MLB · resolved market
Cardinals vs. Brewers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcd7213df879933e038ba349f332879f34b81b978f2c8a2e33fc146e3995539b8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Brewersof Cardinals, Brewers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $47,293
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $56,965
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,293 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Cardinals | 6c | 5,436$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.96 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Cardinals | 41c | 2,755$1,122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,122.18 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a06…1e43backed Cardinals | 5c | 2,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 99 | 20.2%20 W · 79 L | -12.4wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x03cd…9fdabacked Brewers | 58c | 2,000$1,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$839.97 | 313 | 46.6%146 W · 167 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Brewers | 60c | 1,769$1,053 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$715.75 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28bc…e520backed Cardinals | 42c | 1,601$672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$672.42 | 279 | 53.4%149 W · 130 L | +16.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Brewers | 58c | 1,560$908 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$651.48 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd59…c3a5backed Brewers | 60c | 1,004$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.17 | 134 | 50%67 W · 67 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Cardinals | 41c | 999.92$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.97 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Cardinals | 41c | 946.2$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.5 | 389 | 49.1%191 W · 198 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Cardinals | 27c | 909.38$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.21 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdcce…136abacked Brewers | 61c | 819.67$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.67 | 292 | 40.8%119 W · 173 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Cardinals | 5c | 695.01$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.08 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdeb6…8f5dbacked Cardinals | 30c | 607.4$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.58 | 81 | 39.5%32 W · 49 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Brewers | 59c | 576.02$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.17 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e12…7348backed Brewers | 60c | 502.87$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.87 | 384 | 55.7%214 W · 170 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d07…0351backed Cardinals | 12c | 500$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 126 | 24.6%31 W · 95 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Cardinals | 40c | 498.42$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.98 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Cardinals | 11c | 463.64$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Cardinals | 39c | 446.67$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.2 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad8c…f563backed Cardinals | 27c | 435.27$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.71 | 258 | 35.3%91 W · 167 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…7d12backed Brewers | 59c | 423.73$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.73 | 182 | 47.8%87 W · 95 L | -8.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Cardinals | 42c | 400$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed Cardinals | 39c | 295$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.05 | 444 | 43%191 W · 253 L | +21.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Brewers | 58c | 284.55$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.6 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d3…3917backed Brewers | 59c | 254.24$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.24 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Cardinals | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Cardinals | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59de…de22backed Brewers | 59c | 220.95$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.59 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ed5…e9bfbacked Cardinals | 26c | 188.23$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.63 | 177 | 44.1%78 W · 99 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1df4…0fe8backed Brewers | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 82 | 57.3%47 W · 35 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Cardinals | 42c | 160$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.4 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Cardinals | 15c | 136$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.89 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Cardinals | 42c | 110$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.2 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3af5…c533backed Cardinals | 43c | 106.19$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.66 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Cardinals | 42c | 103$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.26 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x605a…c6debacked Brewers | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 122 | 67.2%82 W · 40 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Brewers | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cc…a23abacked Cardinals | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 504 | 47.2%238 W · 266 L | +29.6wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf96d…81f0backed Cardinals | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Cardinals | 40c | 99.98$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.99 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41f6…20a3backed Cardinals | 42c | 95.45$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.09 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked Brewers | 60c | 94$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.6 | 1,051 | 50.4%530 W · 521 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddda…328bbacked Brewers | 59c | 91.03$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.32 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +89.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x777c…49a1backed Cardinals | 41c | 90.78$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.22 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed Brewers | 59c | 90$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.9 | 242 | 50.8%123 W · 119 L | +14.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x109b…9556backed Cardinals | 42c | 88.86$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.32 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf235…366dbacked Cardinals | 41c | 88.29$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.2 | 1,078 | 46.3%499 W · 579 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x448b…000fbacked Cardinals | 42c | 87.86$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.9 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8047…c804backed Brewers | 59c | 87.53$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.54 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b3c…72c9backed Brewers | 59c | 86.83$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.6 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x570e…de2dbacked Cardinals | 42c | 85.74$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.01 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2465…64abbacked Cardinals | 42c | 85.19$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.78 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b66…7554backed Brewers | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f47…0b99backed Brewers | 60c | 82.47$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.99 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +67.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46a2…1b52backed Brewers | 59c | 82.39$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.78 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +139.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd8c6…9718backed Cardinals | 42c | 82.12$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.49 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x258e…d898backed Brewers | 59c | 80.85$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.15 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd913…96bcbacked Brewers | 60c | 80.48$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.19 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb632…c783backed Brewers | 59c | 78.75$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.29 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f39…3c1fbacked Cardinals | 42c | 77.21$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.43 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabf6…129dbacked Cardinals | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 170 | 37.6%64 W · 106 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca4a…0db2backed Brewers | 60c | 76.18$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.47 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5308…3221backed Cardinals | 39c | 76$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.64 | 403 | 52.4%211 W · 192 L | +15.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f2…ef26backed Brewers | 60c | 75.87$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.35 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2159…f0e0backed Cardinals | 41c | 75.44$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.93 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe56d…cc1dbacked Cardinals | 41c | 69.17$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.36 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ea…e15cbacked Brewers | 59c | 67.8$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.8 | 223 | 51.6%115 W · 108 L | +16.9wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Cardinals | 24c | 61.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 240 | 40.8%98 W · 142 L | -13.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Cardinals | 42c | 59.52$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 944 | 55.3%522 W · 422 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb260…a44ebacked Cardinals | 42c | 50.44$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.14 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…5176backed Cardinals | 40c | 48$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 435 | 42.1%183 W · 252 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Brewers | 58c | 46.87$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.71 | 235 | 45.5%107 W · 128 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02c7…3df7backed Brewers | 56c | 44.29$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.29 | 551 | 52.5%289 W · 262 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Cardinals | 43c | 41.88$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.01 | 709 | 46.1%327 W · 382 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe4…ff5cbacked Brewers | 60c | 41.66$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.66 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Cardinals | 40c | 36.98$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.79 | 508 | 43.3%220 W · 288 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31db…79a4backed Brewers | 58c | 34.76$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.76 | 156 | 44.9%70 W · 86 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5241…f648backed Brewers | 59c | 34.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.15 | 97 | 47.4%46 W · 51 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a7c…920ebacked Brewers | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 190 | 53.2%101 W · 89 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb130…6ee2backed Brewers | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 122 | 49.2%60 W · 62 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3372…1914backed Brewers | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 1,388 | 55.1%765 W · 623 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Cardinals | 41c | 32$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.12 | 1,466 | 44.1%647 W · 819 L | +44.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafbc…a8b5backed Cardinals | 43c | 27.63$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 375 | 52.5%197 W · 178 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x051d…6980backed Brewers | 62c | 26.52$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 203 | 43.8%89 W · 114 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Cardinals | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,137 | 46.3%526 W · 611 L | +36.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Brewers | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.