NBA · resolved market
Spread: Hawks (-10.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x92a8e093b242a12f3dc8bb3bc62fd07e600e18599b5a44a234939988295e2a22
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hawksof Hawks, Mavericks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,205,154
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,205,154 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 221 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Hawks | 50c | 456,763$226,451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230,312.72 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Mavericks | 52c | 455,376$236,795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236,795.2 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Hawks | 48c | 295,503$141,841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153,661.36 | 662 | 48.5%321 W · 341 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Mavericks | 50c | 149,699$74,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74,849.69 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Mavericks | 51c | 85,156$43,546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43,546.38 | 431 | 48.7%210 W · 221 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Mavericks | 50c | 75,000$37,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37,500 | 246 | 50%123 W · 123 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Mavericks | 52c | 65,000$33,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,800 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Mavericks | 50c | 64,720$32,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,469.83 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Hawks | 48c | 42,200$20,243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,956.99 | 593 | 47%279 W · 314 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Hawks | 50c | 40,000$20,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,000.41 | 404 | 46.8%189 W · 215 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Hawks | 48c | 40,000$19,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,800 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…cab2backed Hawks | 48c | 37,048$17,906 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,141.88 | 566 | 46.5%263 W · 303 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Mavericks | 52c | 30,865$15,908 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,907.64 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Hawks | 48c | 28,097$13,487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,610.44 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Hawks | 48c | 25,597$12,305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,291.88 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9f…e125backed Mavericks | 52c | 23,512$12,226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,226.15 | 112 | 52.7%59 W · 53 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Mavericks | 52c | 20,000$10,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,399.99 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x001a…1fb9backed Hawks | 48c | 16,556$7,947 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,609.12 | 316 | 43.4%137 W · 179 L | -18.0wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Hawks | 48c | 15,084$7,256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,828.1 | 1,645 | 47.5%782 W · 863 L | +40.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6e…be00backed Mavericks | 50c | 15,000$7,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,550 | 458 | 50.4%231 W · 227 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Hawks | 48c | 14,694$6,984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,709.85 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x498c…42bfbacked Mavericks | 53c | 14,395$7,579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,579.43 | 153 | 49%75 W · 78 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc0…4429backed Hawks | 49c | 11,095$5,437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,658.44 | 483 | 43.7%211 W · 272 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Mavericks | 52c | 10,000$5,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,200 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Mavericks | 52c | 10,000$5,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,200 | 773 | 48.5%375 W · 398 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Mavericks | 51c | 10,000$5,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,099.97 | 584 | 49.7%290 W · 294 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0260…5f72backed Hawks | 48c | 8,333$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,333.33 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51c3…459fbacked Hawks | 48c | 7,917$3,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,116.67 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 49cpaid | +46%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1333…e463backed Mavericks | 52c | 7,700$4,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,004 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -6.2wins | -0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x78ad…45ccbacked Mavericks | 53c | 7,550$3,984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,983.51 | 83 | 61.4%51 W · 32 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Mavericks | 51c | 6,000$3,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,060 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Hawks | 48c | 5,505$2,643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,862.75 | 398 | 42.5%169 W · 229 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Mavericks | 52c | 5,203$2,706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,705.59 | 1,759 | 61.7%1,085 W · 674 L | +127.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Mavericks | 52c | 5,000$2,620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,619.99 | 807 | 37.7%304 W · 503 L | -33.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Hawks | 49c | 4,896$2,388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,507.68 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Hawks | 49c | 4,848$2,376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,472.58 | 691 | 49.1%339 W · 352 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…f708backed Hawks | 48c | 4,056$1,947 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,109.25 | 194 | 45.4%88 W · 106 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Mavericks | 52c | 4,000$2,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,080 | 433 | 48.5%210 W · 223 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Mavericks | 51c | 3,910$1,994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,994.1 | 657 | 50.1%329 W · 328 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Mavericks | 52c | 3,600$1,872 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,872 | 339 | 45.1%153 W · 186 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Mavericks | 50c | 3,333$1,667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,666.5 | 147 | 53.1%78 W · 69 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Hawks | 47c | 3,322$1,561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,760.62 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Mavericks | 52c | 3,284$1,704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,703.88 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Hawks | 49c | 3,261$1,583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,677.76 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x733d…1ae7backed Hawks | 48c | 2,800$1,344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,456 | 191 | 47.6%91 W · 100 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x605d…cec3backed Mavericks | 53c | 2,453$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 154 | 50.6%78 W · 76 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d13…92f3backed Hawks | 48c | 2,387$1,146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,241.5 | 702 | 46.4%326 W · 376 L | -20.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6757…7ecebacked Hawks | 48c | 2,200$1,056 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,144 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Hawks | 48c | 2,193$1,053 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,140.27 | 591 | 40.8%241 W · 350 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45b0…4857backed Hawks | 48c | 2,083$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,083.41 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b46…121dbacked Hawks | 48c | 2,083$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,083.33 | 315 | 51.7%163 W · 152 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a91…1769backed Hawks | 49c | 2,059$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,058.84 | 321 | 50.8%163 W · 158 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6557…0999backed Hawks | 48c | 1,979$950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,029.08 | 139 | 46.8%65 W · 74 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Mavericks | 52c | 1,923$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 649 | 44.7%290 W · 359 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93e7…cc0cbacked Mavericks | 53c | 1,887$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f3b…0cf9backed Mavericks | 52c | 1,733$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 221 | 59.7%132 W · 89 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bee…a369backed Hawks | 48c | 1,234$592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$641.82 | 81 | 48.1%39 W · 42 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Hawks | 48c | 1,221$586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$635.01 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Hawks | 48c | 1,042$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.66 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…4925backed Hawks | 48c | 1,004$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.48 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96bc…7fb4backed Hawks | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 236 | 44.1%104 W · 132 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf630…7e65backed Mavericks | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 291 | 49.5%144 W · 147 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…6a15backed Hawks | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 97 | 42.3%41 W · 56 L | -10.0wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -19%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x47a6…69e0backed Hawks | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 387 | 50.4%195 W · 192 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7430…3af2backed Mavericks | 51c | 999.99$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.99 | 261 | 49.4%129 W · 132 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x882a…cde2backed Mavericks | 52c | 980.97$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.85 | 229 | 48.5%111 W · 118 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebba…383cbacked Mavericks | 52c | 961.52$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.99 | 240 | 50.8%122 W · 118 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Hawks | 48c | 957.65$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497.98 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Mavericks | 53c | 942.84$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.43 | 576 | 50%288 W · 288 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x598b…f296backed Mavericks | 49c | 936.77$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.54 | 142 | 44.4%63 W · 79 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Hawks | 45c | 936.25$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.65 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4112…5d9dbacked Hawks | 48c | 918.93$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.93 | 233 | 48.9%114 W · 119 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Hawks | 48c | 900$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc1b…3b5bbacked Mavericks | 51c | 854.79$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.07 | 249 | 46.6%116 W · 133 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…6f9abacked Mavericks | 55c | 849.99$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.49 | 86 | 57%49 W · 37 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3860…0efcbacked Hawks | 48c | 740.08$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.84 | 129 | 50.4%65 W · 64 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36c0…5930backed Hawks | 48c | 698.77$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.36 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ac…2a18backed Hawks | 48c | 656.46$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.36 | 178 | 50%89 W · 89 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6870…5826backed Mavericks | 52c | 650.71$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.87 | 548 | 53.8%295 W · 253 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07d8…9f3fbacked Hawks | 48c | 579.17$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.17 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb784…61d0backed Hawks | 48c | 572.71$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.86 | 293 | 51.5%151 W · 142 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Hawks | 47c | 524.24$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.62 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Mavericks | 50c | 520$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e5…697abacked Mavericks | 47c | 515$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.65 | 206 | 50%103 W · 103 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2630…e941backed Mavericks | 44c | 500$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 428 | 45.1%193 W · 235 L | -15.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd744…526fbacked Mavericks | 52c | 500$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf09f…8049backed Mavericks | 52c | 400$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.85 | 666 | 45.9%306 W · 360 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2271…8170backed Mavericks | 52c | 384.61$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 181 | 47%85 W · 96 L | -8.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Hawks | 50c | 358.77$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.09 | 1,633 | 41.2%672 W · 961 L | +26.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Mavericks | 52c | 312$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.24 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0152…b455backed Hawks | 49c | 308.67$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.67 | 660 | 46.4%306 W · 354 L | -21.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa33c…1b33backed Hawks | 48c | 306.55$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.31 | 628 | 44.9%282 W · 346 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed Hawks | 63c | 300$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111 | 463 | 46.4%215 W · 248 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb178…1fa0backed Mavericks | 53c | 283.54$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -21%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Mavericks | 52c | 279.85$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.22 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3100…9bc9backed Hawks | 48c | 275.25$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.13 | 180 | 43.3%78 W · 102 L | -9.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe77b…f10abacked Hawks | 49c | 250.92$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.97 | 109 | 53.2%58 W · 51 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc991…abd4backed Mavericks | 53c | 236.49$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.3 | 487 | 51.7%252 W · 235 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Mavericks | 52c | 226.14$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.55 | 920 | 58%534 W · 386 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b73…45d9backed Mavericks | 53c | 212.36$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.55 | 343 | 42.9%147 W · 196 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Hawks (-10.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Hawks (-5.5)Hawks won
- Daniel Gafford: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
- Khris Middleton: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Mavericks vs. HawksHawks won
- Mavericks vs. Hawks: 1H MoneylineHawks won
- Mavericks vs. Hawks: 1H O/U 122.5Under won
- Mavericks vs. Hawks: O/U 235.5Over won
- Mavericks vs. Hawks: O/U 237.5Under won
- Mavericks vs. Hawks: O/U 238.5Under won
- Mavericks vs. Hawks: O/U 239.5Under won
- Mavericks vs. Hawks: O/U 240.5Under won
- Mavericks vs. Hawks: O/U 241.5Under won
- Mavericks vs. Hawks: O/U 242.5Under won
- Max Christie: Points O/U 11.5No won
- Nickeil Alexander-Walker: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Onyeka Okongwu: Points O/U 14.5Yes won
- Spread: Hawks (-11.5)Hawks won
- Spread: Hawks (-12.5)Mavericks won
- Spread: Hawks (-13.5)Mavericks won
- Spread: Hawks (-8.5)Hawks won
- Spread: Hawks (-9.5)Hawks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.