NFL · resolved market
Will the Browns win the AFC Championship?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6b35fcfa94f1aeba135d8c1fdee5018e9ac50a1be642a4bc5ee68ad15e252987
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,054,570
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $128,314
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,054,570 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 99 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2d27…76d8backed Yes | 0c | 29,073$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.98 | 176 | 9.1%16 W · 160 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -43%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa27a…2d43backed Yes | 0c | 22,635$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.9 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f95…1f84backed Yes | 0c | 22,504$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13e8…ea37backed Yes | 0c | 22,299$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefa7…ab43backed Yes | 0c | 20,265$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cbc…1859backed Yes | 0c | 19,966$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x572e…e9b9backed Yes | 0c | 17,886$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.66 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe185…9e9cbacked Yes | 0c | 17,242$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9935…8097backed Yes | 0c | 16,944$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f62…04dfbacked Yes | 0c | 16,944$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05bd…e503backed Yes | 0c | 16,944$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6c8…d48cbacked Yes | 0c | 16,943$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x63fe…b820backed Yes | 0c | 16,943$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4017…862bbacked Yes | 0c | 16,943$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe23e…87efbacked Yes | 0c | 16,644$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b57…56d2backed Yes | 0c | 16,644$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x887f…d677backed Yes | 0c | 16,644$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7838…5e35backed Yes | 0c | 16,644$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b9c…2ed2backed Yes | 0c | 16,644$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa6…75e7backed Yes | 0c | 16,644$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf21…9d4dbacked Yes | 0c | 16,644$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51e5…88cebacked Yes | 0c | 16,644$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbffe…d70fbacked Yes | 0c | 16,644$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabcb…fcdfbacked Yes | 0c | 16,644$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4894…985bbacked Yes | 0c | 16,643$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x829d…7b3fbacked Yes | 0c | 16,643$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc613…662bbacked Yes | 0c | 15,136$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.39 | 243 | 0.8%2 W · 241 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf8…9b81backed Yes | 0c | 14,781$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccba…ddc9backed Yes | 0c | 14,219$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93b2…4224backed Yes | 0c | 14,219$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc346…9c0ebacked Yes | 0c | 13,920$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfda6…99b3backed Yes | 0c | 12,594$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.78 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2791…02d8backed Yes | 0c | 12,130$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.39 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7829…f04abacked Yes | 0c | 11,363$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.09 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeeb9…a974backed Yes | 0c | 11,171$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.51 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc83…e316backed Yes | 0c | 11,150$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.45 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc2…6b73backed Yes | 0c | 11,150$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.45 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8461…7982backed Yes | 0c | 11,150$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.45 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0456…5149backed Yes | 0c | 10,836$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.51 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4a9…81cabacked Yes | 0c | 10,591$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.77 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbae…b1a9backed Yes | 0c | 10,408$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a06…b3f6backed Yes | 0c | 10,408$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b2a…63fbbacked Yes | 0c | 10,357$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1149…f13bbacked Yes | 0c | 10,266$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.8 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x287e…6f93backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d0b…4f4dbacked Yes | 0c | 10,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 34 | 2.9%1 W · 33 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | -78.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57a0…2884backed Yes | 0c | 9,999$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4410…592dbacked Yes | 0c | 9,999$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c5…c035backed Yes | 0c | 9,704$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd1…a6aebacked Yes | 0c | 8,425$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.27 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a11…a90ebacked Yes | 0c | 7,879$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.64 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e6a…c173backed Yes | 0c | 7,500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb05…6320backed Yes | 0c | 5,917$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.75 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff2a…5900backed Yes | 0c | 5,570$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.71 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa06d…d70bbacked Yes | 0c | 5,570$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.71 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7aa…c91bbacked Yes | 0c | 5,570$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.71 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf805…3c16backed Yes | 0c | 4,902$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.61 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47b6…377cbacked Yes | 0c | 4,887$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.55 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa40d…ea7abacked Yes | 3c | 4,194$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.87 | 46 | 4.3%2 W · 44 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57eb…f175backed Yes | 0c | 3,551$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.65 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd255…3c86backed Yes | 0c | 3,265$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.06 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4664…c1fabacked Yes | 0c | 3,265$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.06 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31ed…ec35backed Yes | 0c | 3,265$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.06 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58f5…9c9ebacked Yes | 0c | 3,265$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa1…4b41backed Yes | 0c | 3,265$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.06 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc13d…a2f8backed Yes | 0c | 3,265$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.06 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6666…a487backed Yes | 0c | 3,255$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.02 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d21…9dc1backed Yes | 0c | 3,255$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.02 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6335…df68backed Yes | 0c | 3,255$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.02 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe2a…0631backed Yes | 0c | 3,255$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.02 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0aac…f525backed Yes | 0c | 3,255$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.02 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82f1…8f9cbacked Yes | 0c | 3,255$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.02 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x900b…eadcbacked Yes | 0c | 3,255$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.02 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x127f…3f43backed Yes | 0c | 3,255$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.02 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc558…9930backed Yes | 0c | 3,255$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1c3…c866backed Yes | 0c | 3,255$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.02 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92fe…46fdbacked Yes | 0c | 3,255$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.02 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14c7…94a2backed Yes | 0c | 3,255$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.02 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ab…160ebacked Yes | 0c | 3,255$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.02 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ead…237bbacked Yes | 0c | 3,255$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.02 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07c9…97bbbacked Yes | 0c | 3,255$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…f177backed Yes | 0c | 3,255$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.02 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ec7…933dbacked Yes | 0c | 3,255$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.02 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a0f…9911backed Yes | 0c | 3,255$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.02 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb13f…0939backed Yes | 0c | 3,255$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.02 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bf2…1637backed Yes | 0c | 3,255$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.02 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0dbd…7e4ebacked Yes | 0c | 3,255$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.02 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92db…d72cbacked Yes | 0c | 3,255$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a3…cbeebacked Yes | 0c | 3,255$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.02 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33bf…80cdbacked Yes | 0c | 3,255$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.02 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac2c…8027backed Yes | 0c | 3,255$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.02 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6d…a617backed Yes | 0c | 3,255$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.02 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34ed…6830backed Yes | 0c | 3,255$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.02 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1461…af31backed Yes | 0c | 3,255$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.02 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2519…7da7backed Yes | 0c | 3,255$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x421b…c979backed Yes | 0c | 3,255$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.02 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed Yes | 0c | 3,251$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.99 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c72…ee4cbacked Yes | 2c | 1,172$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.78 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2370…0e10backed Yes | 3c | 458$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.96 | 180 | 9.4%17 W · 163 L | -10.7wins | -0.06per pick | 15cpaid | -59.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the Browns win the AFC Championship?this page
- Will the Bengals win the AFC Championship?No won
- Will the Bills win the AFC Championship?No won
- Will the Broncos win the AFC Championship?No won
- Will the Chargers win the AFC Championship?No won
- Will the Chiefs win the AFC Championship?Yes won
- Will the Colts win the AFC Championship?No won
- Will the Dolphins win the AFC Championship?No won
- Will the Jaguars win the AFC Championship?No won
- Will the Jets win the AFC Championship?No won
- Will the Patriots win the AFC Championship?No won
- Will the Raiders win the AFC Championship?No won
- Will the Ravens win the AFC Championship?No won
- Will the Steelers win the AFC Championship?No won
- Will the Texans win the AFC Championship?No won
- Will the Titans win the AFC Championship?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.