NHL · resolved market
Blue Jackets vs. Senators: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa15e0ace16c124ade24f961a1d331cca53b4520d516e7d369914d0a754af3e52
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $116,946
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $117,496
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $116,946 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Under | 48c | 100,507$48,243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52,263.71 | 881 | 51.2%451 W · 430 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Over | 52c | 100,000$52,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52,000 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 55c | 5,471$2,993 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,992.82 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7a…b22fbacked Under | 59c | 4,233$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,733.44 | 168 | 43.5%73 W · 95 L | -14.3wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 44c | 3,603$1,585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,018.11 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33f6…e0debacked Under | 48c | 2,013$966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,046.76 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +3.1wins | +0.19per pick | 49cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Over | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | -6.3wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 49c | 1,980$974 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$974.46 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7da6…4ff3backed Over | 51c | 999.99$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 162 | 41.4%67 W · 95 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 47c | 915.65$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.3 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 22c | 801.38$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.6 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d1…4660backed Over | 17c | 566.41$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.29 | 294 | 12.9%38 W · 256 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53b9…292abacked Under | 48c | 529.17$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.17 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ed4…4547backed Over | 52c | 522.8$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.86 | 126 | 48.4%61 W · 65 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd6f…e887backed Under | 49c | 499.92$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.96 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +3.7wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Under | 49c | 443.98$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.43 | 495 | 46.5%230 W · 265 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…f8bebacked Over | 53c | 421.09$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.09 | 139 | 52.5%73 W · 66 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cb2…f12fbacked Under | 73c | 399.99$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Under | 70c | 397.04$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.11 | 397 | 52.1%207 W · 190 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Over | 52c | 369.16$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.96 | 1,143 | 50.8%581 W · 562 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2058…cf57backed Over | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.17per pick | 54cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Under | 47c | 299.95$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.97 | 759 | 46.6%354 W · 405 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c9b…a556backed Under | 48c | 250$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 125 | 44.8%56 W · 69 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x485e…fcb5backed Over | 28c | 242.58$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.9 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -56%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce26…8e06backed Over | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 205 | 52.2%107 W · 98 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Over | 40c | 200$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 210 | 40.5%85 W · 125 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…e74abacked Over | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 784 | 43.8%343 W · 441 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 44c | 186.71$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.56 | 1,140 | 51.5%587 W · 553 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Under | 48c | 145.83$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.83 | 1,093 | 51.8%566 W · 527 L | +14.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Over | 29c | 140.7$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.6 | 1,107 | 52%576 W · 531 L | +63.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8c…237dbacked Over | 27c | 103.7$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 118 | 40.7%48 W · 70 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a87…fb21backed Under | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 385 | 51.4%198 W · 187 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed Over | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 139 | 41.7%58 W · 81 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf13b…9ef9backed Over | 53c | 98.09$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.99 | 490 | 53.7%263 W · 227 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3888…0755backed Under | 48c | 94.97$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.97 | 161 | 50.9%82 W · 79 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40e9…5729backed Under | 48c | 85.42$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.42 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1b46…944cbacked Over | 53c | 84.49$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.78 | 285 | 50.2%143 W · 142 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Under | 47c | 74.99$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.74 | 274 | 45.6%125 W · 149 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Over | 41c | 74.46$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.66 | 490 | 45.3%222 W · 268 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Under | 48c | 70$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.4 | 599 | 50.4%302 W · 297 L | +20.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 51c | 65.24$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.25 | 629 | 51.2%322 W · 307 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e3…9efebacked Under | 48c | 60.47$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.44 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -3.2wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7980…feadbacked Over | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 218 | 49.5%108 W · 110 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 47c | 42$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.1 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50c1…6c6cbacked Under | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 137 | 43.1%59 W · 78 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Over | 52c | 38.15$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.84 | 334 | 47.9%160 W · 174 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc049…48abbacked Over | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 148 | 44.6%66 W · 82 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f9f…c934backed Over | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 214 | 54.2%116 W · 98 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea0e…a5dabacked Under | 44c | 34.09$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.09 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8013…5b52backed Under | 44c | 29.19$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.35 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 45c | 29$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.95 | 740 | 54.5%403 W · 337 L | +22.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d28…7a6dbacked Under | 48c | 21.26$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.06 | 352 | 48%169 W · 183 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Under | 48c | 21$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.92 | 780 | 38.5%300 W · 480 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c17…0458backed Over | 53c | 20.6$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f71…b80ebacked Under | 67c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +61.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed0…b051backed Over | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Blue Jackets vs. Senators: O/U 6.5this page
- Blue Jackets vs. SenatorsBlue Jackets won
- Spread: Senators (-1.5)Blue Jackets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.