NHL · resolved market
Stars vs. Blue Jackets: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2cb057a4ef3d4996b5fcd8130907b376ec00145c122802132d81a39d7709f52f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $39,562
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $40,728
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,562 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Over | 47c | 25,000$11,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,800 | 210 | 36.2%76 W · 134 L | -14.6wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Under | 52c | 18,378$9,574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,803.8 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb859…e244backed Under | 54c | 15,000$8,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,899.93 | 110 | 52.7%58 W · 52 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 47c | 2,268$1,056 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,055.89 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 46c | 1,851$860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$860.3 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Under | 55c | 1,818$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$818.18 | 852 | 50.2%428 W · 424 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a94…822cbacked Over | 46c | 1,620$745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$745 | 106 | 43.4%46 W · 60 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Over | 45c | 1,058$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.18 | 333 | 45.6%152 W · 181 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbdbe…5249backed Under | 53c | 1,021$541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.75 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +37%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa70b…7a8abacked Over | 48c | 833.33$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 80 | 46.3%37 W · 43 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3228…afbbbacked Over | 46c | 739.13$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Over | 46c | 696$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.16 | 1,530 | 51.7%791 W · 739 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Over | 46c | 652.17$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 318 | 48.1%153 W · 165 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Over | 46c | 549.99$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253 | 270 | 48.1%130 W · 140 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Under | 54c | 494.87$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.64 | 1,143 | 50.8%581 W · 562 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 46c | 333.5$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.41 | 939 | 53.6%503 W · 436 L | +29.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 47c | 300.74$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.31 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Over | 47c | 255.32$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 1,093 | 51.8%566 W · 527 L | +14.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2496…50a5backed Over | 46c | 200$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85f5…285bbacked Over | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 152 | 38.8%59 W · 93 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf67…fc18backed Under | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 125 | 45.6%57 W · 68 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cb8…76b4backed Over | 46c | 91.3$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa632…4c96backed Over | 46c | 86.96$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5976…b3d4backed Over | 48c | 83.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 131 | 47.3%62 W · 69 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…787cbacked Over | 45c | 75$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.75 | 124 | 45.2%56 W · 68 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 54c | 74.76$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.39 | 786 | 51.8%407 W · 379 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf280…b65bbacked Over | 46c | 52.17$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 54 | 61.1%33 W · 21 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Over | 47c | 48.73$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.9 | 262 | 43.5%114 W · 148 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Over | 48c | 47$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.56 | 793 | 50.1%397 W · 396 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 46c | 26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.06 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Under | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 696 | 53.4%372 W · 324 L | -16.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Stars vs. Blue Jackets: O/U 6.5this page
- Spread: Blue Jackets (-1.5)Stars won
- Spread: Stars (-1.5)Blue Jackets won
- Stars vs. Blue JacketsBlue Jackets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.