TailMyPicks
Market

NHL · resolved market

Panthers vs. Blue Jackets: O/U 6.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$586,518

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $586,518 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 140 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x03e8…1697backed Under53c365,000$193,399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171,600.7967051%342 W · 328 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Over47c200,000$94,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94,00039047.9%187 W · 203 L-13.2wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4924…3782backed Under53c157,649$83,144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74,504.8220354.2%110 W · 93 L+7.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Over47c148,165$69,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69,699.5140351.9%209 W · 194 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over47c83,075$39,377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39,377.211,19050.7%603 W · 587 L+13.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over47c18,945$8,994 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,993.932,89451.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed Over47c18,894$8,884 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,883.6821850.9%111 W · 107 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over47c12,685$5,962 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,961.821,44149.2%709 W · 732 L+6.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa084…bb99backed Under51c8,020$4,090 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,929.892152.4%11 W · 10 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Over47c5,205$2,429 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,428.821555.3%119 W · 96 L+17.3wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+12.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed Over48c4,800$2,304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,303.9918641.9%78 W · 108 L-8.5wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-11.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Over48c4,776$2,311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,311.0143456%243 W · 191 L+16.2wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Over49c4,475$2,174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,173.7379350.1%397 W · 396 L-11.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over47c4,291$2,012 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,012.392,66451.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x733d…1ae7backed Over48c4,034$1,936 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,935.7621048.1%101 W · 109 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d5c…4f26backed Under53c4,000$2,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,8808748.3%42 W · 45 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Over47c3,400$1,598 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,59834845.4%158 W · 190 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed Over47c3,333$1,567 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,566.517949.4%39 W · 40 L-4.0wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Over47c2,948$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,400.1483149.5%411 W · 420 L-9.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Under52c2,763$1,437 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,326.3536748%176 W · 191 L-12.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc974…b33bbacked Over49c2,449$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,20010146.5%47 W · 54 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Over49c2,222$1,089 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,088.7891945.6%419 W · 500 L-27.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…d83abacked Over47c2,200$1,034 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0343345.5%15 W · 18 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe7a2…ae70backed Over47c2,130$1,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,001.112047.5%57 W · 63 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over47c2,097$985 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$985.471,23053.7%661 W · 569 L-9.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x83ab…3d56backed Under52c2,000$1,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9604949%24 W · 25 L+0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid+5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Over47c1,790$841 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$841.31,02448.4%496 W · 528 L+1.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdf43…ae9abacked Under53c1,633$872 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$760.753354.5%18 W · 15 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x69ff…0d1dbacked Under53c1,523$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$722.5427150.2%136 W · 135 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-4.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Over48c1,410$677 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$676.886852.4%455 W · 413 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Over48c1,252$601 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$600.7159450.8%302 W · 292 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x201c…58bfbacked Over48c1,200$576 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$576.226640.9%27 W · 39 L-7.5wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-21%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd589…27c2backed Under49c1,021$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$520.7142847.2%202 W · 226 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x773c…cf18backed Over49c1,020$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5007054.3%38 W · 32 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x597e…cd70backed Over51c980.82$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5003661.1%22 W · 14 L+2.5wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+17%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf1ad…6979backed Over48c973.9$467 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$467.4729448.6%143 W · 151 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x691a…d113backed Over48c911$437 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$437.2826551.3%136 W · 129 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked Under52c750$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36027048.1%130 W · 140 L-8.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over47c721.69$342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$342.092,75447.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L+11.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over48c672.31$319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$319.491,09250.4%550 W · 542 L+12.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3dcf…4eb4backed Over49c653.06$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32016756.3%94 W · 73 L+9.4wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+12.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe43c…ccd5backed Over49c624.63$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306.071040%4 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-28.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f5e…94e9backed Over48c600$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.3111250%56 W · 56 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9868…2767backed Under53c512.48$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.485046%23 W · 27 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc869…8a6ebacked Over49c510.2$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2502548%12 W · 13 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Over48c500$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.558352.1%304 W · 279 L+1.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8487…a68bbacked Over51c492.16$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2502552%13 W · 12 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd85…7427backed Over7c472.8$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.8220%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe977…700fbacked Over4c448.38$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2040%0 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Over49c430.49$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2101,09351.8%566 W · 527 L+14.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x42ef…1576backed Under53c409$217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.232157.1%12 W · 9 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7171…81f7backed Under53c394.83$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.5727652.2%144 W · 132 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c7c…1439backed Over48c382.76$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.51266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+27.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0d42…f124backed Over48c364.55$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.9813348.1%64 W · 69 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Under45c357$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.892,31446.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7dd0…ee95backed Over49c346.94$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1701643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d55…7bc7backed Over48c300$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14322352.9%118 W · 105 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x30ab…f338backed Over48c243.83$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.0414351.7%74 W · 69 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeeb0…c9f8backed Under51c216.99$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.331154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb557…7f28backed Under51c213.22$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.48450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-13.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x54ea…f74abacked Under53c212.15$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.154740.4%19 W · 28 L-4.0wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-17.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Under52c211.54$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.5428753.3%153 W · 134 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Over48c210$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.862447.3%295 W · 329 L+0.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f96…123cbacked Over49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003040%12 W · 18 L-4.3wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-27.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb337…5589backed Under52c200$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9648654.1%263 W · 223 L+15.9wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeb72…2514backed Under51c194.42$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.27540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-23.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Under51c191$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.5984953.8%457 W · 392 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Over49c150.89$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.5821754.8%119 W · 98 L+0.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid+3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked Over19c143.41$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.323450%117 W · 117 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c8e…cebfbacked Over50c142.7$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.151136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-24.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed Over46c137.55$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.2732650%163 W · 163 L+0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over43c132.49$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.423,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1683…6906backed Over47c130$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.37955.7%44 W · 35 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x12f9…74babacked Over64c129.14$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.025563.6%35 W · 20 L+4.4wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+15.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Over8c129.07$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.8729553.6%158 W · 137 L+13.9wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1deb…472fbacked Over55c128.38$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$703554.3%19 W · 16 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over34c127.43$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.1989355.5%496 W · 397 L+67.6wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+12.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Over50c121.21$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.6178651.8%407 W · 379 L-16.6wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Over46c117.11$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.3660449.2%297 W · 307 L-17.6wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Over48c104$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.4266552%346 W · 319 L+8.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc212…c8ebbacked Under30c100$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$708050%40 W · 40 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+10.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2fd5…ef85backed Under56c98.2$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.2113647.1%64 W · 72 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x72a1…1950backed Over49c81.63$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4010657.5%61 W · 45 L+4.9wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb8c0…eb7abacked Under53c68.01$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.89955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+9.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0dcc…031ebacked Under54c64.81$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.137548%36 W · 39 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x14e4…eabbbacked Over48c62.5$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3056553.6%303 W · 262 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6aff…da59backed Over36c55.83$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202857.1%16 W · 12 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd0b4…9dc2backed Under54c55.67$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.6713648.5%66 W · 70 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x93e3…e590backed Under54c54.33$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.9911233.9%38 W · 74 L-9.5wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-22.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Over47c53.75$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.192049.7%457 W · 463 L+14.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-6.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x00b7…5b93backed Over49c50.67$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.858144.4%36 W · 45 L-4.1wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-14.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4d4b…284abacked Over51c49.02$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251968.4%13 W · 6 L+2.9wins+0.15per pick53cpaid+26.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Over38c47.89$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.3518547.6%88 W · 97 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc323…4408backed Over48c46$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.08837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-31.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x03b3…a917backed Over49c43.27$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.2757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+17.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Over41c41.8$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.2733363.7%212 W · 121 L+44.3wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+23.5%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0xb05e…9b8dbacked Under53c41.38$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.4115547.1%73 W · 82 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc1e5…c5dfbacked Over49c40.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203253.1%17 W · 15 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa330…9d33backed Over49c40.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203363.6%21 W · 12 L+3.5wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+15.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x383d…87eabacked Over49c40.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2048157.2%275 W · 206 L+21.9wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+6.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.