NHL · resolved market
Spread: Stars (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7e06772f2d1040fbb5113decbc7a8f45c1e85992f790c6493926edb29ebff43a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Blue Jacketsof Stars, Blue Jackets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,918
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,084
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,918 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaf35…b5eabacked Stars | 31c | 6,765$2,097 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,097.29 | 114 | 45.6%52 W · 62 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Stars | 31c | 3,941$1,221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,221.1 | 485 | 45.4%220 W · 265 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Blue Jackets | 69c | 3,203$2,210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$992.9 | 119 | 53.8%64 W · 55 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Blue Jackets | 69c | 2,748$1,896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$851.88 | 619 | 53.8%333 W · 286 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Blue Jackets | 69c | 2,694$1,859 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$835.14 | 793 | 50.1%397 W · 396 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Blue Jackets | 69c | 1,290$890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.9 | 619 | 59.1%366 W · 253 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Blue Jackets | 69c | 662.31$457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.32 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda21…8646backed Blue Jackets | 69c | 660$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.6 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Stars | 31c | 607$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.17 | 849 | 53.8%457 W · 392 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Stars | 31c | 499.99$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 237 | 51.5%122 W · 115 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Stars | 34c | 250$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 541 | 32.7%177 W · 364 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c1c…9b07backed Blue Jackets | 66c | 250$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +3.3wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Blue Jackets | 69c | 246$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.26 | 125 | 48.8%61 W · 64 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Blue Jackets | 67c | 198.26$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.82 | 1,143 | 50.8%581 W · 562 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5976…b3d4backed Blue Jackets | 69c | 173.91$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.91 | 131 | 47.3%62 W · 69 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0501…61ecbacked Stars | 31c | 80.65$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 145 | 42.8%62 W · 83 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0115…b715backed Stars | 32c | 78.13$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31ad…8b71backed Blue Jackets | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…06c5backed Stars | 34c | 68.88$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.42 | 68 | 42.6%29 W · 39 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf73f…8ba0backed Stars | 33c | 60.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.12 | 80 | 35%28 W · 52 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x951b…291abacked Stars | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 65 | 40%26 W · 39 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8a0…35b6backed Blue Jackets | 69c | 43.16$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.38 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f7…2633backed Blue Jackets | 69c | 42.14$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.06 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Blue Jackets | 67c | 40.97$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.52 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e78…70c7backed Blue Jackets | 69c | 30.75$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.53 | 62 | 43.5%27 W · 35 L | -5.3wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3ed4…620ebacked Blue Jackets | 69c | 27.48$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.52 | 91 | 49.5%45 W · 46 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5767…8cc1backed Blue Jackets | 65c | 23.07$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.07 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x778e…ccd1backed Blue Jackets | 67c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 219 | 51.6%113 W · 106 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96d9…05d5backed Blue Jackets | 69c | 18.84$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.84 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Stars (-1.5)this page
- Spread: Blue Jackets (-1.5)Stars won
- Stars vs. Blue JacketsBlue Jackets won
- Stars vs. Blue Jackets: O/U 6.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.