NBA · resolved market
Mavericks vs. Hawks: O/U 240.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x14da5ce1adaf1b36e9c014b19985a29b4d33d5cd6f3eb8e9480281411f41ab4b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $93,700
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $93,700 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 139 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Over | 51c | 19,597$10,059 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,058.54 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 49c | 10,856$5,324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,532.01 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Under | 49c | 10,455$5,128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,327.5 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeda7…c632backed Under | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,000 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…2ed0backed Over | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,999.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6e…be00backed Over | 51c | 9,842$5,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,019.61 | 458 | 50.4%231 W · 227 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 48c | 3,212$1,542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,670.02 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb3e…50c1backed Over | 51c | 2,922$1,490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,490.22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x637a…c294backed Under | 49c | 2,855$1,399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,456.05 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ab6…e55cbacked Over | 51c | 2,755$1,405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,405.05 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd4…0c09backed Over | 51c | 2,722$1,388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,388.22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb59a…a67cbacked Under | 51c | 2,690$1,372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,318.1 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 50cpaid | +102.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 48c | 2,533$1,227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,306.33 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7535…5721backed Over | 49c | 2,415$1,183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,183.35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 50c | 2,362$1,183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,178.59 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98ab…224dbacked Under | 49c | 2,321$1,137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,183.71 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd259…4d6cbacked Under | 49c | 2,262$1,108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,153.62 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf6…ee8cbacked Under | 49c | 2,211$1,083 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,127.61 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61ae…e393backed Over | 49c | 2,125$1,041 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,041.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9838…2b49backed Under | 49c | 2,006$983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,023.06 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Over | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00fa…d45cbacked Over | 50c | 1,888$938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$937.69 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd22…1ab7backed Under | 51c | 1,808$922 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$885.92 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 50cpaid | +102.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf44…98e7backed Under | 51c | 1,744$889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$854.56 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 50cpaid | +102.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b5e…f329backed Under | 50c | 1,724$862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$862 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 51cpaid | +98%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6eb8…1d98backed Over | 51c | 1,693$863 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$863.43 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x946d…17d7backed Under | 49c | 1,688$827 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$860.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc26d…1f98backed Over | 49c | 1,663$815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$814.87 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bcb…2734backed Over | 51c | 1,655$844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$844.05 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x59b3…aad5backed Over | 50c | 1,636$818 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$818 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ada…8d84backed Under | 51c | 1,622$827 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$794.78 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 50cpaid | +102.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x054e…567ebacked Over | 51c | 1,600$816 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$816 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc625…718cbacked Over | 50c | 1,558$779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$779 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…77eebacked Over | 50c | 1,476$738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$738 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7424…2698backed Under | 50c | 1,440$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 51cpaid | +98%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e02…eba7backed Under | 50c | 1,378$689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$689 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 51cpaid | +98%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd832…4200backed Over | 53c | 1,325$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a92…9fe3backed Under | 50c | 1,296$648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$648 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9040…8ac4backed Over | 50c | 1,116$558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$558 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4a3…cd52backed Over | 50c | 1,072$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Under | 52c | 1,030$538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.45 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7430…3af2backed Over | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 261 | 49.4%129 W · 132 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 51c | 1,000$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf630…7e65backed Over | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 291 | 49.5%144 W · 147 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca07…9e75backed Under | 50c | 984$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Under | 54c | 900$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414 | 807 | 37.7%304 W · 503 L | -33.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4493…d62cbacked Under | 50c | 804$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 46c | 787.54$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.09 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Under | 51c | 784.31$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.31 | 462 | 58.2%269 W · 193 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b1…0fafbacked Over | 50c | 768$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 49c | 689$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.39 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb8e…962bbacked Under | 52c | 641.91$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.31 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e3…d5f4backed Under | 51c | 635.29$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.29 | 135 | 47.4%64 W · 71 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Under | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 475 | 42.3%201 W · 274 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 50c | 508.81$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.57 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 47c | 430$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.08 | 1,150 | 49.5%569 W · 581 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Over | 49c | 421$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.66 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae45…96b9backed Over | 50c | 300.76$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.28 | 405 | 46.9%190 W · 215 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7eda…4bb7backed Under | 51c | 235.29$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.29 | 389 | 42.9%167 W · 222 L | -16.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 51c | 228.84$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.91 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6a0…2212backed Under | 59c | 222.19$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.48 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +19%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 50c | 220.41$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.21 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x446c…2cb2backed Under | 51c | 203$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.47 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Over | 51c | 199.97$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.95 | 786 | 52.4%412 W · 374 L | +14.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb752…767dbacked Over | 51c | 196.24$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Over | 51c | 194.21$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 293 | 45.7%134 W · 159 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa177…6e84backed Over | 52c | 192.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6676…cc0abacked Under | 50c | 186$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +66.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…1b5cbacked Over | 49c | 179.99$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Over | 49c | 169.59$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.1 | 1,433 | 47.2%676 W · 757 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x789d…7764backed Under | 51c | 165$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.85 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Over | 49c | 162.66$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.47 | 194 | 34.5%67 W · 127 L | -10.2wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -20%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa1f…54cbbacked Over | 49c | 141$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.09 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4112…5d9dbacked Over | 50c | 140.39$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.78 | 233 | 48.9%114 W · 119 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…8848backed Under | 51c | 137.75$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.75 | 722 | 50.6%365 W · 357 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Over | 44c | 137.04$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.6 | 1,532 | 42.5%651 W · 881 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f1…d87bbacked Over | 50c | 135.04$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.1 | 157 | 52.2%82 W · 75 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6932…6878backed Under | 47c | 130$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.9 | 224 | 53.1%119 W · 105 L | +29.4wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…1af9backed Over | 46c | 108.3$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Under | 54c | 104.03$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.75 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…bb92backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.03 | 255 | 59.2%151 W · 104 L | +13.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…fb35backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 633 | 53.1%336 W · 297 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf332…3c89backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 656 | 49.2%323 W · 333 L | +9.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 50c | 99.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0d…2044backed Over | 52c | 96.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83ea…c2efbacked Under | 53c | 94.98$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.95 | 89 | 42.7%38 W · 51 L | -8.3wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbd0f…48fdbacked Over | 47c | 88$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.92 | 233 | 50.6%118 W · 115 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e8…3a5dbacked Under | 51c | 86.27$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.27 | 548 | 54.2%297 W · 251 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 42c | 80.1$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.63 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2886…9bb2backed Under | 58c | 80$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.6 | 109 | 45%49 W · 60 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa5…f8efbacked Over | 50c | 78$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16d2…6a7fbacked Over | 50c | 76$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -62.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc40…abd3backed Under | 53c | 75.47$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.47 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 46c | 73.12$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.59 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Under | 51c | 72.67$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.61 | 545 | 49.5%270 W · 275 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa53…28debacked Under | 50c | 70.68$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.39 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x602d…3534backed Under | 50c | 70.27$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.27 | 377 | 55.7%210 W · 167 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe59d…0822backed Under | 58c | 68.61$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.61 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca18…3e45backed Under | 51c | 68$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.32 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26f2…1761backed Over | 45c | 66.53$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 78 | 57.7%45 W · 33 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Mavericks vs. Hawks: O/U 240.5this page
- 1H Spread: Hawks (-5.5)Hawks won
- Daniel Gafford: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
- Khris Middleton: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Mavericks vs. HawksHawks won
- Mavericks vs. Hawks: 1H MoneylineHawks won
- Mavericks vs. Hawks: 1H O/U 122.5Under won
- Mavericks vs. Hawks: O/U 235.5Over won
- Mavericks vs. Hawks: O/U 237.5Under won
- Mavericks vs. Hawks: O/U 238.5Under won
- Mavericks vs. Hawks: O/U 239.5Under won
- Mavericks vs. Hawks: O/U 241.5Under won
- Mavericks vs. Hawks: O/U 242.5Under won
- Max Christie: Points O/U 11.5No won
- Nickeil Alexander-Walker: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Onyeka Okongwu: Points O/U 14.5Yes won
- Spread: Hawks (-10.5)Hawks won
- Spread: Hawks (-11.5)Hawks won
- Spread: Hawks (-12.5)Mavericks won
- Spread: Hawks (-13.5)Mavericks won
- Spread: Hawks (-8.5)Hawks won
- Spread: Hawks (-9.5)Hawks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.