MLB · resolved market
Phillies vs. Braves
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2856ea511bfa71d0c9354f8630552080a4a1cf76fe4b7c9a5c31eb35fdd4db1e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Philliesof Phillies, Braves
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $852,099
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $870,903
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $852,099 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 157 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9708…925bbacked Phillies | 42c | 683,842$285,564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398,278.1 | 166 | 43.4%72 W · 94 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Braves | 57c | 331,935$190,178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190,178.17 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15e0…8d86backed Braves | 58c | 144,111$83,584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83,584.38 | 111 | 53.2%59 W · 52 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Braves | 59c | 99,999$58,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58,999.41 | 358 | 54.5%195 W · 163 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Braves | 58c | 58,144$33,917 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,917.37 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Braves | 58c | 30,000$17,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,400 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Braves | 58c | 21,049$12,183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,183.27 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Braves | 36c | 17,365$6,318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,318.04 | 237 | 52.7%125 W · 112 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc605…d372backed Phillies | 64c | 17,146$10,916 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,229.7 | 86 | 41.9%36 W · 50 L | -15.3wins | -0.18per pick | 60cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Braves | 56c | 16,356$9,173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,172.94 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa488…fb11backed Phillies | 44c | 11,426$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,426.41 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Phillies | 46c | 10,939$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,939.4 | 531 | 50.5%268 W · 263 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7225…293abacked Phillies | 46c | 9,766$4,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,266.36 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Phillies | 41c | 7,730$3,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,539.74 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Braves | 58c | 7,500$4,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,350 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Braves | 50c | 6,571$3,307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,307.19 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Braves | 57c | 6,474$3,698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,697.66 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Braves | 60c | 5,950$3,551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,550.5 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…d0a3backed Phillies | 58c | 5,208$3,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,205.23 | 268 | 47.4%127 W · 141 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfb…df99backed Phillies | 58c | 4,903$2,844 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,059.21 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc43…398cbacked Braves | 24c | 4,188$1,014 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,014.43 | 54 | 29.6%16 W · 38 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -31%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…06e8backed Braves | 59c | 4,000$2,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,360 | 255 | 50.6%129 W · 126 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08ad…208ebacked Phillies | 40c | 3,901$1,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,340.5 | 217 | 40.1%87 W · 130 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc985…1e7dbacked Phillies | 69c | 3,546$2,447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,099.2 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 67cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1e0…8913backed Braves | 60c | 2,808$1,685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,685 | 77 | 58.4%45 W · 32 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8b…b3d7backed Braves | 56c | 2,802$1,575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,575.08 | 56 | 33.9%19 W · 37 L | -5.6wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Phillies | 42c | 2,612$1,098 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,514.42 | 308 | 42.9%132 W · 176 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28bc…e520backed Phillies | 40c | 2,500$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 279 | 53.4%149 W · 130 L | +16.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Braves | 59c | 2,400$1,416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,416 | 264 | 53.8%142 W · 122 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Braves | 58c | 2,369$1,374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,374.02 | 733 | 52.4%384 W · 349 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Braves | 58c | 2,120$1,221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,221.3 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Phillies | 41c | 2,000$820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,180 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…ddfabacked Braves | 60c | 2,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 374 | 46.8%175 W · 199 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03cd…9fdabacked Braves | 60c | 2,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 313 | 46.6%146 W · 167 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Phillies | 66c | 1,827$1,210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$616.6 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Phillies | 43c | 1,826$785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040.58 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Phillies | 30c | 1,480$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,036.91 | 312 | 48.4%151 W · 161 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Phillies | 32c | 1,250$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$850.18 | 540 | 48.3%261 W · 279 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcf…48e1backed Braves | 34c | 1,225$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.27 | 156 | 42.9%67 W · 89 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Braves | 31c | 1,200$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.24 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x659c…8dfcbacked Braves | 59c | 1,093$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$644.87 | 57 | 64.9%37 W · 20 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Phillies | 40c | 1,078$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$644.93 | 390 | 41%160 W · 230 L | -22.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb0…c865backed Braves | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 219 | 41.1%90 W · 129 L | -19.8wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -19%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7e68…5472backed Phillies | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd59…c3a5backed Braves | 61c | 984.22$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 134 | 50%67 W · 67 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Phillies | 41c | 977.99$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$577.99 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Phillies | 40c | 875$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…fa04backed Phillies | 42c | 850.69$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.4 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5308…3221backed Braves | 59c | 847$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.73 | 403 | 52.4%211 W · 192 L | +15.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Braves | 60c | 753$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.04 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b6f…3838backed Braves | 40c | 578.91$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.04 | 405 | 47.4%192 W · 213 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80b1…f64abacked Phillies | 42c | 569.05$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.05 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +3.6wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1953…5607backed Phillies | 41c | 556.68$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.44 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Braves | 17c | 529$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.9 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Braves | 55c | 519.73$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.85 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd073…b757backed Braves | 62c | 483.87$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Braves | 59c | 461.54$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.31 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe21e…4d48backed Braves | 4c | 420$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.45 | 248 | 8.9%22 W · 226 L | -17.8wins | -0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -77.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa320…8232backed Phillies | 62c | 403.23$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.23 | 284 | 47.5%135 W · 149 L | -20.9wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0d…8bcabacked Braves | 52c | 387.99$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 193 | 48.7%94 W · 99 L | +15.6wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +16%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Braves | 58c | 369.98$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.69 | 382 | 49.5%189 W · 193 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Phillies | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.14 | 391 | 60.4%236 W · 155 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05a4…1e85backed Phillies | 53c | 353.94$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.45 | 806 | 80%645 W · 161 L | +173.6wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed Phillies | 41c | 351$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.09 | 444 | 43%191 W · 253 L | +21.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Braves | 61c | 328$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.08 | 917 | 49.9%458 W · 459 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Braves | 60c | 300$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…8919backed Phillies | 40c | 294.21$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.08 | 405 | 48.9%198 W · 207 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74d8…5a80backed Braves | 56c | 280$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8485…c13ebacked Phillies | 42c | 253$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.74 | 165 | 52.1%86 W · 79 L | +12.5wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Braves | 33c | 250.6$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.45 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Phillies | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.9 | 563 | 51%287 W · 276 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabf6…129dbacked Phillies | 45c | 224.12$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.12 | 170 | 37.6%64 W · 106 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd540…b2febacked Braves | 59c | 220$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.6 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5d…17febacked Phillies | 58c | 202.03$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.45 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x272b…e303backed Phillies | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Phillies | 44c | 200$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Phillies | 40c | 197.02$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.8 | 850 | 47.4%403 W · 447 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Braves | 56c | 179.94$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.77 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd62…87abbacked Phillies | 45c | 178.87$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.87 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | -5.2wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa116…6f3bbacked Phillies | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 66 | 48.5%32 W · 34 L | -5.1wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7541…09d1backed Phillies | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.67 | 67 | 38.8%26 W · 41 L | -5.5wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -18%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Phillies | 47c | 151.03$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.03 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09e2…21d0backed Phillies | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95ec…4b7ebacked Braves | 42c | 146.38$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 387 | 43.2%167 W · 220 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabdd…a3cabacked Braves | 58c | 131.61$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.67 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae5…660cbacked Phillies | 44c | 122.15$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.4 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +119.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd67…9c73backed Phillies | 44c | 120.64$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.56 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0c3…0230backed Phillies | 56c | 112.28$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.28 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -5.9wins | -0.21per pick | 50cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Phillies | 42c | 111$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.01 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e18…3905backed Phillies | 45c | 110.78$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.93 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +57.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe9…296dbacked Phillies | 45c | 106.97$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.94 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9839…040ebacked Phillies | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 141 | 46.8%66 W · 75 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e60…fa47backed Braves | 57c | 94.54$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.89 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x102c…a24cbacked Phillies | 43c | 93.05$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.04 | 162 | 51.9%84 W · 78 L | -9.1wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x218d…25b3backed Phillies | 44c | 90.98$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.95 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61ec…cb2ebacked Phillies | 45c | 88.89$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.89 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97f8…5436backed Braves | 57c | 88.61$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.51 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa05f…ff23backed Braves | 57c | 85.02$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.46 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 57cpaid | -59%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked Phillies | 40c | 85$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 519 | 55.3%287 W · 232 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1ca…4670backed Braves | 57c | 85$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.45 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.