College Football · resolved market
Arkansas vs. Tennessee
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x19af2e12fa5dbcf8c33ddad1418167e9dd889a248d93f973e76cb2fb59bde4cf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Tennesseeof Arkansas, Tennessee
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $461,606
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $518,071
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $461,606 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 99 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xed88…f3c4backed Arkansas | 23c | 204,866$46,463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46,463.44 | 125 | 49.6%62 W · 63 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Tennessee | 78c | 77,903$60,764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,138.66 | 292 | 49%143 W · 149 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Tennessee | 77c | 72,141$55,548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,592.36 | 155 | 39.4%61 W · 94 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd38b…5029backed Arkansas | 23c | 57,160$13,146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,145.98 | 327 | 45.6%149 W · 178 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Tennessee | 78c | 41,631$32,479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,151.63 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Tennessee | 75c | 35,892$26,859 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,033.86 | 309 | 49.5%153 W · 156 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Tennessee | 79c | 25,000$19,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,250 | 272 | 46%125 W · 147 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Tennessee | 77c | 20,000$15,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,600 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Tennessee | 78c | 19,095$14,894 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,200.9 | 342 | 50.3%172 W · 170 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Tennessee | 77c | 18,787$14,466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,321.02 | 756 | 51.9%392 W · 364 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Arkansas | 21c | 14,765$3,101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,100.69 | 104 | 48.1%50 W · 54 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3a…4033backed Tennessee | 78c | 12,821$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,820.51 | 193 | 62.2%120 W · 73 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Tennessee | 77c | 11,144$8,581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,563.17 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Arkansas | 0c | 10,152$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.94 | 224 | 4%9 W · 215 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -74.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Arkansas | 9c | 6,618$607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$607.39 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Tennessee | 77c | 6,500$5,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,495 | 526 | 41.8%220 W · 306 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0432…1660backed Arkansas | 3c | 6,227$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.81 | 96 | 35.4%34 W · 62 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Arkansas | 22c | 4,000$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880 | 381 | 42.5%162 W · 219 L | -10.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…01b4backed Arkansas | 21c | 3,761$790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$789.85 | 118 | 46.6%55 W · 63 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Arkansas | 25c | 3,563$888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$887.76 | 628 | 43.6%274 W · 354 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Arkansas | 28c | 3,350$922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$922.46 | 648 | 41.2%267 W · 381 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Tennessee | 78c | 3,237$2,519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$718.23 | 684 | 40.8%279 W · 405 L | -10.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd41…127dbacked Arkansas | 21c | 3,030$628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$628.17 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Tennessee | 77c | 2,727$2,113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$613.48 | 492 | 53.5%263 W · 229 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd724…b805backed Tennessee | 78c | 2,178$1,705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.99 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +5.9wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed Tennessee | 77c | 2,173$1,675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$498.47 | 107 | 50.5%54 W · 53 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Tennessee | 78c | 1,803$1,406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.66 | 818 | 47.9%392 W · 426 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56fc…733ebacked Arkansas | 34c | 1,760$604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$603.71 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -6.7wins | -0.22per pick | 59cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xcfca…68fcbacked Arkansas | 20c | 1,650$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.44 | 471 | 31.4%148 W · 323 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Arkansas | 12c | 1,557$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.87 | 405 | 41.2%167 W · 238 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Tennessee | 74c | 1,242$921 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.65 | 553 | 50.3%278 W · 275 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Arkansas | 27c | 1,069$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.21 | 862 | 43.7%377 W · 485 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Tennessee | 77c | 1,051$809 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.73 | 1,090 | 41.7%455 W · 635 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Tennessee | 77c | 1,000$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 107 | 42.1%45 W · 62 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79f8…c950backed Arkansas | 23c | 1,000$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Tennessee | 78c | 991$773 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.02 | 154 | 51.9%80 W · 74 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Arkansas | 37c | 862.33$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.1 | 276 | 48.9%135 W · 141 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3134…1b18backed Arkansas | 26c | 769.23$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Arkansas | 3c | 750$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.45 | 632 | 43.7%276 W · 356 L | +34.8wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +138.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5e25backed Tennessee | 78c | 696$543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.12 | 118 | 44.1%52 W · 66 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5c…be69backed Arkansas | 33c | 647.79$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.25 | 64 | 34.4%22 W · 42 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d03…369abacked Tennessee | 78c | 600$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 127 | 50.4%64 W · 63 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2619…9f4ebacked Tennessee | 78c | 600$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 179 | 54.2%97 W · 82 L | +11.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Tennessee | 71c | 590$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.29 | 402 | 44.8%180 W · 222 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea8…1fbfbacked Arkansas | 27c | 461.85$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.88 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked Tennessee | 78c | 450$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x85fb…7c3abacked Tennessee | 76c | 394.74$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.74 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 73cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e0…4983backed Arkansas | 25c | 392.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +6.1wins | +0.15per pick | 37cpaid | +39%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0b90…3d27backed Arkansas | 5c | 390.58$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 110 | 22.7%25 W · 85 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03da…7907backed Tennessee | 78c | 384.64$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.62 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c36…9719backed Tennessee | 65c | 384$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.4 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Arkansas | 8c | 357.25$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 80 | 6.3%5 W · 75 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28a1…435cbacked Tennessee | 78c | 330$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.6 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c51…af7ebacked Arkansas | 22c | 299.99$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 118 | 44.1%52 W · 66 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fec…c965backed Tennessee | 77c | 259.74$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.74 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -4.2wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -39%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8c…672ebacked Arkansas | 19c | 216$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.04 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac7…597ebacked Arkansas | 27c | 200.94$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.07 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +74.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f64…3633backed Tennessee | 78c | 200$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…8502backed Arkansas | 10c | 194.11$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Tennessee | 78c | 160$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.2 | 207 | 57.5%119 W · 88 L | +13.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf6…513abacked Tennessee | 78c | 150$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 143 | 55.2%79 W · 64 L | +12.0wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x15a9…677ebacked Arkansas | 31c | 147.81$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.13 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 27cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…e0cbbacked Tennessee | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 200 | 39.5%79 W · 121 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec75…2e8fbacked Tennessee | 77c | 139.19$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.46 | 84 | 47.6%40 W · 44 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…a70cbacked Tennessee | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 90 | 53.3%48 W · 42 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a3…c3a6backed Tennessee | 77c | 116.96$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.9 | 116 | 53.4%62 W · 54 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x17bd…7afcbacked Arkansas | 27c | 111.11$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18f6…b00bbacked Tennessee | 80c | 110.51$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.1 | 80 | 78.8%63 W · 17 L | +9.9wins | +0.12per pick | 66cpaid | +21%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2cb8…76b4backed Tennessee | 78c | 106.03$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.33 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e86…6bc9backed Arkansas | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +88.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Arkansas | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 473 | 31.5%149 W · 324 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Tennessee | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 241 | 57.3%138 W · 103 L | +9.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed Arkansas | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 178 | 37.6%67 W · 111 L | -12.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x133b…faa8backed Arkansas | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | +4.9wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Arkansas | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 280 | 32.9%92 W · 188 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x864a…7cacbacked Tennessee | 78c | 93.22$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.51 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fbc…3099backed Arkansas | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 168 | 39.9%67 W · 101 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Arkansas | 18c | 81.2$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.62 | 494 | 43.7%216 W · 278 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c8…e7acbacked Arkansas | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3212…634ebacked Tennessee | 77c | 70$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.1 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked Tennessee | 78c | 68$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.96 | 68 | 69.1%47 W · 21 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf16…a240backed Arkansas | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 74 | 40.5%30 W · 44 L | -5.3wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -23%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf6dc…8c92backed Arkansas | 22c | 59.09$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -8.1wins | -0.18per pick | 49cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xff5d…723dbacked Tennessee | 78c | 55.13$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.13 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8191…8a35backed Tennessee | 73c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +4.8wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Arkansas | 27c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 149 | 45.6%68 W · 81 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00f7…4476backed Tennessee | 77c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Tennessee | 78c | 48.11$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.64 | 571 | 44.7%255 W · 316 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed89…647bbacked Arkansas | 23c | 47.83$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Arkansas | 29c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 198 | 42.9%85 W · 113 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x384a…39c0backed Tennessee | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 58 | 56.9%33 W · 25 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55da…839abacked Tennessee | 79c | 35$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.35 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 79cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb02e…39e7backed Tennessee | 79c | 31.65$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.65 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…57f1backed Tennessee | 79c | 31.27$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.57 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e3…2dd1backed Tennessee | 75c | 30.01$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.22per pick | 68cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3635…17c8backed Tennessee | 79c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 52 | 65.4%34 W · 18 L | +4.5wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7869…61d8backed Tennessee | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 72 | 66.7%48 W · 24 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2008…19dabacked Tennessee | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bfa…bfe0backed Tennessee | 76c | 17.95$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.24 | 34 | 70.6%24 W · 10 L | +5.3wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Arkansas vs. Tennesseethis page
- Arkansas vs. Tennessee: O/U 68.5Under won
- O/U 69.5Under won
- Spread: Tennessee (-10.5)Arkansas won
- Spread: Tennessee (-12.5)Arkansas won
- Spread: Tennessee (-13.5)Arkansas won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.