NHL · resolved market
Spread: Blue Jackets (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x92c94398d475d72caf951632e295d4dacf0f4006666b47ee02cf4964408a4340
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Blue Jacketsof Blue Jackets, Panthers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,710
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,710 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Panthers | 70c | 6,809$4,733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,732.74 | 594 | 50.8%302 W · 292 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Blue Jackets | 31c | 3,838$1,208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,630 | 868 | 52.4%455 W · 413 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Panthers | 68c | 2,166$1,482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,481.98 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Blue Jackets | 31c | 1,739$537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,201.7 | 434 | 56%243 W · 191 L | +16.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Blue Jackets | 30c | 1,712$514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,198.4 | 1,024 | 48.4%496 W · 528 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Blue Jackets | 29c | 1,023$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$726.49 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Panthers | 71c | 1,014$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$719.85 | 665 | 52%346 W · 319 L | +8.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Blue Jackets | 30c | 1,000$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700 | 360 | 38.6%139 W · 221 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44ca…907cbacked Blue Jackets | 31c | 452$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.88 | 183 | 44.8%82 W · 101 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f18…c9fdbacked Panthers | 70c | 428.57$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…0876backed Blue Jackets | 30c | 326$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.2 | 56 | 71.4%40 W · 16 L | +10.5wins | +0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Panthers | 68c | 300$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 916 | 53.9%494 W · 422 L | +39.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…4e37backed Panthers | 72c | 240$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.6 | 317 | 53.3%169 W · 148 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Blue Jackets | 30c | 238.81$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.29 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x412a…802cbacked Blue Jackets | 30c | 233.6$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.52 | 50 | 36%18 W · 32 L | -5.0wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…a74ebacked Blue Jackets | 31c | 226$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.94 | 253 | 37.9%96 W · 157 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Panthers | 68c | 116$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.88 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a25…bb6bbacked Blue Jackets | 31c | 113$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.97 | 128 | 44.5%57 W · 71 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04b4…8d0bbacked Blue Jackets | 31c | 113$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.97 | 140 | 37.9%53 W · 87 L | -13.1wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb38c…b2c9backed Panthers | 69c | 99$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.31 | 108 | 58.3%63 W · 45 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Panthers | 70c | 97$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.42 | 893 | 55.5%496 W · 397 L | +67.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84ef…cdd9backed Blue Jackets | 31c | 96.77$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.77 | 156 | 49.4%77 W · 79 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Blue Jackets | 54c | 62$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 920 | 49.7%457 W · 463 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…94e9backed Panthers | 71c | 57.73$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.99 | 112 | 50%56 W · 56 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Panthers | 69c | 53$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.57 | 561 | 52%292 W · 269 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb5…6be6backed Blue Jackets | 30c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9edc…b088backed Blue Jackets | 27c | 50$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.3 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x236b…26b7backed Blue Jackets | 29c | 40$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.34 | 74 | 36.5%27 W · 47 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc0…8f18backed Blue Jackets | 29c | 40$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +2.7wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +38%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Panthers | 38c | 37$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a50…09f4backed Panthers | 73c | 34.25$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -4.4wins | -0.18per pick | 50cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Panthers | 69c | 32.16$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.19 | 1,028 | 53.2%547 W · 481 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc519…348abacked Panthers | 47c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.15 | 153 | 54.9%84 W · 69 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Panthers | 69c | 25.58$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.65 | 583 | 52.1%304 W · 279 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3af5…caebbacked Panthers | 71c | 23.22$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.49 | 76 | 48.7%37 W · 39 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Panthers | 71c | 23$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.33 | 223 | 52.9%118 W · 105 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Panthers | 69c | 19$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.11 | 1,530 | 51.7%791 W · 739 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe544…ab18backed Panthers | 69c | 16.59$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.41 | 61 | 62.3%38 W · 23 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Blue Jackets (-1.5)this page
- Panthers vs. Blue JacketsBlue Jackets won
- Panthers vs. Blue Jackets: O/U 4.5Over won
- Panthers vs. Blue Jackets: O/U 5.5Over won
- Panthers vs. Blue Jackets: O/U 6.5Under won
- Panthers vs. Blue Jackets: O/U 7.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.