Premier League · resolved market
Will Fulham vs. Wolves end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x48f708ff3a0cfb627453f3ba90d5bfe68ded0106d5f8156584f5e0d1eba33435
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $115,740
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $71,610
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $115,740 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x94cc…5a2cbacked Yes | 29c | 46,591$13,495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,495.48 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +54.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 9c | 42,612$3,857 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,856.68 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc350…3669backed No | 71c | 11,188$7,943 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,244.44 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed No | 71c | 7,515$5,336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,179 | 189 | 58.7%111 W · 78 L | +12.6wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed No | 74c | 6,951$5,143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,807.17 | 211 | 54.5%115 W · 96 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Yes | 26c | 6,500$1,690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,690 | 386 | 49%189 W · 197 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 71c | 5,756$4,094 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,662 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +12.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes | 26c | 4,000$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040 | 178 | 33.7%60 W · 118 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 77c | 1,490$1,147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.02 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked No | 71c | 1,131$806 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.77 | 316 | 55.1%174 W · 142 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Yes | 23c | 1,040$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.2 | 515 | 42.5%219 W · 296 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8245…4f87backed Yes | 28c | 715$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Yes | 16c | 502.88$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.46 | 292 | 53.4%156 W · 136 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +30%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e8d…3eeabacked Yes | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f79…7ed4backed Yes | 29c | 200$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 46 | 17.4%8 W · 38 L | -6.0wins | -0.13per pick | 31cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked No | 72c | 199.98$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.99 | 92 | 63%58 W · 34 L | +9.7wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +28%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 72c | 160$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.6 | 834 | 59.4%495 W · 339 L | +25.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed Yes | 26c | 156.61$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.72 | 907 | 51.3%465 W · 442 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa097…fba7backed Yes | 27c | 148.15$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +3.4wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 291 | 58.4%170 W · 121 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed No | 74c | 123.08$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 409 | 53.3%218 W · 191 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e9e…c4efbacked Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 86 | 31.4%27 W · 59 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 18c | 94$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.92 | 1,224 | 40%490 W · 734 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 27c | 77.54$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.94 | 689 | 42.2%291 W · 398 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3c…93d7backed Yes | 27c | 63$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.01 | 86 | 32.6%28 W · 58 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed No | 72c | 60$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 655 | 57.7%378 W · 277 L | +26.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b6c…b161backed Yes | 27c | 60$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa26e…d280backed Yes | 26c | 57.69$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 100 | 31%31 W · 69 L | -8.4wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -12%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdf37…8b49backed Yes | 22c | 51$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.22 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | +4.4wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7eee…b4b2backed No | 72c | 50.13$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.04 | 214 | 63.1%135 W · 79 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2be4…01adbacked Yes | 28c | 50.02$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.01 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 72c | 40$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 815 | 59%481 W · 334 L | +32.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2cb8…76b4backed No | 74c | 27.12$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.12 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 74cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6dd…a703backed No | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 74c | 26$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.76 | 1,163 | 57.4%667 W · 496 L | +40.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed No | 72c | 24$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.72 | 466 | 60.5%282 W · 184 L | +30.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed No | 72c | 24$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.72 | 362 | 59.1%214 W · 148 L | +23.2wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +14%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed No | 72c | 24$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.72 | 561 | 58.6%329 W · 232 L | +29.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No | 72c | 24$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.72 | 605 | 57.5%348 W · 257 L | +25.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 72c | 21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.88 | 520 | 60.4%314 W · 206 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Fulham vs. Wolves end in a draw?this page
- Will Fulham win on 2025-11-01?Yes won
- Will Wolves win on 2025-11-01?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.