TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NFL · resolved market

Will the Titans win the AFC Championship?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$3,229,921
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$282,922

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,229,921 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 162 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NFL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2d27…76d8backed Yes0c81,204$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.411769.1%16 W · 160 L-5.7wins-0.03per pick12cpaid-43%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc613…662bbacked Yes0c37,469$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.792430.8%2 W · 241 L+1.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-37.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbbab…1927backed Yes0c34,110$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.3380%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x18d8…8cc1backed Yes0c32,500$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d56…a0a2backed Yes0c30,000$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x572e…e9b9backed Yes0c26,534$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.650%0 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6fa0…f07abacked Yes1c26,011$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.0510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf7f4…9cd4backed Yes1c26,001$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3bd3…abe7backed Yes1c25,986$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.9310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc760…86b0backed Yes1c25,842$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.2110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x864b…5b48backed Yes1c25,711$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.5510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x719c…3f1bbacked Yes1c25,711$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.5510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a04…b73bbacked Yes1c25,711$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.5510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x63f1…485cbacked Yes1c25,711$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.5510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0cdf…2388backed Yes1c25,711$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.5510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3af6…facfbacked Yes1c25,711$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.5510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d2b…0f1abacked Yes1c25,711$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.5510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbc4f…da9fbacked Yes1c25,711$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.5510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xed9f…45d4backed Yes1c25,711$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.5510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6f17…d49abacked Yes1c25,711$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.5510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe51c…ea66backed Yes1c25,711$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.5510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f95…ab43backed Yes1c25,711$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.5510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4125…3e82backed Yes1c25,711$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.5510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x04a5…e192backed Yes1c25,711$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.5510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2791…02d8backed Yes0c24,260$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.7830%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0855…280cbacked Yes1c22,777$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.8910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8416…c3a7backed Yes1c22,767$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.8310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd947…a039backed Yes1c22,497$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.4910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c5e…eed5backed Yes1c22,497$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.4910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x03fb…275ebacked Yes1c22,497$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.4810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4474…9da0backed Yes1c22,497$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.4810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d73…dfbfbacked Yes1c22,497$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.4810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa1d9…e921backed Yes0c20,147$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.4490%0 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x27fc…9dd6backed Yes0c18,945$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.9540%0 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8901…21d0backed Yes0c17,910$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.7380%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3377…1304backed Yes0c17,404$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.3750%0 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9073…53d0backed Yes0c17,317$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.350%0 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7241…a50dbacked Yes0c17,317$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.350%0 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9f1…368bbacked Yes0c17,229$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.2240%0 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe4a9…81cabacked Yes0c17,035$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.11110%0 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x743f…8554backed Yes0c15,600$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.5750%0 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x80e8…23f6backed Yes0c15,600$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.5740%0 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadf4…e545backed Yes0c15,512$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.4940%0 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7cc0…8934backed Yes0c15,440$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.3250%0 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb481…eddfbacked Yes0c15,424$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.4150%0 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f88…6fffbacked Yes0c14,698$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.6750%0 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd20d…0c58backed Yes0c14,522$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.5140%0 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5359…ce6bbacked Yes0c14,522$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.5150%0 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e4c…5c25backed Yes0c14,522$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.5150%0 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9676…ab31backed Yes0c14,434$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.4350%0 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0fd6…eb55backed Yes0c14,434$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.4340%0 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e7d…9210backed Yes0c14,225$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.6820%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9a57…9f5abacked Yes0c14,130$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.3910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0109…86a3backed Yes0c13,796$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.7740%0 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc624…8dedbacked Yes0c13,796$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.7750%0 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x713f…4cf2backed Yes0c13,620$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.6150%0 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x95c4…1944backed Yes0c13,620$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.6150%0 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ef4…18b9backed Yes0c13,620$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.6140%0 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc3b…1bd4backed Yes0c13,620$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.6150%0 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc04d…264cbacked Yes0c13,620$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.6150%0 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f08…e13ebacked Yes0c13,620$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.6150%0 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd2a7…ac59backed Yes0c13,620$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.6140%0 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc91d…b27dbacked Yes0c13,558$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.6780%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd204…f56ebacked Yes0c13,532$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.5350%0 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe32f…075fbacked Yes0c13,532$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.5340%0 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaa96…360fbacked Yes0c13,532$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.5350%0 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x47ec…c02fbacked Yes0c13,532$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.5340%0 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d88…7195backed Yes0c13,532$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.5350%0 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x154a…5282backed Yes0c12,894$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.8650%0 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeada…f448backed Yes0c12,894$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.8650%0 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e5b…fe13backed Yes0c12,718$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.7150%0 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51a1…795fbacked Yes0c12,718$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.7140%0 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd613…c48fbacked Yes0c12,718$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.7140%0 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0763…59c6backed Yes0c12,718$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.7150%0 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa591…76b2backed Yes0c12,630$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.6340%0 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a02…5a1fbacked Yes0c12,630$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.6340%0 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x30e8…0382backed Yes0c12,630$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.6350%0 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d31…8e31backed Yes0c11,904$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.8850%0 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf73b…8d5dbacked Yes0c11,904$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.8830%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa0e3…6ea6backed Yes0c11,904$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.8850%0 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe7a3…f116backed Yes0c11,904$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.8850%0 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2dbf…3cc4backed Yes0c11,816$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.8150%0 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa38b…5979backed Yes0c11,816$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.8150%0 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd988…0d55backed Yes0c11,816$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.8140%0 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e0d…6f2dbacked Yes0c11,816$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.8150%0 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e85…1802backed Yes0c11,816$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.8150%0 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa637…e2b4backed Yes0c11,816$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.8140%0 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f63…55d8backed Yes0c11,816$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.8150%0 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6cd4…c227backed Yes0c11,816$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.8150%0 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd7ed…ff00backed Yes0c11,728$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.7350%0 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f8d…192ebacked Yes0c11,728$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.7340%0 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfeee…59d2backed Yes0c11,262$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.7920%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf2d7…d628backed Yes0c11,089$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.0650%0 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c67…9e53backed Yes0c11,089$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.0650%0 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfa8…065cbacked Yes0c11,089$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.0640%0 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1149…f13bbacked Yes0c11,023$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.0760%0 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc61…e8b0backed Yes0c11,001$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.9840%0 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x61a2…e644backed Yes0c11,001$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.9850%0 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6001…8641backed Yes0c11,001$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.9840%0 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfa77…abcdbacked Yes0c10,914$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.940%0 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.