CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs FlyQuest (BO3)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd06467b905cc5233fb1a1b5723bb91e64946b77463db01807a771490296ff13f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FlyQuestof fnatic, FlyQuest
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $104,550
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $111,431
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $104,550 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed FlyQuest | 36c | 46,839$16,794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,044.67 | 216 | 45.4%98 W · 118 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9b…414dbacked fnatic | 64c | 21,872$13,968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,967.89 | 111 | 46.8%52 W · 59 L | -7.6wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa925…e1c8backed fnatic | 42c | 20,407$8,532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,532.4 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | -5.3wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc350…3669backed fnatic | 64c | 18,000$11,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,520 | 116 | 55.2%64 W · 52 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac75…1319backed fnatic | 64c | 12,913$8,265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,264.58 | 164 | 49.4%81 W · 83 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed FlyQuest | 36c | 12,434$4,476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,957.76 | 258 | 42.2%109 W · 149 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked FlyQuest | 57c | 10,863$6,187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,675.98 | 836 | 52.5%439 W · 397 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2307…3934backed FlyQuest | 58c | 5,440$3,155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,284.8 | 238 | 52.9%126 W · 112 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed FlyQuest | 37c | 2,711$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,711.47 | 670 | 41.8%280 W · 390 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa41c…fadebacked FlyQuest | 35c | 2,552$893 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,659.11 | 76 | 46.1%35 W · 41 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x988d…9899backed fnatic | 66c | 2,507$1,655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,654.65 | 263 | 44.5%117 W · 146 L | -13.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d9…4d8bbacked fnatic | 65c | 1,966$1,286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,285.86 | 154 | 52.6%81 W · 73 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked fnatic | 66c | 1,546$1,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,015.33 | 1,262 | 46.9%592 W · 670 L | -34.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed FlyQuest | 58c | 1,188$687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.84 | 1,259 | 42.5%535 W · 724 L | +20.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6df6…8458backed FlyQuest | 72c | 1,152$824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.94 | 324 | 25.3%82 W · 242 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6408…d2aebacked fnatic | 59c | 1,141$668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$667.54 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.15per pick | 56cpaid | -26%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed FlyQuest | 61c | 1,109$682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.21 | 273 | 45.8%125 W · 148 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked fnatic | 67c | 1,101$734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$734.03 | 298 | 55%164 W · 134 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2418…66c8backed FlyQuest | 36c | 1,025$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$656.24 | 608 | 53.3%324 W · 284 L | +20.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd92d…e560backed fnatic | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 586 | 51%299 W · 287 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed FlyQuest | 52c | 887.42$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.07 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x644b…2145backed fnatic | 39c | 822.14$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.46 | 157 | 49%77 W · 80 L | +11.4wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c9…2c23backed fnatic | 64c | 781.25$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 196 | 60.7%119 W · 77 L | -13.9wins | -0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed FlyQuest | 35c | 714.28$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.28 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe283…7190backed FlyQuest | 38c | 644.74$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.74 | 965 | 45.7%441 W · 524 L | +10.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked fnatic | 67c | 600$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402 | 1,144 | 49.4%565 W · 579 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed fnatic | 68c | 500$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 283 | 51.9%147 W · 136 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed fnatic | 61c | 491.8$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.82 | 84 | 50%42 W · 42 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x490a…1d4bbacked FlyQuest | 39c | 475.66$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.6 | 292 | 35.6%104 W · 188 L | -11.0wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb4d…de5abacked fnatic | 44c | 454.55$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 244 | 40.6%99 W · 145 L | -12.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9823…02dbbacked FlyQuest | 47c | 439.82$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.16 | 470 | 55.7%262 W · 208 L | +27.7wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa856…3964backed fnatic | 63c | 398$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 222 | 42.8%95 W · 127 L | -12.5wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7b0…9fb0backed fnatic | 64c | 388.37$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf58d…914abacked FlyQuest | 58c | 346.9$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.9 | 92 | 52.2%48 W · 44 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8541…a367backed fnatic | 49c | 335$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.65 | 283 | 44.2%125 W · 158 L | +17.1wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa05b…a94fbacked fnatic | 65c | 307.69$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -6.4wins | -0.22per pick | 60cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x60b6…eb2bbacked fnatic | 50c | 240.82$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.41 | 264 | 38.6%102 W · 162 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4627…7c23backed fnatic | 65c | 230.77$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 374 | 48.4%181 W · 193 L | -16.6wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed FlyQuest | 53c | 222.01$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.33 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38dd…c20abacked fnatic | 63c | 200$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 98 | 38.8%38 W · 60 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd9…f0d5backed fnatic | 65c | 192.31$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 265 | 63%167 W · 98 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c8…e7acbacked fnatic | 52c | 192.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1527…6cb1backed fnatic | 65c | 174$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed fnatic | 64c | 160$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.4 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed fnatic | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 367 | 51%187 W · 180 L | -15.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked fnatic | 9c | 140$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 1,181 | 22.5%266 W · 915 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked FlyQuest | 63c | 140$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.8 | 1,393 | 65.9%918 W · 475 L | +26.8wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f4…e02fbacked fnatic | 29c | 139.61$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5425…8b3abacked fnatic | 49c | 130.3$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 200 | 52.5%105 W · 95 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb358…122cbacked fnatic | 44c | 125$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 72 | 55.6%40 W · 32 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed fnatic | 64c | 110.05$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.59 | 216 | 39.8%86 W · 130 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97c7…37adbacked fnatic | 37c | 108.97$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.6 | 667 | 53.1%354 W · 313 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb10…bdd3backed fnatic | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 63 | 44.4%28 W · 35 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x984c…a21abacked fnatic | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19f1…f301backed fnatic | 62c | 96.53$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 201 | 57.7%116 W · 85 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c0…3cd3backed fnatic | 64c | 93.75$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 225 | 60.4%136 W · 89 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1af3…3ef6backed FlyQuest | 38c | 74$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.88 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.7wins | +0.30per pick | 59cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe0fd…5b3cbacked FlyQuest | 39c | 64.1$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.1 | 116 | 44%51 W · 65 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x476b…8a58backed FlyQuest | 39c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.5 | 420 | 57.1%240 W · 180 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed fnatic | 62c | 45.16$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 736 | 58.2%428 W · 308 L | -22.8wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05ec…7158backed fnatic | 49c | 40.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +60.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcda0…a51abacked fnatic | 66c | 40$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 54 | 61.1%33 W · 21 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x498b…ca86backed fnatic | 43c | 34.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 206 | 59.2%122 W · 84 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc5…197fbacked fnatic | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.11per pick | 63cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ce…01a9backed fnatic | 43c | 27.61$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc5…ee5abacked fnatic | 66c | 22.73$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 113 | 40.7%46 W · 67 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecba…5fb4backed fnatic | 61c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 245 | 54.7%134 W · 111 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38b8…5d35backed fnatic | 64c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 364 | 37.4%136 W · 228 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb819…cc67backed fnatic | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 241 | 55.6%134 W · 107 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5d7…dcb3backed fnatic | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -3.3wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xace6…5556backed fnatic | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 676 | 51.8%350 W · 326 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac0c…739cbacked fnatic | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 660 | 34.1%225 W · 435 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.