hawks65c59.86$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.9168254.3%370 W · 312 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Lehigh Mountain Hawks51c38.77$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.932,12450.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x22cc…8aeabacked American Eagles52c32.96$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.1422730.4%69 W · 158 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b12…7a77backed American Eagles55c30$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.552353.5%280 W · 243 L-17.9wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-5.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc7f7…06c5backed American Eagles54c29.69$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.0342751.8%221 W · 206 L+0.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b0f…e949backed Lehigh Mountain Hawks47c29.36$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.565952.5%31 W · 28 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9310…569fbacked Lehigh Mountain Hawks47c29.36$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.564151.2%21 W · 20 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Lehigh Mountain Hawks64c29.27$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.541,53150.1%767 W · 764 L+34.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7c4f…73a6backed American Eagles54c29$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.664344.2%19 W · 24 L-4.4wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-18.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8fef…a3d3backed American Eagles54c29$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.662147.6%10 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6fe1…e560backed American Eagles54c27$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.583756.8%21 W · 16 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Lehigh Mountain Hawks46c26.73$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.442,04832.7%670 W · 1,378 L-16.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51fb…b328backed American Eagles46c24$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.045530.9%17 W · 38 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x372d…a119backed Lehigh Mountain Hawks69c21.16$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.564654.3%25 W · 21 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+3.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.