CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: B8 vs paiN (BO3)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5287342544eb12767a1ad69407dbf894f646e72068d7d90aaa19ee71f263af46
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- paiNof B8, paiN
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $49,925
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $50,301
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,925 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xac75…1319backed B8 | 54c | 7,500$4,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,050 | 164 | 49.4%81 W · 83 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed paiN | 54c | 6,597$3,569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,027.34 | 273 | 45.8%125 W · 148 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed paiN | 45c | 5,555$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,055.24 | 882 | 42.3%373 W · 509 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34a2…abd7backed B8 | 51c | 5,396$2,744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,743.58 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdad2…98c6backed B8 | 51c | 4,136$2,093 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,092.75 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked B8 | 40c | 3,800$1,510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,510 | 359 | 40.4%145 W · 214 L | -15.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a3…b1dfbacked paiN | 58c | 3,781$2,211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,569.68 | 130 | 50%65 W · 65 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed paiN | 45c | 3,000$1,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,649.99 | 1,081 | 50.9%550 W · 531 L | +37.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed B8 | 53c | 2,623$1,390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,390.21 | 216 | 45.4%98 W · 118 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9823…02dbbacked paiN | 67c | 2,588$1,722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$866.79 | 470 | 55.7%262 W · 208 L | +27.7wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6df6…8458backed B8 | 26c | 2,280$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590.09 | 324 | 25.3%82 W · 242 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed paiN | 46c | 2,174$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,173.96 | 670 | 41.8%280 W · 390 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60cc…f0dfbacked B8 | 47c | 2,000$936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$936.25 | 180 | 51.1%92 W · 88 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked paiN | 78c | 1,798$1,394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.71 | 836 | 52.5%439 W · 397 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98f6…79d2backed paiN | 46c | 1,304$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$704.35 | 377 | 52%196 W · 181 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa05b…a94fbacked B8 | 54c | 1,105$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -6.4wins | -0.22per pick | 60cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed B8 | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550.01 | 1,259 | 42.5%535 W · 724 L | +20.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4602…3315backed paiN | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530 | 139 | 54.7%76 W · 63 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…61bcbacked paiN | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 142 | 39.4%56 W · 86 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5159…d7aebacked paiN | 45c | 999.97$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549.98 | 121 | 45.5%55 W · 66 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25f4…20e0backed B8 | 55c | 909.09$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 212 | 51.4%109 W · 103 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7b0…9fb0backed B8 | 34c | 882.35$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed paiN | 57c | 850$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.87 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf092…4ebabacked B8 | 55c | 826.85$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.77 | 109 | 47.7%52 W · 57 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed B8 | 45c | 825$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.75 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8541…a367backed paiN | 45c | 774.04$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.51 | 283 | 44.2%125 W · 158 L | +17.1wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a75…f947backed B8 | 12c | 700$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc151…2501backed B8 | 58c | 689.99$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.49 | 64 | 56.3%36 W · 28 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked paiN | 46c | 667.08$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.4 | 298 | 55%164 W · 134 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed paiN | 44c | 605$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.8 | 463 | 40.8%189 W · 274 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked B8 | 42c | 580$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.4 | 132 | 35.6%47 W · 85 L | -8.7wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed paiN | 57c | 577.81$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.04 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4557…4212backed B8 | 53c | 569.13$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed paiN | 46c | 500$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 283 | 51.9%147 W · 136 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8465…6bbdbacked paiN | 47c | 500$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265 | 95 | 41.1%39 W · 56 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb9…3783backed paiN | 47c | 444$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.32 | 259 | 41.3%107 W · 152 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x677f…1228backed paiN | 47c | 427$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.31 | 137 | 40.9%56 W · 81 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48a5…a903backed B8 | 41c | 425$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.5 | 114 | 40.4%46 W · 68 L | -9.2wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x641f…942bbacked B8 | 51c | 354.41$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 137 | 56.2%77 W · 60 L | +9.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x653e…bbc0backed paiN | 46c | 326.09$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.09 | 387 | 39.5%153 W · 234 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x644b…2145backed paiN | 51c | 314.76$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.23 | 157 | 49%77 W · 80 L | +11.4wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked B8 | 53c | 301$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.53 | 1,262 | 46.9%592 W · 670 L | -34.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1939…22e8backed B8 | 33c | 300$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 118 | 40.7%48 W · 70 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked paiN | 64c | 275$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.1 | 1,393 | 65.9%918 W · 475 L | +26.8wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbaca…49e6backed paiN | 41c | 248.26$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.26 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe283…7190backed B8 | 55c | 227.27$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 965 | 45.7%441 W · 524 L | +10.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbff4…eaf3backed B8 | 54c | 220$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.8 | 114 | 28.1%32 W · 82 L | -9.7wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbc9f…45debacked B8 | 57c | 217.62$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.47 | 93 | 41.9%39 W · 54 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38dd…c20abacked paiN | 73c | 200$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 98 | 38.8%38 W · 60 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed paiN | 47c | 198$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.94 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked paiN | 45c | 192.95$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.12 | 1,144 | 49.4%565 W · 579 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x215d…ba6dbacked B8 | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 118 | 47.5%56 W · 62 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed paiN | 45c | 181.81$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.99 | 216 | 39.8%86 W · 130 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2133…7903backed paiN | 45c | 171.11$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.11 | 388 | 35.8%139 W · 249 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecba…5fb4backed B8 | 55c | 150.01$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.51 | 245 | 54.7%134 W · 111 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c0…3cd3backed paiN | 41c | 146.34$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.34 | 225 | 60.4%136 W · 89 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6777…2612backed B8 | 55c | 136.36$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 110 | 30.9%34 W · 76 L | -11.3wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -23%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa61d…df1abacked B8 | 46c | 130.43$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 166 | 49.4%82 W · 84 L | -15.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0c…2265backed paiN | 39c | 129.9$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.24 | 149 | 52.3%78 W · 71 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4731…cba8backed paiN | 79c | 129.25$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.14 | 100 | 55%55 W · 45 L | +7.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x38b8…5d35backed B8 | 37c | 110$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.3 | 364 | 37.4%136 W · 228 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3731…405fbacked B8 | 55c | 103.89$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.14 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…14a3backed B8 | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 234 | 54.7%128 W · 106 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…4d22backed B8 | 55c | 90.9$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97c7…37adbacked paiN | 47c | 85.11$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.11 | 667 | 53.1%354 W · 313 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99de…7b9bbacked B8 | 55c | 72.73$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.26per pick | 63cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xac0c…739cbacked B8 | 46c | 70$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.25 | 660 | 34.1%225 W · 435 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbc2…4bc8backed paiN | 47c | 63.83$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.83 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcce9…6b48backed B8 | 32c | 60$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed B8 | 44c | 54$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x476b…8a58backed paiN | 55c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 420 | 57.1%240 W · 180 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa6…03ebbacked paiN | 41c | 49.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.5 | 956 | 42.6%407 W · 549 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0fd…5b3cbacked B8 | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 116 | 44%51 W · 65 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb819…cc67backed paiN | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 241 | 55.6%134 W · 107 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f4…e02fbacked paiN | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03f9…1f57backed paiN | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 94 | 55.3%52 W · 42 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d47…e5d8backed B8 | 55c | 38.62$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.24 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -3.0wins | -0.19per pick | 57cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x05c9…271bbacked B8 | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 98 | 48%47 W · 51 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19f1…f301backed B8 | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 201 | 57.7%116 W · 85 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc376…a8e7backed paiN | 68c | 30.88$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.88 | 225 | 56%126 W · 99 L | +8.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6410…ee60backed paiN | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +96.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad9d…9b95backed B8 | 52c | 23.71$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.26 | 163 | 45.4%74 W · 89 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x498b…ca86backed B8 | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 206 | 59.2%122 W · 84 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.