NFL · resolved market
Will the Patriots win the AFC Championship?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x544a42c7bf384059909293dc6d703fd989b984428be0efeafbe360cf719634ca
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,004,739
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,696,957
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,004,739 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 151 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfc85…3178backed Yes | 0c | 49,977$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe070…b903backed Yes | 0c | 45,664$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7b7…f053backed Yes | 0c | 36,616$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d27…76d8backed Yes | 0c | 30,704$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.41 | 176 | 9.1%16 W · 160 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -43%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x714f…e8aebacked Yes | 0c | 30,211$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.63 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e67…e04fbacked Yes | 0c | 27,002$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfda6…99b3backed Yes | 0c | 22,948$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.84 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc613…662bbacked Yes | 0c | 18,845$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.8 | 243 | 0.8%2 W · 241 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f24…7425backed Yes | 0c | 18,702$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cf2…acc4backed Yes | 0c | 16,106$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.32 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde9b…32e5backed Yes | 0c | 15,686$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.06 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54aa…38ccbacked Yes | 0c | 15,480$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.44 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1e6…603abacked Yes | 0c | 12,099$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.3 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0456…5149backed Yes | 0c | 10,931$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.79 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a9d…6e3ebacked Yes | 0c | 10,101$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.3 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d0b…4f4dbacked Yes | 0c | 10,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 34 | 2.9%1 W · 33 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | -78.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes | 0c | 9,999$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 106 | 1.9%2 W · 104 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e73…1b57backed Yes | 0c | 9,249$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc74e…d8c9backed Yes | 0c | 9,012$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.04 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb13f…0939backed Yes | 0c | 9,012$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.04 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb65d…e281backed Yes | 0c | 9,012$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddc…c49dbacked Yes | 0c | 9,009$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b32…19b1backed Yes | 0c | 9,009$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.03 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa22d…e5a3backed Yes | 0c | 9,003$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.01 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f5c…74babacked Yes | 0c | 8,932$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.8 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7d3…1ad9backed Yes | 0c | 8,658$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.97 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf761…f1ffbacked Yes | 0c | 8,658$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.97 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe547…f42cbacked Yes | 0c | 8,652$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.46 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb05…6320backed Yes | 0c | 8,617$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.85 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf1d…7318backed Yes | 0c | 8,298$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4348…1872backed Yes | 0c | 8,082$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.25 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a1…6a9fbacked Yes | 0c | 8,009$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.03 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7789…f823backed Yes | 1c | 8,000$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 23 | 8.7%2 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 13cpaid | -84.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a11…a90ebacked Yes | 0c | 8,000$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6d…a617backed Yes | 0c | 7,929$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.69 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa40d…ea7abacked Yes | 1c | 7,530$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.21 | 46 | 4.3%2 W · 44 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb5…d064backed Yes | 0c | 7,009$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1c3…c866backed Yes | 0c | 7,003$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.51 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8901…21d0backed Yes | 0c | 6,909$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.73 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89e3…e78ebacked Yes | 0c | 6,877$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.63 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b14…d016backed Yes | 0c | 6,550$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.65 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57eb…f175backed Yes | 0c | 6,546$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.64 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21d6…d887backed Yes | 0c | 6,522$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe08…f08ebacked Yes | 0c | 6,503$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc924…706dbacked Yes | 0c | 6,500$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4698…6fbfbacked Yes | 0c | 5,835$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.51 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2aca…fc49backed Yes | 0c | 5,810$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0913…a8c5backed Yes | 0c | 5,712$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.34 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7228…0212backed Yes | 0c | 5,407$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.22 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfeee…59d2backed Yes | 0c | 5,241$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.72 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc48…68e4backed Yes | 0c | 5,089$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6356…1885backed Yes | 1c | 5,000$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…aad5backed Yes | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -91.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeeb9…a974backed Yes | 0c | 4,932$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1149…f13bbacked Yes | 0c | 4,932$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b21…5a27backed Yes | 0c | 4,824$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.47 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98a9…9071backed Yes | 0c | 4,740$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14c7…94a2backed Yes | 0c | 4,740$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.22 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ab…160ebacked Yes | 0c | 4,740$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.22 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7155…b883backed Yes | 0c | 4,740$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.22 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28a7…316ebacked Yes | 0c | 4,735$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.21 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d9…e921backed Yes | 0c | 4,519$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.56 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0061…3cefbacked Yes | 0c | 4,510$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb66…b67bbacked Yes | 0c | 4,510$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0bff…e50fbacked Yes | 0c | 4,510$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.53 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0063…5337backed Yes | 0c | 4,510$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.53 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5c0…533dbacked Yes | 0c | 4,510$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08f5…0710backed Yes | 0c | 4,510$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.04 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9378…f5dbbacked Yes | 0c | 4,510$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.53 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5345…b9e8backed Yes | 0c | 4,510$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.53 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1e…373ebacked Yes | 0c | 4,510$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.53 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31c7…00c5backed Yes | 0c | 4,510$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.53 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x267a…6e71backed Yes | 0c | 4,510$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.04 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbc4…3df8backed Yes | 0c | 4,510$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.04 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a74…8dbcbacked Yes | 0c | 4,509$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5674…8d85backed Yes | 0c | 4,509$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d21…9dc1backed Yes | 0c | 4,509$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.04 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f29…941dbacked Yes | 0c | 4,509$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.53 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa1…4b41backed Yes | 0c | 4,509$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.53 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe444…f835backed Yes | 0c | 4,509$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…f177backed Yes | 0c | 4,509$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.53 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbba…6c80backed Yes | 0c | 4,509$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.53 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdea1…3a33backed Yes | 0c | 4,509$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.53 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93b8…f807backed Yes | 0c | 4,509$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.53 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a44…c8dbbacked Yes | 0c | 4,509$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff81…39cebacked Yes | 0c | 4,509$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.53 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4930…c6e1backed Yes | 0c | 4,509$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.53 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1461…af31backed Yes | 0c | 4,509$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.53 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b0a…23fdbacked Yes | 0c | 4,503$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.51 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8887…2a19backed Yes | 0c | 4,503$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.01 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7332…6888backed Yes | 0c | 4,503$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72a2…6869backed Yes | 0c | 4,503$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b55…0c82backed Yes | 0c | 4,503$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.46 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x616c…fcfdbacked Yes | 0c | 4,503$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.51 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f1e…78fcbacked Yes | 0c | 4,503$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.51 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fc2…93fbbacked Yes | 0c | 4,503$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.01 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5574…0051backed Yes | 0c | 4,503$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15d9…2224backed Yes | 0c | 4,503$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.51 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53db…562cbacked Yes | 0c | 4,503$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.01 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92fe…46fdbacked Yes | 0c | 4,503$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.01 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the Patriots win the AFC Championship?this page
- Will the Bengals win the AFC Championship?No won
- Will the Bills win the AFC Championship?No won
- Will the Broncos win the AFC Championship?No won
- Will the Browns win the AFC Championship?No won
- Will the Chargers win the AFC Championship?No won
- Will the Chiefs win the AFC Championship?Yes won
- Will the Colts win the AFC Championship?No won
- Will the Dolphins win the AFC Championship?No won
- Will the Jaguars win the AFC Championship?No won
- Will the Jets win the AFC Championship?No won
- Will the Raiders win the AFC Championship?No won
- Will the Ravens win the AFC Championship?No won
- Will the Steelers win the AFC Championship?No won
- Will the Texans win the AFC Championship?No won
- Will the Titans win the AFC Championship?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.