MLB · resolved market
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x860fd87f90d18732407012b7ca6c7596329a7113e148ab4719866ed5cfb2ae2e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Los Angeles Dodgersof Los Angeles Dodgers, Washington Nationals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,401
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,846
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,401 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Washington Nationals | 37c | 8,339$3,085 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,085.46 | 650 | 50.3%327 W · 323 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6368…6dc8backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 63c | 4,656$2,933 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,722.79 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5318…1118backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 63c | 2,732$1,721 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,010.7 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ca9…37d8backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 63c | 853.63$538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.84 | 60 | 60%36 W · 24 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6498…8910backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 66c | 494.7$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.2 | 517 | 56.5%292 W · 225 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Washington Nationals | 34c | 425$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.5 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Washington Nationals | 37c | 424.05$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.9 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x373a…f4c1backed Washington Nationals | 39c | 283.44$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.14 | 125 | 52%65 W · 60 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ea…b781backed Washington Nationals | 39c | 175.57$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.47 | 568 | 51.4%292 W · 276 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe46d…8b87backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 63c | 157.43$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.25 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Washington Nationals | 38c | 146.57$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.23 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 61c | 97.66$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.09 | 341 | 45.2%154 W · 187 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…4e37backed Washington Nationals | 40c | 72.3$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.92 | 569 | 46.9%267 W · 302 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e162backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 61c | 45.44$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.72 | 366 | 49.2%180 W · 186 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 63c | 39.11$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.47 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…4f4cbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 61c | 37.1$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.47 | 112 | 45.5%51 W · 61 L | -8.0wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee7…4c1abacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 61c | 37.1$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.47 | 92 | 55.4%51 W · 41 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8a…02acbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 61c | 37.1$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.47 | 77 | 46.8%36 W · 41 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 61c | 37.1$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.47 | 194 | 52.6%102 W · 92 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Washington Nationals | 39c | 36.81$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.35 | 307 | 50.2%154 W · 153 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bec…c707backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 61c | 35.33$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.78 | 88 | 47.7%42 W · 46 L | -5.1wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfef3…ac30backed Washington Nationals | 39c | 32.31$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 61c | 32.02$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.49 | 704 | 55%387 W · 317 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8900…a444backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 61c | 31.78$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.39 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Washington Nationals | 39c | 31.38$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 1,355 | 49.8%675 W · 680 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67d2…a008backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 63c | 31.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.49 | 135 | 65.2%88 W · 47 L | +9.8wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8968…c3c1backed Washington Nationals | 39c | 29.61$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 228 | 49.6%113 W · 115 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 61c | 29.5$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.51 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x104b…ed6bbacked Washington Nationals | 40c | 27.86$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.15 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf15f…a199backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 63c | 23.28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.61 | 79 | 57%45 W · 34 L | +6.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4aab…38ccbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 63c | 21.2$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.84 | 653 | 59.6%389 W · 264 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e1…f17fbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 63c | 20.18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.47 | 65 | 58.5%38 W · 27 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 63c | 17.6$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.51 | 153 | 51.6%79 W · 74 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)this page
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Washington NationalsLos Angeles Dodgers won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 11.5Over won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-2.5)Los Angeles Dodgers won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-7.5)Washington Nationals won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.