NHL · resolved market
Panthers vs. Blue Jackets: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x549e49bec482e18b777eb1bf14018df33d474e59498f7da52e83cd62a73fabce
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,456
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,456 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 39c | 2,100$819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$818.86 | 1,092 | 50.4%550 W · 542 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25c2…cd02backed Over | 61c | 2,000$1,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0338…04b7backed Over | 62c | 1,134$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.7 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 46c | 972.62$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528.13 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Over | 61c | 760$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.4 | 434 | 56%243 W · 191 L | +16.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 39c | 753.65$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.68 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Under | 39c | 693.6$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.5 | 360 | 38.6%139 W · 221 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Over | 43c | 596.3$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.22 | 215 | 55.3%119 W · 96 L | +17.3wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5611…e5f4backed Over | 61c | 491.8$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.8 | 95 | 47.4%45 W · 50 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 38c | 490.36$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.34 | 831 | 49.5%411 W · 420 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 46c | 375$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.75 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 48c | 347.99$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.13 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cac…1695backed Under | 40c | 249.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b2b…d4d3backed Over | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Over | 60c | 145.76$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.76 | 696 | 53.4%372 W · 324 L | -16.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 47c | 125$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.25 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6932…6878backed Under | 39c | 120$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.8 | 125 | 36%45 W · 80 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x079f…a9d1backed Over | 56c | 105$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.2 | 94 | 42.6%40 W · 54 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 61c | 97.56$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.05 | 786 | 51.8%407 W · 379 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…110bbacked Under | 41c | 91.07$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.34 | 86 | 53.5%46 W · 40 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c8e…cebfbacked Over | 61c | 86.39$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.69 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Over | 47c | 59.23$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.59 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 39c | 59$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.01 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 66c | 53$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.81 | 1,140 | 51.5%587 W · 553 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93e3…e590backed Over | 48c | 52.17$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.13 | 112 | 33.9%38 W · 74 L | -9.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Over | 45c | 44.24$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.25 | 266 | 57.1%152 W · 114 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Over | 51c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 272 | 50%136 W · 136 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe825…39b7backed Over | 48c | 30.69$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.96 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | -4.5wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfda1…454fbacked Over | 48c | 30.69$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.96 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29aa…e4eabacked Over | 48c | 30.69$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.96 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Under | 41c | 28.85$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 217 | 54.8%119 W · 98 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 39c | 26$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.14 | 860 | 49.2%423 W · 437 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 49c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.75 | 920 | 49.7%457 W · 463 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54d5…77d4backed Over | 62c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.5 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Over | 61c | 21.31$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.31 | 425 | 58.6%249 W · 176 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2778…8547backed Over | 59c | 19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.79 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2079…c5c7backed Over | 61c | 18.03$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Panthers vs. Blue Jackets: O/U 5.5this page
- Panthers vs. Blue JacketsBlue Jackets won
- Panthers vs. Blue Jackets: O/U 4.5Over won
- Panthers vs. Blue Jackets: O/U 6.5Under won
- Panthers vs. Blue Jackets: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Blue Jackets (-1.5)Blue Jackets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.