College Football · resolved market
O/U 58.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb5a15551db319a47754d59a4f7a5fac5b407a1b0062548b9a060f85a839b6712
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,280
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,280
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,280 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2d96…1238backed Under | 50c | 10,200$5,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,100 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e40…084ebacked Over | 50c | 10,200$5,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 51c | 8,569$4,333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,333.09 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7a…15a4backed Under | 50c | 5,966$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,966.01 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Under | 48c | 3,706$1,779 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,927 | 243 | 48.1%117 W · 126 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Under | 49c | 965.94$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.63 | 935 | 48.4%453 W · 482 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 51c | 619$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.69 | 485 | 46.8%227 W · 258 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Over | 51c | 600$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306 | 111 | 42.3%47 W · 64 L | -10.4wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -19%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0f18…c9fdbacked Over | 51c | 307.84$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Over | 51c | 300$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152 | 659 | 45.2%298 W · 361 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d85…2560backed Over | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 63 | 38.1%24 W · 39 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68e0…a3a6backed Under | 50c | 194$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.68 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.19per pick | 51cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d30…2645backed Under | 49c | 86$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.86 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Over | 50c | 72.84$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.32 | 284 | 40.8%116 W · 168 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa024…4929backed Under | 50c | 68$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…5ab9backed Under | 50c | 66$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +3.4wins | +0.24per pick | 47cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb81d…c6c0backed Under | 50c | 65$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc427…ee41backed Under | 47c | 60$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.8 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +3.2wins | +0.41per pick | 47cpaid | +86.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x581b…0290backed Under | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x102f…9b6ebacked Under | 49c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f96…92e0backed Over | 51c | 47$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.97 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4dc…d394backed Under | 47c | 44$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.32 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9db…ab38backed Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.5wins | -0.35per pick | 49cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7c4e…9b6fbacked Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.34per pick | 48cpaid | -74.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x143d…5bc4backed Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00c0…4523backed Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf26c…3443backed Over | 50c | 38$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -25%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68cc…24adbacked Over | 52c | 34$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.68 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c4f…73a6backed Over | 50c | 33$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27ed…57ebbacked Under | 50c | 28$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +30%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b80…8e56backed Over | 50c | 28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0068…d7b0backed Over | 51c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f33…8f17backed Over | 51c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -4.3wins | -0.33per pick | 48cpaid | -69.5%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x52cc…9998backed Over | 53c | 22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.66 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x194f…81b6backed Over | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 48cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc727…adc2backed Over | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.34per pick | 48cpaid | -73%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x152c…3b50backed Over | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62f0…afe6backed Over | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- O/U 58.5this page
- Spread: Southern Miss (-1.5)Western Kentucky won
- Spread: Southern Miss (-2.5)Western Kentucky won
- Spread: Western Kentucky (-1.5)Western Kentucky won
- Western Kentucky vs. Southern MissWestern Kentucky won
- Western Kentucky vs. Southern Miss: O/U 59.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.