NBA · resolved market
Mavericks vs. Hawks: O/U 239.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd410f0617a063b49711fe720bbe284ddaff743e20a6f03bd21d4cea327690022
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $79,284
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $79,284 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 90 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked Under | 47c | 7,000$3,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,710 | 216 | 53.7%116 W · 100 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Under | 47c | 6,631$3,139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,491.97 | 1,163 | 52.8%614 W · 549 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked Over | 52c | 5,306$2,782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,781.78 | 483 | 52%251 W · 232 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6eb…bc82backed Over | 2c | 5,100$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | +4.4wins | +0.17per pick | 6cpaid | +428%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x01b4…372ebacked Over | 1c | 5,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 298 | 10.4%31 W · 267 L | +22.5wins | +0.08per pick | 3cpaid | +230.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Over | 48c | 4,469$2,165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,165.29 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e16…0127backed Under | 47c | 3,786$1,779 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,006.58 | 221 | 43%95 W · 126 L | -12.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Over | 53c | 3,774$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Over | 53c | 2,830$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,499.98 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66f0…923bbacked Over | 2c | 2,700$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 13cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 49c | 2,088$1,033 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,032.73 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 52c | 1,890$977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$976.88 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Under | 52c | 1,713$898 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$815 | 807 | 37.7%304 W · 503 L | -33.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 53c | 1,368$722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$646.06 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 52c | 1,230$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$589.67 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x324c…93d9backed Over | 1c | 1,000$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 98 | 1%1 W · 97 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -49%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 51c | 775.65$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.83 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 49c | 765.65$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.69 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 53c | 663$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.39 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Under | 52c | 575$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.69 | 348 | 51.7%180 W · 168 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Under | 38c | 560.65$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.38 | 830 | 39.4%327 W · 503 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab30…379fbacked Over | 6c | 500$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 302 | 24.8%75 W · 227 L | +15.5wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Under | 51c | 500$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 331 | 50.8%168 W · 163 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 50c | 431.45$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.34 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c9b…5722backed Under | 37c | 370.77$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.33 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…e032backed Over | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 190 | 45.8%87 W · 103 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 47c | 367.39$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.67 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 53c | 360.87$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.26 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Under | 47c | 340.43$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.43 | 521 | 46.6%243 W · 278 L | -14.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Over | 51c | 294.2$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.13 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 53c | 273.14$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.96 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1e…7ee3backed Over | 75c | 266.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 96 | 54.2%52 W · 44 L | -6.7wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Under | 39c | 234.92$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.88 | 1,532 | 42.5%651 W · 881 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x292e…172cbacked Under | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 434 | 47.5%206 W · 228 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 51c | 202.97$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.8 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 46c | 162.65$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.3 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Under | 52c | 142.47$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.24 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4112…5d9dbacked Over | 48c | 135.78$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.35 | 233 | 48.9%114 W · 119 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Under | 52c | 133.65$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.24 | 1,645 | 47.5%782 W · 863 L | +40.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a97…c1f9backed Over | 52c | 122.19$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.5 | 179 | 60.9%109 W · 70 L | +17.7wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 50c | 113.27$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.14 | 1,562 | 47.4%741 W · 821 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x434e…a62ebacked Over | 53c | 109.23$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.13 | 217 | 48.4%105 W · 112 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Over | 50c | 107.32$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.66 | 691 | 49.1%339 W · 352 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd80f…92febacked Under | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 555 | 33.5%186 W · 369 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Over | 49c | 99.3$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.58 | 1,554 | 37.3%579 W · 975 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92cf…8b35backed Under | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 1,110 | 52%577 W · 533 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 66c | 97.54$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.77 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x403d…2709backed Under | 53c | 85.07$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.07 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 46c | 83.07$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.86 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c10…8977backed Under | 62c | 64.05$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.34 | 623 | 47.7%297 W · 326 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Over | 52c | 61$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.72 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7715…ada4backed Under | 48c | 60$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.2 | 63 | 44.4%28 W · 35 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Under | 51c | 59.99$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.64 | 950 | 47.2%448 W · 502 L | -28.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked Under | 44c | 59.93$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.66 | 361 | 54.8%198 W · 163 L | +17.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaffe…7140backed Over | 51c | 57$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.07 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb052…7adabacked Under | 53c | 56.71$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.71 | 290 | 46.9%136 W · 154 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 48c | 55.19$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabfb…12e5backed Under | 40c | 54.24$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.51 | 118 | 26.3%31 W · 87 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8441…7925backed Under | 45c | 52.74$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.89 | 182 | 61%111 W · 71 L | +16.2wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Under | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 161 | 41.6%67 W · 94 L | -11.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbf07…4a12backed Over | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.95 | 370 | 37.3%138 W · 232 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefb9…e74fbacked Over | 53c | 49.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.54 | 140 | 46.4%65 W · 75 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8fa…d338backed Under | 53c | 47.26$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.26 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Under | 51c | 45.4$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.45 | 1,197 | 48.9%585 W · 612 L | -14.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 60c | 45.39$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.29 | 1,200 | 51.6%619 W · 581 L | +66.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Under | 44c | 42.09$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.75 | 520 | 53.3%277 W · 243 L | +29.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Under | 47c | 41$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.73 | 525 | 52%273 W · 252 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Under | 49c | 41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.91 | 620 | 49%304 W · 316 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed Under | 47c | 40.81$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.63 | 765 | 52.9%405 W · 360 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15bc…398cbacked Under | 52c | 38.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.45 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Over | 42c | 38.05$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.16 | 880 | 57.5%506 W · 374 L | +34.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6fbd…b8d3backed Over | 53c | 35.57$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.96 | 672 | 48.8%328 W · 344 L | -10.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 49c | 34.99$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.77 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe23…e72bbacked Over | 52c | 32$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.61 | 119 | 46.2%55 W · 64 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c39…20eebacked Under | 47c | 31.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.59 | 358 | 43.6%156 W · 202 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x277c…e529backed Over | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.97 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1121…6604backed Under | 49c | 31$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.81 | 327 | 47.4%155 W · 172 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c3…a6e8backed Under | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 201 | 44.8%90 W · 111 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc3e…776bbacked Under | 66c | 29.41$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.07 | 90 | 47.8%43 W · 47 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7797…668bbacked Over | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2886…9bb2backed Under | 40c | 27.08$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 109 | 45%49 W · 60 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 54c | 26$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.96 | 1,170 | 50.3%588 W · 582 L | +46.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x222d…40b9backed Over | 54c | 25.58$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f1…d87bbacked Over | 51c | 24.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.77 | 157 | 52.2%82 W · 75 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fae…c000backed Over | 69c | 23.71$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9856…7014backed Under | 55c | 23.4$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.53 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd9…a643backed Under | 54c | 21.86$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.06 | 101 | 45.5%46 W · 55 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9271…a28abacked Over | 51c | 21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.71 | 96 | 57.3%55 W · 41 L | +6.7wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdea5…c77bbacked Under | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 65cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…d603backed Over | 53c | 18.87$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 917 | 46.9%430 W · 487 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Mavericks vs. Hawks: O/U 239.5this page
- 1H Spread: Hawks (-5.5)Hawks won
- Daniel Gafford: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
- Khris Middleton: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Mavericks vs. HawksHawks won
- Mavericks vs. Hawks: 1H MoneylineHawks won
- Mavericks vs. Hawks: 1H O/U 122.5Under won
- Mavericks vs. Hawks: O/U 235.5Over won
- Mavericks vs. Hawks: O/U 237.5Under won
- Mavericks vs. Hawks: O/U 238.5Under won
- Mavericks vs. Hawks: O/U 240.5Under won
- Mavericks vs. Hawks: O/U 241.5Under won
- Mavericks vs. Hawks: O/U 242.5Under won
- Max Christie: Points O/U 11.5No won
- Nickeil Alexander-Walker: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Onyeka Okongwu: Points O/U 14.5Yes won
- Spread: Hawks (-10.5)Hawks won
- Spread: Hawks (-11.5)Hawks won
- Spread: Hawks (-12.5)Mavericks won
- Spread: Hawks (-13.5)Mavericks won
- Spread: Hawks (-8.5)Hawks won
- Spread: Hawks (-9.5)Hawks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.