Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Denver Pioneers vs. North Dakota Fighting Hawks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x304dfb74d50c0ce7d41f281ce7c7bac31c1df1683633dbc9d54697d3c710d1e6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Denver Pioneersof Denver Pioneers, North Dakota Fighting Hawks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,120
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,101
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,120 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Denver Pioneers | 41c | 13,339$5,469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,869.95 | 896 | 45.9%411 W · 485 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked North Dakota Fighting Hawks | 59c | 6,778$3,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,998.77 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed North Dakota Fighting Hawks | 59c | 4,000$2,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,360 | 146 | 47.9%70 W · 76 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed North Dakota Fighting Hawks | 7c | 2,408$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.59 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked North Dakota Fighting Hawks | 61c | 2,356$1,447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,446.92 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Denver Pioneers | 40c | 800$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 746 | 49.2%367 W · 379 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x920d…38adbacked North Dakota Fighting Hawks | 15c | 657.18$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | -4.5wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -38%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…0876backed North Dakota Fighting Hawks | 61c | 566$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.26 | 237 | 54.4%129 W · 108 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Denver Pioneers | 57c | 559.98$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.33 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked North Dakota Fighting Hawks | 31c | 554.48$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.09 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed North Dakota Fighting Hawks | 33c | 427.43$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.05 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked North Dakota Fighting Hawks | 6c | 405.65$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.48 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c9e…bba8backed Denver Pioneers | 71c | 398$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.76 | 146 | 43.2%63 W · 83 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed North Dakota Fighting Hawks | 60c | 366.11$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.43 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed Denver Pioneers | 50c | 348$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.82 | 383 | 43.6%167 W · 216 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc091…3d42backed North Dakota Fighting Hawks | 48c | 320.99$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.08 | 722 | 48.8%352 W · 370 L | -23.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6496…8846backed North Dakota Fighting Hawks | 7c | 272.3$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9351…ef0fbacked Denver Pioneers | 40c | 249.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.99 | 137 | 43.8%60 W · 77 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed North Dakota Fighting Hawks | 44c | 208.53$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.65 | 682 | 54.3%370 W · 312 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…f81dbacked Denver Pioneers | 65c | 200.49$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.29 | 870 | 47.2%411 W · 459 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked North Dakota Fighting Hawks | 60c | 200$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 1,487 | 43%639 W · 848 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Denver Pioneers | 59c | 196.99$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.27 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Denver Pioneers | 48c | 185.61$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.99 | 1,003 | 55.3%555 W · 448 L | +46.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb485…f560backed Denver Pioneers | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94fa…989ebacked North Dakota Fighting Hawks | 60c | 162.88$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.54 | 814 | 53.1%432 W · 382 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19f8…98f9backed North Dakota Fighting Hawks | 63c | 158.98$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 484 | 62.8%304 W · 180 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Denver Pioneers | 77c | 141.07$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.3 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d67…cf38backed Denver Pioneers | 37c | 140$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.2 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed North Dakota Fighting Hawks | 33c | 139.28$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.99 | 383 | 45.4%174 W · 209 L | -18.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Denver Pioneers | 65c | 107.22$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.69 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d9…df36backed Denver Pioneers | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 145 | 53.1%77 W · 68 L | +9.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed North Dakota Fighting Hawks | 59c | 100$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 624 | 51.1%319 W · 305 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked North Dakota Fighting Hawks | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf782…6849backed Denver Pioneers | 39c | 82.71$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.45 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed North Dakota Fighting Hawks | 39c | 81.41$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.51 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed North Dakota Fighting Hawks | 48c | 71.35$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.37 | 998 | 48.4%483 W · 515 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed North Dakota Fighting Hawks | 62c | 64$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.89 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Denver Pioneers | 38c | 59.98$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.19 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49d3…5a2abacked Denver Pioneers | 44c | 54.67$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7226…873dbacked North Dakota Fighting Hawks | 39c | 53.03$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.74 | 56 | 37.5%21 W · 35 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b0f…e949backed North Dakota Fighting Hawks | 61c | 38.73$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.6 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9310…569fbacked North Dakota Fighting Hawks | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Denver Pioneers | 75c | 31.55$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.84 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3b3…27babacked North Dakota Fighting Hawks | 63c | 29$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.27 | 21 | 76.2%16 W · 5 L | +4.9wins | +0.23per pick | 53cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7773…f936backed North Dakota Fighting Hawks | 63c | 27$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.01 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Denver Pioneers | 52c | 27$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.96 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98df…41b7backed North Dakota Fighting Hawks | 61c | 26.43$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.12 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +4.0wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb5…6a69backed North Dakota Fighting Hawks | 63c | 25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.75 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb295…d1e7backed North Dakota Fighting Hawks | 60c | 20.04$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.01 | 182 | 30.8%56 W · 126 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8f…1f83backed North Dakota Fighting Hawks | 59c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 646 | 58.8%380 W · 266 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d49…c438backed North Dakota Fighting Hawks | 63c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +3.4wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc653…bb8cbacked North Dakota Fighting Hawks | 64c | 18.75$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 390 | 50.5%197 W · 193 L | -34.9wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Denver Pioneers vs. North Dakota Fighting Hawksthis page
- Spread: North Dakota Fighting Hawks (-3.5)Denver Pioneers won
- Spread: North Dakota Fighting Hawks (-4.5)Denver Pioneers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.