Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Gonzaga Bulldogs vs. Oregon State Beavers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3014317839648444e76e669b3fac7dd65e348d9aae71dccf23dc59e1e2f3d40c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Gonzaga Bulldogsof Gonzaga Bulldogs, Oregon State Beavers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,042
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $40,438
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,042 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x781c…db68backed Oregon State Beavers | 9c | 2,930$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.7 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Oregon State Beavers | 9c | 2,327$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 251 | 30.7%77 W · 174 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a22…c3b5backed Oregon State Beavers | 8c | 1,959$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4699…5051backed Oregon State Beavers | 12c | 1,508$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa302…6c3fbacked Oregon State Beavers | 5c | 1,496$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.74 | 59 | 10.2%6 W · 53 L | -8.3wins | -0.14per pick | 24cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Oregon State Beavers | 5c | 1,123$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.13 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Oregon State Beavers | 6c | 999.99$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Oregon State Beavers | 8c | 841.05$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.11 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e5…eb6abacked Oregon State Beavers | 9c | 600$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 157 | 33.1%52 W · 105 L | -10.9wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc8e5…9401backed Oregon State Beavers | 10c | 484.73$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 95 | 25.3%24 W · 71 L | -7.4wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb59b…a8e0backed Oregon State Beavers | 8c | 401.5$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.08 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8791…4c9abacked Oregon State Beavers | 5c | 399.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 214 | 43.9%94 W · 120 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe49b…adf9backed Oregon State Beavers | 7c | 321.97$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.65 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Oregon State Beavers | 7c | 186.62$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.81 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Oregon State Beavers | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,260 | 43.3%545 W · 715 L | +34.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Gonzaga Bulldogs vs. Oregon State Beaversthis page
- Gonzaga Bulldogs vs. Oregon State Beavers: O/U 146.5Under won
- Spread: Gonzaga Bulldogs (-17.5)Gonzaga Bulldogs won
- Spread: Gonzaga Bulldogs (-18.5)Gonzaga Bulldogs won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.