NFL · resolved market
Will the Ravens win the AFC Championship?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa4fb24b93b88e40a7a12e81b1d16e2572059d773f3fd0a7ccc3e72dd060f7ce1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,392,738
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,523,428
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,392,738 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 302 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1c5f…5eb7backed No | 78c | 191,000$149,653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41,347 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb4…5821backed No | 73c | 137,000$99,937 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37,063 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 75cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d0…40adbacked No | 73c | 69,000$50,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,975 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 73cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5306…2a28backed Yes | 28c | 69,000$18,975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,975 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb7e…0ba8backed No | 73c | 68,000$49,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,360 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b6…b725backed No | 73c | 68,000$49,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,360 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45a2…226ebacked Yes | 27c | 68,000$18,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,360 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5abc…a192backed No | 73c | 68,000$49,912 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,088 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8799…4471backed Yes | 27c | 68,000$18,088 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,088 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa04c…7581backed Yes | 23c | 65,000$14,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,950 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd543…b4b9backed No | 77c | 65,000$50,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,950 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7849…e47fbacked Yes | 21c | 63,000$13,041 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,041 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ce…a3ddbacked No | 79c | 63,000$49,644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,356 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dc…3d6ebacked Yes | 21c | 63,000$13,356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,356 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0d4…26b0backed No | 79c | 63,000$49,959 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,041 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ec…df91backed Yes | 22c | 8,363$1,878 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,878.42 | 224 | 34.4%77 W · 147 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd95…99f2backed Yes | 14c | 7,836$1,081 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,081.41 | 157 | 22.3%35 W · 122 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79c4…d1c7backed Yes | 19c | 6,518$1,208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,207.65 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 33cpaid | -79.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55b4…80eabacked Yes | 27c | 5,464$1,468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,467.58 | 101 | 4%4 W · 97 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 8cpaid | -87.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5135…8839backed Yes | 13c | 3,438$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.33 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 30cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fe8…2cbabacked Yes | 23c | 3,332$770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$770 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | +4,066.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f47…af93backed Yes | 14c | 3,003$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.36 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked Yes | 13c | 2,394$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.35 | 150 | 8%12 W · 138 L | -9.7wins | -0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -74%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…468fbacked Yes | 25c | 2,320$586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$586.1 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -79.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x562a…3d9cbacked Yes | 28c | 2,260$637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$636.91 | 38 | 18.4%7 W · 31 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2370…0e10backed Yes | 17c | 1,953$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.07 | 180 | 9.4%17 W · 163 L | -10.7wins | -0.06per pick | 15cpaid | -59.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcece…dc07backed Yes | 22c | 1,807$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.08 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 25cpaid | -4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d4a…2215backed Yes | 22c | 1,802$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 172 | 48.3%83 W · 89 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +41%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea3e…b956backed Yes | 23c | 1,778$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.58 | 243 | 51.4%125 W · 118 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc8…39efbacked Yes | 26c | 1,548$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.4 | 142 | 48.6%69 W · 73 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a5e…c869backed Yes | 25c | 1,525$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.68 | 117 | 38.5%45 W · 72 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf655…7ea4backed Yes | 22c | 1,518$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.75 | 162 | 26.5%43 W · 119 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcb1…d3e3backed Yes | 27c | 1,407$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375 | 101 | 25.7%26 W · 75 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfebb…4008backed Yes | 21c | 1,400$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60b0…5ea2backed No | 79c | 1,397$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d79…4725backed Yes | 25c | 1,198$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.81 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -63.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee2…46e1backed Yes | 26c | 1,011$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.96 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -61.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x477f…19aabacked Yes | 20c | 1,000$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.96 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +10%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x14dd…13eebacked Yes | 2c | 999.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 38 | 5.3%2 W · 36 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 9cpaid | -71.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 25c | 904.07$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.92 | 68 | 32.4%22 W · 46 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x63bf…e319backed Yes | 28c | 816.48$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.62 | 87 | 29.9%26 W · 61 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x745a…64e8backed Yes | 14c | 738$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.56 | 71 | 23.9%17 W · 54 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 74c | 722.46$538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.9 | 528 | 28.6%151 W · 377 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Yes | 29c | 692.8$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 221 | 42.1%93 W · 128 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed No | 78c | 663.38$516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.89 | 196 | 38.8%76 W · 120 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…580fbacked Yes | 22c | 627.85$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.56 | 104 | 34.6%36 W · 68 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x00a6…9343backed Yes | 16c | 585.26$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.72 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe25c…ae63backed Yes | 23c | 558.58$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.38 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8507…8a79backed Yes | 23c | 545.85$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6704…baa4backed Yes | 18c | 540.96$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7544…b545backed Yes | 24c | 502.46$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.1 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda2f…baccbacked Yes | 19c | 500$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.5 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5308…3221backed No | 78c | 491.03$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.55 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60b9…184cbacked Yes | 24c | 404.17$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.88 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 39cpaid | -78.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86d0…c6ffbacked Yes | 26c | 403.43$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x542c…f12bbacked No | 72c | 400$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.91 | 97 | 24.7%24 W · 73 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x064d…a0e4backed Yes | 16c | 399$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.64 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07fd…48fbbacked Yes | 15c | 357.14$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf15…53c8backed Yes | 29c | 347.07$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 77c | 325.2$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.21 | 268 | 30.6%82 W · 186 L | -29.2wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe064…cd51backed Yes | 25c | 301.57$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.7 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7421…5a95backed Yes | 15c | 295.06$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f41…83f5backed Yes | 17c | 294.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.35 | 153 | 32%49 W · 104 L | -8.6wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0298…93c4backed Yes | 24c | 293.53$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.07 | 283 | 37.8%107 W · 176 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf22e…9a18backed No | 74c | 284$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.56 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 73cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed27…6a29backed Yes | 17c | 260$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Yes | 16c | 258.77$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.37 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -3.9wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x390d…350bbacked Yes | 20c | 257.81$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb60d…52d3backed Yes | 27c | 252.13$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.55 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87e9…67c6backed Yes | 28c | 250$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.64 | 72 | 43.1%31 W · 41 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa128…d695backed Yes | 20c | 230$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1840…6374backed No | 74c | 228.93$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.75 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 72cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x310e…948abacked Yes | 24c | 220.57$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f0…d40abacked Yes | 14c | 220$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.46 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2f…b802backed No | 77c | 219.1$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781b…7c13backed Yes | 29c | 212.36$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc090…37f2backed Yes | 24c | 212.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a61…d677backed Yes | 27c | 211.7$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.19 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa111…e105backed Yes | 24c | 210.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 10cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61d1…ddccbacked Yes | 29c | 209.79$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c75…28e4backed Yes | 28c | 204.95$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4859…e322backed Yes | 26c | 203.49$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ef5…ea80backed Yes | 24c | 201.75$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68ed…ef44backed Yes | 24c | 201.72$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.9 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf186…5b68backed Yes | 28c | 201.49$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.7 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +45.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9292…2cd1backed Yes | 20c | 201.01$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed Yes | 16c | 200.77$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.33 | 90 | 45.6%41 W · 49 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b55…02f8backed Yes | 11c | 200$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.62 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b6…4980backed Yes | 29c | 195.8$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3792…3a3abacked Yes | 24c | 182.61$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f33…4059backed No | 72c | 174.45$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…9903backed Yes | 30c | 168.44$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 87 | 60.9%53 W · 34 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc725…6c77backed Yes | 15c | 163.15$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…fbcebacked Yes | 15c | 162.34$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 97 | 32%31 W · 66 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -24%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd104…8599backed Yes | 26c | 151.38$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.85 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x600a…5a6bbacked No | 78c | 140.62$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…1da6backed Yes | 24c | 129.53$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e5…d730backed Yes | 29c | 128.47$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf74…6fffbacked Yes | 24c | 126.05$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd08…0c59backed No | 74c | 124.77$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.54 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the Ravens win the AFC Championship?this page
- Will the Bengals win the AFC Championship?No won
- Will the Bills win the AFC Championship?No won
- Will the Broncos win the AFC Championship?No won
- Will the Browns win the AFC Championship?No won
- Will the Chargers win the AFC Championship?No won
- Will the Chiefs win the AFC Championship?Yes won
- Will the Colts win the AFC Championship?No won
- Will the Dolphins win the AFC Championship?No won
- Will the Jaguars win the AFC Championship?No won
- Will the Jets win the AFC Championship?No won
- Will the Patriots win the AFC Championship?No won
- Will the Raiders win the AFC Championship?No won
- Will the Steelers win the AFC Championship?No won
- Will the Texans win the AFC Championship?No won
- Will the Titans win the AFC Championship?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.