MLB · resolved market
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 9.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb5dfc9fd3809cf4483cd30409b303cc944ab3940db33abb87d54633046d68173
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $71,947
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $72,103
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $71,947 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 108 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Under | 49c | 20,554$10,071 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,071.22 | 411 | 49.1%202 W · 209 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked Under | 50c | 13,505$6,752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,752.33 | 505 | 53.5%270 W · 235 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 50c | 12,165$6,049 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,115.59 | 1,355 | 49.8%675 W · 680 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 50c | 10,557$5,272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,284.93 | 650 | 50.3%327 W · 323 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Under | 51c | 9,706$4,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,950.06 | 479 | 53.2%255 W · 224 L | +18.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Over | 51c | 6,651$3,399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,251.88 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Under | 50c | 5,335$2,668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,667.5 | 172 | 48.8%84 W · 88 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e162backed Over | 50c | 4,923$2,461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,461.32 | 366 | 49.2%180 W · 186 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over | 49c | 4,718$2,312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,405.93 | 1,153 | 49.2%567 W · 586 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 49c | 2,967$1,455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,512.06 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Over | 50c | 2,222$1,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,111 | 672 | 50.1%337 W · 335 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 50c | 1,600$794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$793.98 | 6,999 | 50.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Over | 51c | 1,422$725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$696.83 | 1,269 | 51.1%648 W · 621 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Over | 51c | 1,267$646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620.75 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Over | 51c | 1,267$646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620.75 | 344 | 52.6%181 W · 163 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed Over | 51c | 1,267$646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620.75 | 157 | 53.5%84 W · 73 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked Over | 51c | 970.6$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.59 | 1,014 | 47.7%484 W · 530 L | -28.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Over | 50c | 825.66$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.87 | 686 | 52.9%363 W · 323 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Over | 50c | 820$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410 | 750 | 49.7%373 W · 377 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5966…af5dbacked Under | 50c | 700$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 274 | 49.3%135 W · 139 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Over | 51c | 635.12$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.21 | 393 | 51.9%204 W · 189 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 65c | 628.83$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.63 | 6,123 | 55.4%3,390 W · 2,733 L | +346.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Under | 50c | 523.03$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.52 | 1,240 | 58.1%721 W · 519 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fb…ee11backed Over | 50c | 492.79$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.94 | 657 | 49.2%323 W · 334 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87fa…12d0backed Under | 51c | 475.78$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.65 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…4f4cbacked Under | 52c | 453.66$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.26 | 112 | 45.5%51 W · 61 L | -8.0wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee7…4c1abacked Under | 52c | 453.66$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.26 | 92 | 55.4%51 W · 41 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a15…52d6backed Over | 50c | 420.5$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.25 | 63 | 55.6%35 W · 28 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 49c | 411.06$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.05 | 678 | 49.3%334 W · 344 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbd7…6d6cbacked Over | 62c | 390.88$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.53 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf879…820ebacked Under | 51c | 380.63$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.12 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | +4.7wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…29e6backed Over | 51c | 380.63$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.51 | 183 | 53.6%98 W · 85 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94d4…18f9backed Under | 52c | 371.79$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.13 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.13per pick | 58cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 48c | 315.04$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.22 | 5,471 | 50.5%2,763 W · 2,708 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf85f…0a8cbacked Over | 49c | 290.82$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.32 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2123…8d70backed Over | 51c | 285.75$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.02 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Under | 50c | 262.88$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.44 | 307 | 50.2%154 W · 153 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Under | 50c | 261.06$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.53 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Over | 50c | 260.13$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.1 | 286 | 46.2%132 W · 154 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8a…02acbacked Under | 52c | 258.45$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.27 | 77 | 46.8%36 W · 41 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1880…a421backed Over | 49c | 251.25$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.14 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8584…6b7dbacked Under | 52c | 229.95$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.52 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…f14abacked Under | 50c | 215$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.5 | 199 | 51.8%103 W · 96 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Over | 50c | 205.68$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.91 | 1,630 | 55.2%899 W · 731 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8900…a444backed Under | 53c | 202.49$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.82 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17f5…3e64backed Under | 53c | 198.38$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.69 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Under | 51c | 190.31$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.06 | 249 | 50.6%126 W · 123 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 49c | 182.07$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.86 | 474 | 47.3%224 W · 250 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…cbcdbacked Under | 52c | 181.91$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.88 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Over | 59c | 165.82$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.99 | 1,445 | 50%723 W · 722 L | +26.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce06…c99dbacked Under | 53c | 159.44$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.78 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Over | 51c | 156.77$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.36 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Under | 53c | 155.27$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.29 | 946 | 48.9%463 W · 483 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Under | 53c | 155.27$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.29 | 452 | 46.2%209 W · 243 L | -18.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 49c | 153.56$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.53 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Over | 50c | 149.6$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.8 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | -5.7wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf43…306abacked Over | 51c | 142.74$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.94 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Over | 48c | 134.41$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.58 | 218 | 47.7%104 W · 114 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Under | 53c | 126.86$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.91 | 243 | 48.1%117 W · 126 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked Under | 53c | 126.13$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.85 | 183 | 45.4%83 W · 100 L | -9.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Over | 49c | 116.63$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.48 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed Under | 50c | 97$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.5 | 383 | 52.2%200 W · 183 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe4…ff5cbacked Over | 49c | 95.91$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.91 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked Under | 52c | 93.38$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.56 | 377 | 47.2%178 W · 199 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f55…4213backed Under | 52c | 93.38$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.56 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b7…93ebbacked Under | 52c | 90.39$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.74 | 92 | 54.3%50 W · 42 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed Under | 51c | 87.02$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.38 | 144 | 44.4%64 W · 80 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa427…f87fbacked Under | 50c | 85.36$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.68 | 99 | 48.5%48 W · 51 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed Under | 35c | 84.02$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.41 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae1c…3678backed Over | 50c | 65.16$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.58 | 261 | 51%133 W · 128 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x015d…7bc7backed Under | 52c | 64.74$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.66 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bca…0d11backed Under | 52c | 63.26$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.89 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf7…6f57backed Under | 50c | 58.2$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.1 | 112 | 50%56 W · 56 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bec…c707backed Under | 51c | 57.94$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.74 | 88 | 47.7%42 W · 46 L | -5.1wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec69…d6d8backed Under | 50c | 53.35$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.68 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea10…a070backed Under | 50c | 52.82$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.41 | 300 | 48%144 W · 156 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Over | 76c | 52.81$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.83 | 667 | 49.3%329 W · 338 L | -22.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5dc…ec43backed Under | 48c | 51.39$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.67 | 407 | 53.6%218 W · 189 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa00e…73fabacked Over | 51c | 48.53$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.78 | 165 | 53.3%88 W · 77 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d5…a8dabacked Under | 50c | 48.5$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.25 | 209 | 55.5%116 W · 93 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Over | 59c | 47.46$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.36 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc978…706bbacked Over | 50c | 45.86$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.93 | 310 | 46.5%144 W · 166 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…3acabacked Under | 53c | 45.84$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.3 | 294 | 50.7%149 W · 145 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa002…24eebacked Under | 50c | 39.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.88 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbcf4…a399backed Over | 63c | 38.8$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.36 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x63c3…a7fdbacked Under | 52c | 37.6$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.42 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00b7…5b93backed Under | 50c | 36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4de2…60acbacked Over | 50c | 34.92$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.46 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ee…0ad8backed Under | 50c | 34.92$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.46 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8bc…ea6abacked Under | 50c | 34.92$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.46 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2837…e9fabacked Under | 50c | 34.92$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.46 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 49c | 32.46$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.55 | 1,586 | 48.5%770 W · 816 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Over | 49c | 32.07$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.33 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47a2…36ddbacked Under | 51c | 30.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.38 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a7…ac65backed Over | 51c | 28.55$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.99 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Over | 50c | 28.52$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.26 | 352 | 40.3%142 W · 210 L | -23.5wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c5a…d48abacked Over | 50c | 27.97$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.99 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2754…1668backed Over | 72c | 27.39$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.65 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe748…bc49backed Under | 50c | 27.32$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.66 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cdf…31e7backed Under | 50c | 26.68$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.34 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 9.5this page
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Washington NationalsLos Angeles Dodgers won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 11.5Over won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)Los Angeles Dodgers won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-2.5)Los Angeles Dodgers won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-7.5)Washington Nationals won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.