Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Mercyhurst Lakers vs. Fairleigh Dickinson Knights
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x893daf5806a384881bb520614d45526c7b397aa897c85f27e6c8bb2cb02a492e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Fairleigh Dickinson Knightsof Mercyhurst Lakers, Fairleigh Dickinson Knights
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,661
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,616
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,661 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Mercyhurst Lakers | 46c | 24,082$11,078 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,077.87 | 896 | 45.9%411 W · 485 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Fairleigh Dickinson Knights | 54c | 8,811$4,758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,053.09 | 1,397 | 52.7%736 W · 661 L | +26.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Fairleigh Dickinson Knights | 54c | 4,000$2,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,840 | 146 | 47.9%70 W · 76 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Fairleigh Dickinson Knights | 54c | 3,058$1,651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,406.63 | 906 | 45.4%411 W · 495 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Fairleigh Dickinson Knights | 54c | 3,000$1,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,380 | 740 | 51.5%381 W · 359 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…19e9backed Mercyhurst Lakers | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a4…cf8abacked Fairleigh Dickinson Knights | 54c | 1,276$689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.9 | 57 | 59.6%34 W · 23 L | +4.7wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae5…910abacked Mercyhurst Lakers | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 39 | 0%0 W · 39 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Fairleigh Dickinson Knights | 54c | 923$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.4 | 741 | 52.6%390 W · 351 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Mercyhurst Lakers | 46c | 795.75$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.43 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Fairleigh Dickinson Knights | 41c | 756.11$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.14 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Mercyhurst Lakers | 44c | 624.74$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.39 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Fairleigh Dickinson Knights | 54c | 538.11$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.53 | 898 | 50%449 W · 449 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Fairleigh Dickinson Knights | 45c | 512.4$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.89 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94fa…989ebacked Fairleigh Dickinson Knights | 54c | 500$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 814 | 53.1%432 W · 382 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Fairleigh Dickinson Knights | 44c | 470.23$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.97 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Fairleigh Dickinson Knights | 46c | 470$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.8 | 441 | 46.5%205 W · 236 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c1c…9b07backed Fairleigh Dickinson Knights | 54c | 400$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Fairleigh Dickinson Knights | 54c | 366.35$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.67 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ffb…e82abacked Fairleigh Dickinson Knights | 39c | 358.59$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.77 | 434 | 50%217 W · 217 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Mercyhurst Lakers | 40c | 333.96$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.92 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Mercyhurst Lakers | 51c | 311.85$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.99 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Fairleigh Dickinson Knights | 54c | 307.5$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.45 | 754 | 47.1%355 W · 399 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Mercyhurst Lakers | 46c | 242$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.32 | 918 | 48.9%449 W · 469 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Mercyhurst Lakers | 40c | 239.34$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.04 | 1,003 | 55.3%555 W · 448 L | +46.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8e5…9401backed Mercyhurst Lakers | 44c | 228.64$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 95 | 25.3%24 W · 71 L | -7.4wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…f81dbacked Mercyhurst Lakers | 41c | 215.41$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.14 | 870 | 47.2%411 W · 459 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47c6…be32backed Mercyhurst Lakers | 28c | 193.48$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.11 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9351…ef0fbacked Fairleigh Dickinson Knights | 54c | 186$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.56 | 137 | 43.8%60 W · 77 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f9…5526backed Mercyhurst Lakers | 46c | 155$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.3 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Fairleigh Dickinson Knights | 59c | 151.14$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.52 | 682 | 54.3%370 W · 312 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Mercyhurst Lakers | 47c | 150$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.92 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed Fairleigh Dickinson Knights | 59c | 123.77$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.24 | 383 | 45.4%174 W · 209 L | -18.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Mercyhurst Lakers | 45c | 119.13$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.38 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x989a…afbcbacked Fairleigh Dickinson Knights | 63c | 105.13$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.17 | 703 | 49.6%349 W · 354 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Fairleigh Dickinson Knights | 42c | 87.6$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.81 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31ad…8b71backed Mercyhurst Lakers | 50c | 84$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 89 | 40.4%36 W · 53 L | -8.1wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Fairleigh Dickinson Knights | 79c | 70$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0373…6d6bbacked Fairleigh Dickinson Knights | 54c | 68.76$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.63 | 106 | 52.8%56 W · 50 L | +9.5wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Fairleigh Dickinson Knights | 55c | 66$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.48 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Fairleigh Dickinson Knights | 53c | 62.13$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.2 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Mercyhurst Lakers | 47c | 60$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.2 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Fairleigh Dickinson Knights | 54c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8791…4c9abacked Mercyhurst Lakers | 45c | 45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.25 | 214 | 43.9%94 W · 120 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b0f…e949backed Fairleigh Dickinson Knights | 54c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.4 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Mercyhurst Lakers | 47c | 37.2$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.54 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd4…9cebbacked Fairleigh Dickinson Knights | 54c | 37$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.02 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77ec…4f9cbacked Fairleigh Dickinson Knights | 54c | 28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.88 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49ed…a2fbbacked Fairleigh Dickinson Knights | 54c | 25.5$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.73 | 128 | 46.9%60 W · 68 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d3b…bd9fbacked Fairleigh Dickinson Knights | 54c | 24$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.04 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.7wins | -0.30per pick | 53cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6b73…a19dbacked Fairleigh Dickinson Knights | 54c | 22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.12 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -4.4wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd84f…0475backed Fairleigh Dickinson Knights | 54c | 22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.12 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5df7…a8edbacked Fairleigh Dickinson Knights | 54c | 22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.12 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8f…1f83backed Fairleigh Dickinson Knights | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 646 | 58.8%380 W · 266 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Fairleigh Dickinson Knights | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x077a…ec51backed Fairleigh Dickinson Knights | 62c | 16.26$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.18 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | -3.7wins | -0.10per pick | 66cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.