MLB · resolved market
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8851c2262cfb00575257ddbf8daf0de5d625956e8055b0b02013866831760558
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Philadelphia Philliesof Philadelphia Phillies, Los Angeles Dodgers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $63,238
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $86,089
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $63,238 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9a8c…ba13backed Philadelphia Phillies | 52c | 20,639$10,683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,955.99 | 158 | 51.9%82 W · 76 L | -12.5wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a0…88eebacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 48c | 11,206$5,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,379.95 | 283 | 48.8%138 W · 145 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 48c | 8,731$4,149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,149.06 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Philadelphia Phillies | 45c | 2,644$1,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,454.06 | 211 | 47.9%101 W · 110 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 51c | 2,572$1,306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,306.13 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd44c…ab91backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 54c | 2,203$1,190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,189.74 | 161 | 51.6%83 W · 78 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc3…7552backed Philadelphia Phillies | 51c | 2,169$1,106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,062.81 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 44c | 1,940$854 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,086.6 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbde3…4a49backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 54c | 1,226$662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$661.89 | 146 | 48.6%71 W · 75 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf62d…d3a0backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 55c | 1,171$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 150 | 50%75 W · 75 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 51c | 909.16$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463.67 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x714d…6e05backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 55c | 909.09$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | -5.8wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9e87…8befbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 55c | 727.27$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | -4.7wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 50c | 669.54$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.17 | 237 | 52.7%125 W · 112 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Philadelphia Phillies | 45c | 555.25$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.39 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 55c | 551.33$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.79 | 797 | 40.4%322 W · 475 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd55c…34febacked Philadelphia Phillies | 45c | 469.21$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.96 | 376 | 49.5%186 W · 190 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 57c | 300$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46e0…8b20backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 55c | 238.33$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.08 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Philadelphia Phillies | 78c | 233.17$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.3 | 312 | 48.4%151 W · 161 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8854…882dbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 57c | 200$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea5…2af9backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -15%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x931f…d15dbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -4.7wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b6d…5f97backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 58c | 171.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf339…e010backed Philadelphia Phillies | 46c | 150$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Philadelphia Phillies | 50c | 128.86$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.55 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 17c | 105.3$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.31 | 639 | 42.7%273 W · 366 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 15c | 104.81$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 944 | 55.3%522 W · 422 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d4…ae49backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 55c | 72.73$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef63…96cbbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 55c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 467 | 53.7%251 W · 216 L | -11.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Philadelphia Phillies | 49c | 48.15$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.41 | 809 | 55.5%449 W · 360 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 49c | 44.39$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.58 | 146 | 47.3%69 W · 77 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9292…2cd1backed Philadelphia Phillies | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0643…d46bbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 54c | 42.38$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 405 | 57.8%234 W · 171 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x235a…2e57backed Philadelphia Phillies | 37c | 40$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 125 | 48%60 W · 65 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.