College Football · resolved market
Western Kentucky vs. Southern Miss: O/U 59.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0e99378b4851a78577566ae7a51e5299714492f1a1475ebc911dd6b3c8118fad
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $105,083
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $106,018
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $105,083 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4259…936fbacked Under | 54c | 50,000$26,904 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,095.99 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +5.1wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Over | 46c | 40,117$18,454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,453.82 | 162 | 34%55 W · 107 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 48c | 35,943$17,253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,252.67 | 524 | 49.4%259 W · 265 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1a…0df6backed Under | 52c | 26,000$13,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,479.99 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11e2…26ccbacked Over | 47c | 13,000$6,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,109.99 | 44 | 29.5%13 W · 31 L | -7.0wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -36%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Under | 52c | 10,000$5,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,800 | 153 | 52.3%80 W · 73 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Under | 50c | 6,939$3,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,439.82 | 243 | 48.1%117 W · 126 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 49c | 6,706$3,318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,317.58 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Under | 53c | 2,398$1,271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,127.06 | 118 | 49.2%58 W · 60 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x256b…cd5dbacked Under | 74c | 1,470$1,094 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.16 | 51 | 37.3%19 W · 32 L | -7.4wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 52c | 1,351$703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$648.48 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7197…14c8backed Over | 48c | 1,292$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620.32 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd51b…9606backed Under | 53c | 943.4$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.4 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Over | 34c | 828.07$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.55 | 862 | 43.7%377 W · 485 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f18…c9fdbacked Over | 48c | 625$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Over | 3c | 600$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 632 | 43.7%276 W · 356 L | +34.8wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +138.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb871…9f15backed Under | 53c | 500$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Over | 47c | 500$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 422 | 44.5%188 W · 234 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 42c | 464.16$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.09 | 588 | 50.2%295 W · 293 L | +23.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e9b…945abacked Under | 52c | 443.75$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…55f7backed Under | 58c | 431.03$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.03 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -3.0wins | -0.21per pick | 50cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7851…d471backed Under | 52c | 400$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Over | 48c | 300$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143 | 659 | 45.2%298 W · 361 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 48c | 293$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.64 | 485 | 46.8%227 W · 258 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Over | 23c | 261.58$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.05 | 269 | 40.5%109 W · 160 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Over | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 209 | 50.2%105 W · 104 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8c…237dbacked Over | 45c | 193.31$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.48 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeca0…e8f8backed Under | 53c | 150$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.5 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +2.9wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Under | 51c | 142.86$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 935 | 48.4%453 W · 482 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e46…0742backed Over | 49c | 142.86$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 18c | 110$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 628 | 43.6%274 W · 354 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c0f…09debacked Over | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Over | 49c | 98.46$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.19 | 284 | 40.8%116 W · 168 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Under | 57c | 87$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.41 | 216 | 44.9%97 W · 119 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Under | 53c | 82$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.54 | 123 | 46.3%57 W · 66 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Under | 57c | 75$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.25 | 571 | 44.7%255 W · 316 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Over | 36c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 305 | 48.9%149 W · 156 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f5d…abc5backed Under | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Under | 56c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.05 | 74 | 43.2%32 W · 42 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd47b…c715backed Over | 48c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…592bbacked Under | 53c | 24.51$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.52 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed0…b051backed Under | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Western Kentucky vs. Southern Miss: O/U 59.5this page
- O/U 58.5Under won
- Spread: Southern Miss (-1.5)Western Kentucky won
- Spread: Southern Miss (-2.5)Western Kentucky won
- Spread: Western Kentucky (-1.5)Western Kentucky won
- Western Kentucky vs. Southern MissWestern Kentucky won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.