Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Gonzaga Bulldogs (-18.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x975f83ed1f90ff2b1d65dd787acca89edfc11d960e162e05a85f63bae4d21f1b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Gonzaga Bulldogsof Gonzaga Bulldogs, Oregon State Beavers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,282
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,301
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,282 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 12 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf606…440abacked Gonzaga Bulldogs | 52c | 2,446$1,272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,174.15 | 183 | 49.2%90 W · 93 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Oregon State Beavers | 48c | 1,625$781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780.78 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Oregon State Beavers | 52c | 827.72$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.24 | 51 | 31.4%16 W · 35 L | -8.7wins | -0.17per pick | 48cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Gonzaga Bulldogs | 51c | 610$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.71 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a85bbacked Oregon State Beavers | 49c | 600$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f0…c9e4backed Gonzaga Bulldogs | 49c | 202.94$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.94 | 229 | 54.1%124 W · 105 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Oregon State Beavers | 51c | 117.64$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Oregon State Beavers | 48c | 61$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.28 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25c0…c187backed Gonzaga Bulldogs | 52c | 56.87$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.3 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa4a…0502backed Oregon State Beavers | 57c | 56$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.76 | 94 | 44.7%42 W · 52 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9487…54bbbacked Oregon State Beavers | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 362 | 48.6%176 W · 186 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c56…81a9backed Oregon State Beavers | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Gonzaga Bulldogs (-18.5)this page
- Gonzaga Bulldogs vs. Oregon State BeaversGonzaga Bulldogs won
- Gonzaga Bulldogs vs. Oregon State Beavers: O/U 146.5Under won
- Spread: Gonzaga Bulldogs (-17.5)Gonzaga Bulldogs won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.