NFL · resolved market
Will the Raiders win the AFC Championship?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd3f732bba5fc2e780d9cb5fa897c03014fadbcf4d1da1fac58f54ed1b0352141
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,045,280
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,634,929
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,045,280 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 106 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x57a0…2884backed Yes | 0c | 43,233$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4410…592dbacked Yes | 0c | 43,233$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d27…76d8backed Yes | 0c | 28,075$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.24 | 176 | 9.1%16 W · 160 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -43%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10f9…94f4backed Yes | 1c | 26,855$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04ea…9e60backed Yes | 1c | 26,855$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf01c…3bfabacked Yes | 1c | 26,855$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b2e…a718backed Yes | 1c | 26,855$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b11…1530backed Yes | 1c | 26,855$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf01e…700cbacked Yes | 1c | 26,855$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf066…a9ffbacked Yes | 1c | 26,855$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9224…56abbacked Yes | 1c | 26,855$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4203…42d5backed Yes | 1c | 26,855$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd091…d534backed Yes | 1c | 26,855$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a3b…e383backed Yes | 1c | 26,855$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf21c…0ec7backed Yes | 1c | 26,855$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fdf…2c89backed Yes | 1c | 26,855$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5911…ac4abacked Yes | 1c | 26,855$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79db…57d3backed Yes | 1c | 26,855$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0fc…55b9backed Yes | 1c | 26,855$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeefc…7f7fbacked Yes | 1c | 26,845$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0468…583fbacked Yes | 1c | 26,845$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd38a…1c97backed Yes | 1c | 26,447$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x866d…4b18backed Yes | 1c | 26,447$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c8…9987backed Yes | 1c | 26,447$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7221…79a6backed Yes | 1c | 26,447$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd28…bf3ebacked Yes | 1c | 26,447$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf819…4c24backed Yes | 1c | 26,447$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…2cccbacked Yes | 1c | 26,447$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec7a…39fdbacked Yes | 1c | 26,447$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0ae…2e36backed Yes | 1c | 26,447$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5f7…4194backed Yes | 1c | 26,447$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89e8…61febacked Yes | 1c | 26,447$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1665…aec8backed Yes | 1c | 26,447$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd899…7e7fbacked Yes | 1c | 26,447$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb688…0cd6backed Yes | 1c | 26,447$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7afc…c7d2backed Yes | 1c | 26,447$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c64…ccc4backed Yes | 1c | 24,604$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07ed…4648backed Yes | 1c | 24,249$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2be6…e153backed Yes | 1c | 24,249$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d7c…3ab9backed Yes | 1c | 24,249$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9c1…c174backed Yes | 1c | 24,249$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7157…ccf7backed Yes | 1c | 24,249$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9269…a790backed Yes | 1c | 24,249$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0b…55f7backed Yes | 1c | 24,249$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd7e…db8abacked Yes | 1c | 24,249$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1723…1b01backed Yes | 1c | 24,235$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe654…87a9backed Yes | 1c | 24,047$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe21b…ef45backed Yes | 1c | 24,047$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3516…4c2abacked Yes | 1c | 24,047$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0b9…7bc2backed Yes | 1c | 24,047$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7216…103dbacked Yes | 1c | 24,047$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e4a…8672backed Yes | 1c | 24,032$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1e…08a7backed Yes | 1c | 23,802$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa071…badfbacked Yes | 1c | 23,802$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2941…8f07backed Yes | 1c | 23,802$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaff7…fb54backed Yes | 1c | 23,802$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc815…5993backed Yes | 1c | 23,802$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c8…9911backed Yes | 1c | 23,802$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01a3…3a3ebacked Yes | 1c | 23,802$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e14…d994backed Yes | 1c | 23,802$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0229…f142backed Yes | 1c | 23,802$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38fe…068dbacked Yes | 1c | 23,498$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6510…cfc2backed Yes | 1c | 23,498$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46d9…8c98backed Yes | 1c | 23,498$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0391…d96dbacked Yes | 1c | 23,498$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51a2…e800backed Yes | 1c | 23,498$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7521…cc3ebacked Yes | 1c | 23,498$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb555…f266backed Yes | 1c | 23,498$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23ae…e3d6backed Yes | 1c | 22,564$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c5…c035backed Yes | 0c | 21,468$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67d9…f8e1backed Yes | 1c | 21,397$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62d4…db67backed Yes | 1c | 21,209$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a2b…19c7backed Yes | 1c | 21,194$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…7c8dbacked Yes | 1c | 21,194$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16df…2959backed Yes | 1c | 21,180$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a27…26bcbacked Yes | 1c | 20,977$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89e3…e78ebacked Yes | 0c | 20,657$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.63 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22b6…3fb7backed Yes | 1c | 18,125$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5646…ef5cbacked Yes | 1c | 18,125$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fb6…9f55backed Yes | 1c | 18,125$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3134…9ddcbacked Yes | 0c | 14,119$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.36 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc613…662bbacked Yes | 0c | 12,027$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.44 | 243 | 0.8%2 W · 241 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076b…0bbfbacked Yes | 0c | 11,435$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.3 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc83…e316backed Yes | 0c | 10,734$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc2…6b73backed Yes | 0c | 10,734$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8461…7982backed Yes | 0c | 10,734$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13e8…ea37backed Yes | 0c | 10,734$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d0b…4f4dbacked Yes | 0c | 10,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 34 | 2.9%1 W · 33 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | -78.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f2…5e85backed Yes | 0c | 6,201$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff2a…5900backed Yes | 0c | 5,822$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.47 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa488…3368backed Yes | 0c | 5,667$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ba0…25efbacked Yes | 0c | 5,206$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.62 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f5c…74babacked Yes | 0c | 5,205$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.62 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57eb…f175backed Yes | 0c | 5,205$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.62 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2623…16c2backed Yes | 0c | 5,205$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe783…510dbacked Yes | 0c | 5,200$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes | 0c | 4,999$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 106 | 1.9%2 W · 104 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd80f…afdbbacked Yes | 0c | 4,398$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x714f…e8aebacked Yes | 0c | 4,259$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.78 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b21…5a27backed Yes | 0c | 4,178$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.54 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the Raiders win the AFC Championship?this page
- Will the Bengals win the AFC Championship?No won
- Will the Bills win the AFC Championship?No won
- Will the Broncos win the AFC Championship?No won
- Will the Browns win the AFC Championship?No won
- Will the Chargers win the AFC Championship?No won
- Will the Chiefs win the AFC Championship?Yes won
- Will the Colts win the AFC Championship?No won
- Will the Dolphins win the AFC Championship?No won
- Will the Jaguars win the AFC Championship?No won
- Will the Jets win the AFC Championship?No won
- Will the Patriots win the AFC Championship?No won
- Will the Ravens win the AFC Championship?No won
- Will the Steelers win the AFC Championship?No won
- Will the Texans win the AFC Championship?No won
- Will the Titans win the AFC Championship?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.