TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Will AS Monaco FC vs. Juventus FC end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$93,770
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$96,628

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $93,770 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 106 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4133…5e70backed Yes38c28,313$10,835 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,477.8558248.8%284 W · 298 L+2.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x37e0…024ebacked No73c14,581$10,644 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,644.017346.6%34 W · 39 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes36c14,523$5,262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,260.871,99443.9%875 W · 1,119 L+1.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6c16…8bfabacked No73c11,789$8,606 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,606.121741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-17.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No30c8,642$2,609 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,609.31,51140.2%608 W · 903 L-6.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb2a4…cf8abacked No73c7,699$5,620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,620.444351.2%22 W · 21 L-0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes27c3,141$832 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,308.3863346.3%293 W · 340 L-21.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-11.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x97f9…0aebbacked No74c3,065$2,268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,268.242360.9%14 W · 9 L+1.8wins+0.08per pick53cpaid-6.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x08c5…43edbacked No74c2,973$2,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,200.033237.5%12 W · 20 L-5.3wins-0.16per pick54cpaid-25.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes27c2,672$722 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,950.1859741.7%249 W · 348 L-18.3wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf26…39a6backed No73c2,625$1,916 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,916.253050%15 W · 15 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes26c2,181$564 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,617.1638043.9%167 W · 213 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x412f…30fabacked No73c2,093$1,528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,527.533743.2%16 W · 21 L+0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e3f…e00bbacked Yes28c2,000$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,44011743.6%51 W · 66 L+0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x843c…126cbacked Yes52c1,951$1,014 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$936.37250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed No73c1,863$1,360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,359.6926645.9%122 W · 144 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe76f…39fcbacked Yes27c1,481$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,081.483658.3%21 W · 15 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Yes27c1,054$284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$769.9829136.8%107 W · 184 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb0d7…f9fabacked Yes27c1,000$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7303461.8%21 W · 13 L+2.9wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+21.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xede4…532ebacked Yes61c789.25$481 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$307.811100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No39c722.69$283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283.3534342.3%145 W · 198 L-6.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4b7e…7f73backed Yes28c714.29$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$514.293036.7%11 W · 19 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick41cpaid+21.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x43a1…2425backed Yes25c698$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$523.59540%38 W · 57 L+5.1wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8276…1204backed No73c690.41$504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+24.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x03b0…482cbacked No73c684.93$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001457.1%8 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes26c650$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$479.0529846.3%138 W · 160 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x81e9…1812backed No73c589.46$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$430.31520%1 W · 4 L-1.9wins-0.39per pick59cpaid-72.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No31c540.3$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.9712348.8%60 W · 63 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x741a…4dbebacked Yes27c450$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$328.51921.1%4 W · 15 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick26cpaid-39%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Yes33c440.85$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$295.2323637.3%88 W · 148 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-24%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed No29c430.39$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.766943.5%30 W · 39 L-0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-32.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6c0b…43cbbacked Yes27c420$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$307.4813931.7%44 W · 95 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+12.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4440…f8fdbacked No72c400.98$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2892060%12 W · 8 L+1.7wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+26.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0a86…5664backed Yes25c400$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30012230.3%37 W · 85 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick30cpaid+2.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x80da…2086backed Yes25c400$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3001735.3%6 W · 11 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick28cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x699f…d5c6backed Yes26c392.3$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$290.312644.4%56 W · 70 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x35d3…e506backed Yes26c384.62$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.6213234.1%45 W · 87 L+5.4wins+0.04per pick30cpaid+3.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d55…1e94backed Yes27c370$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.18032.5%26 W · 54 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick29cpaid+12%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfc8f…3782backed No25c354.33$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.286817.6%12 W · 56 L-8.3wins-0.12per pick30cpaid-47.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No50c334.7$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.7339743.3%172 W · 225 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-20.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x814c…7ffabacked No75c300$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.514650.7%74 W · 72 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+15.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x94a5…9838backed No73c295$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.358647.7%41 W · 45 L+4.4wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+26%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3a8e…b505backed No22c292$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.784852.1%25 W · 23 L+0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8deb…0139backed Yes26c287$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.381050%5 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0dc4…3c1dbacked Yes27c270.37$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.371618.8%3 W · 13 L-2.8wins-0.17per pick36cpaid-53.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed No29c264.51$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.3920042.5%85 W · 115 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfee4…d386backed Yes27c208.47$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.1813149.6%65 W · 66 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc72d…871cbacked No25c200$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501040%4 W · 6 L+1.3wins+0.13per pick27cpaid+25.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8351…9bebbacked Yes26c192.31$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.318224.4%20 W · 62 L-4.6wins-0.06per pick30cpaid-13.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe05b…0912backed Yes26c192.31$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.312259.1%13 W · 9 L+1.8wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+16%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb1a9…d58bbacked Yes26c153.85$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.851414.3%2 W · 12 L-1.4wins-0.10per pick24cpaid-47.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x03ed…c077backed No74c150.98$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.629160.4%55 W · 36 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x30d5…ea80backed No73c136.99$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100475%3 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick73cpaid+3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5eeb…01b2backed No29c120.51$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.839123.1%21 W · 70 L-4.8wins-0.05per pick28cpaid-37.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x412f…019dbacked No73c116.44$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85580%4 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick66cpaid+35.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0bfb…9f00backed No73c109.59$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$801392.3%12 W · 1 L+2.5wins+0.19per pick73cpaid+25.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfaa5…7cc9backed No62c106.12$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.793647.2%17 W · 19 L-2.6wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-14.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfd3f…44f1backed No72c104.16$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$751369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.5wins+0.19per pick50cpaid+53.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7157…7ba4backed Yes26c100$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$742128.6%6 W · 15 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa243…6080backed Yes28c100$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$721442.9%6 W · 8 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick36cpaid-5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x051c…f25dbacked Yes38c100$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$624535.6%16 W · 29 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf9d9…2f4abacked No70c100$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$701764.7%11 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick59cpaid-7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xebb1…e7afbacked Yes26c100$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$741154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick60cpaid+11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c13…99b7backed Yes26c100$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$742740.7%11 W · 16 L+2.7wins+0.10per pick31cpaid+42.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5a3e…ef94backed No73c100$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$732755.6%15 W · 12 L+2.9wins+0.11per pick45cpaid+76.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3a46…ba91backed No71c99.58$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.426867.6%46 W · 22 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick64cpaid+9.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a9b…7303backed Yes26c96.15$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.158150.6%41 W · 40 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc62b…625dbacked Yes56c89.91$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.91560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc758…8574backed No23c86.96$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204427.3%12 W · 32 L-7.4wins-0.17per pick44cpaid-51.3%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x785f…e3d9backed No33c80.94$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.063964.1%25 W · 14 L+3.6wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+9.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5d97…7d3bbacked Yes25c80$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$603923.1%9 W · 30 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick25cpaid-21.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a22…c3b5backed Yes26c76.92$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.922416.7%4 W · 20 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick21cpaid-32.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6fbc…bdfbbacked Yes26c76.92$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.923636.1%13 W · 23 L+2.1wins+0.06per pick30cpaid+30.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0ee5…6c2ebacked Yes26c76.92$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.921850%9 W · 9 L+2.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+10.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x740b…647abacked No73c75.34$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-29.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa41…f05dbacked Yes28c72.72$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.36714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.26per pick41cpaid-49%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf277…9d9dbacked No21c70.63$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-32.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d78…7defbacked No75c65.79$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.34475%3 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick76cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes64c60.43$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.6133851.5%174 W · 164 L-8.8wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x17d4…d0eabacked Yes39c60.26$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.76540%2 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9544…790dbacked Yes28c60$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.25534.5%19 W · 36 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+11.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b0f…e949backed No73c58.95$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.032250%11 W · 11 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6de9…a8e5backed No73c54.79$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404447.7%21 W · 23 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9aaf…8298backed No74c50$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3711153.2%59 W · 52 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xddd7…1596backed No74c50$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3713759.1%81 W · 56 L+6.5wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+18.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x86f2…0546backed No31c48.4$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed Yes25c44.19$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.1422147.5%105 W · 116 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f19…ec51backed No29c44$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.871040%4 W · 6 L-2.1wins-0.21per pick61cpaid-46.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed No62c42.2$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.2927450.7%139 W · 135 L+9.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+3.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x82d0…60a1backed No73c41.1$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302263.6%14 W · 8 L+1.7wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+36.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7ae9…facabacked Yes27c40.74$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.744643.5%20 W · 26 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e2d…fb60backed Yes28c40$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.85547.3%26 W · 29 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x38a3…b461backed Yes26c39.08$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.083225%8 W · 24 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed No72c34.88$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.115230.8%16 W · 36 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x78df…b894backed No73c34.25$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25875%6 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.12per pick63cpaid+18.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb15…cbdabacked Yes62c32.26$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.26825%2 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-54.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x362b…9534backed No50c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1346…0448backed Yes38c30$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.69246.7%43 W · 49 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a5a…3427backed Yes59c30$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.35052%26 W · 24 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-15.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x70dd…a4e3backed Yes74c27.01$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.02616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.20per pick37cpaid-77.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.