Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Gonzaga Bulldogs vs. Oregon State Beavers: O/U 146.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1f0a8f54f7e1771fa71781a55fcea893b3745afb162b917f0f7fa61375bfb84d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $61,872
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $61,932
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $61,872 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5c2b…2575backed Over | 51c | 48,819$25,042 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,042 | 609 | 49.8%303 W · 306 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe248…f293backed Under | 50c | 17,500$8,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,750 | 781 | 55.6%434 W · 347 L | +38.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 47c | 14,995$7,048 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,947.35 | 906 | 45.4%411 W · 495 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2537…bff9backed Under | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500 | 444 | 52.7%234 W · 210 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Under | 47c | 4,000$1,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,120 | 146 | 47.9%70 W · 76 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 47c | 3,887$1,820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,067.61 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Over | 52c | 3,201$1,665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,664.7 | 110 | 48.2%53 W · 57 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 48c | 3,148$1,517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,630.87 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed Over | 51c | 2,497$1,278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,278.37 | 422 | 46.2%195 W · 227 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Under | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 351 | 47.6%167 W · 184 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Under | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 898 | 50%449 W · 449 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Under | 48c | 700$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364 | 820 | 48.2%395 W · 425 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed Under | 48c | 630$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.6 | 267 | 40.8%109 W · 158 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68a9…e73abacked Under | 48c | 629.64$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.36 | 267 | 49.1%131 W · 136 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Under | 47c | 400$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212 | 1,487 | 43%639 W · 848 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Under | 47c | 290.01$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.84 | 998 | 48.4%483 W · 515 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15f9…607ebacked Under | 50c | 244.99$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.5 | 321 | 46.7%150 W · 171 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b1a…68d8backed Over | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 119 | 57.1%68 W · 51 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb0…3182backed Under | 50c | 122.5$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.25 | 413 | 54%223 W · 190 L | +13.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a4…5422backed Under | 48c | 89.58$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.58 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +3.1wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +21%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c1c…9b07backed Under | 48c | 80$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.6 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5101…4a4fbacked Under | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 226 | 56.2%127 W · 99 L | +14.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Under | 50c | 60.2$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.1 | 624 | 51.1%319 W · 305 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d21…08d3backed Under | 49c | 54.8$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.95 | 138 | 52.2%72 W · 66 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf7…06acbacked Under | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 273 | 50.5%138 W · 135 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c7…d11ebacked Over | 53c | 41.43$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.05 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b0f…e949backed Under | 48c | 38.89$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.28 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd730…1948backed Under | 49c | 35.48$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.09 | 196 | 53.1%104 W · 92 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbda3…ef65backed Under | 48c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 627 | 53%332 W · 295 L | +13.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x583b…9249backed Under | 47c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.25 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Gonzaga Bulldogs vs. Oregon State Beavers: O/U 146.5this page
- Gonzaga Bulldogs vs. Oregon State BeaversGonzaga Bulldogs won
- Spread: Gonzaga Bulldogs (-17.5)Gonzaga Bulldogs won
- Spread: Gonzaga Bulldogs (-18.5)Gonzaga Bulldogs won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.