CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: paiN vs TYLOO - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5808a67497d6e1887ba56de8170019b5ce1b1cd8540b45e790ee018ce57358e4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- TYLOOof paiN, TYLOO
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $81,681
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $103,190
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $81,681 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa925…e1c8backed TYLOO | 49c | 15,790$7,733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,057 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | -5.3wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d6d…1ba1backed paiN | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked paiN | 51c | 9,954$5,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,070.15 | 836 | 52.5%439 W · 397 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b45…7f58backed paiN | 51c | 4,514$2,302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,302.12 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd56b…342dbacked TYLOO | 58c | 3,324$1,923 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,401.13 | 114 | 43%49 W · 65 L | -12.0wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked TYLOO | 24c | 2,317$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,764.93 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed paiN | 54c | 1,722$935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$935.28 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fe9…706abacked TYLOO | 52c | 1,644$848 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$795.67 | 164 | 48.2%79 W · 85 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f27…8ec7backed paiN | 73c | 1,463$1,061 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,061 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -3.0wins | -0.13per pick | 65cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9b48…4705backed TYLOO | 26c | 1,306$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$968.9 | 102 | 52%53 W · 49 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked paiN | 41c | 1,186$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.07 | 1,611 | 45.4%731 W · 880 L | +30.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed paiN | 58c | 988$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570.15 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cf4…20b3backed TYLOO | 54c | 906.67$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.82 | 107 | 48.6%52 W · 55 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed paiN | 72c | 751.47$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540.34 | 589 | 61.3%361 W · 228 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a37…869bbacked paiN | 54c | 700$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.57 | 75 | 52%39 W · 36 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75fc…ee34backed paiN | 63c | 634.92$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d8e…b1c7backed TYLOO | 50c | 600.78$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.78 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd92d…e560backed paiN | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 586 | 51%299 W · 287 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf239…cbccbacked paiN | 77c | 513.63$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed TYLOO | 49c | 500$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 218 | 46.8%102 W · 116 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d80…07d4backed TYLOO | 22c | 451.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.52 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x644b…2145backed TYLOO | 46c | 444$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.76 | 157 | 49%77 W · 80 L | +11.4wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xef1a…d048backed paiN | 51c | 429.08$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.35 | 115 | 58.3%67 W · 48 L | +9.6wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8c9c…bcfcbacked paiN | 55c | 411.97$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.66 | 152 | 55.3%84 W · 68 L | +8.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed paiN | 20c | 337.81$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.94 | 216 | 39.8%86 W · 130 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed TYLOO | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.03 | 367 | 51%187 W · 180 L | -15.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked paiN | 51c | 288$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.88 | 1,262 | 46.9%592 W · 670 L | -34.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe06c…62aebacked paiN | 67c | 280$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.09 | 99 | 38.4%38 W · 61 L | -7.5wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed TYLOO | 19c | 220.82$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.87 | 1,278 | 21.9%280 W · 998 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9eea…2625backed paiN | 65c | 218.04$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.2 | 126 | 41.3%52 W · 74 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa50b…ec1dbacked paiN | 69c | 202.9$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -67.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fcc…25e1backed TYLOO | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 67 | 64.2%43 W · 24 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe203…1b53backed paiN | 57c | 195.59$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.88 | 353 | 44.8%158 W · 195 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6aed…eb43backed paiN | 52c | 190.38$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked TYLOO | 49c | 157.54$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.9 | 980 | 52.4%514 W · 466 L | +26.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…487dbacked TYLOO | 67c | 146.89$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.79 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked paiN | 52c | 134.99$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.19 | 1,393 | 65.9%918 W · 475 L | +26.8wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9318…a645backed paiN | 76c | 131.01$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 136 | 46.3%63 W · 73 L | -9.6wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -15%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf95e…53ffbacked TYLOO | 29c | 130.56$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.7 | 198 | 49.5%98 W · 100 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7c…8d13backed paiN | 79c | 128.13$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.12 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0257…22b2backed paiN | 63c | 126.98$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 454 | 55.1%250 W · 204 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2615…6c59backed paiN | 24c | 103.07$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.61 | 23 | 0%0 W · 23 L | -3.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4627…7c23backed TYLOO | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 374 | 48.4%181 W · 193 L | -16.6wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4731…cba8backed paiN | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 100 | 55%55 W · 45 L | +7.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x644e…ff58backed TYLOO | 30c | 95$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.75 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x729a…1e51backed paiN | 59c | 91.02$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.96 | 102 | 52%53 W · 49 L | -12.2wins | -0.12per pick | 64cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xad46…df49backed TYLOO | 22c | 90.83$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.83 | 96 | 31.3%30 W · 66 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a01…56fdbacked paiN | 51c | 89.71$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9f…578abacked paiN | 48c | 88$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.24 | 130 | 44.6%58 W · 72 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca82…997bbacked paiN | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd99e…8102backed paiN | 47c | 85$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.95 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +2.2wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed88…6a3dbacked TYLOO | 48c | 83.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.33 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e6…53b2backed TYLOO | 36c | 83.33$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.33 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd960…1adebacked TYLOO | 36c | 80.69$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.28 | 213 | 43.7%93 W · 120 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa2b…adcfbacked TYLOO | 50c | 80.5$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.5 | 172 | 36.6%63 W · 109 L | -8.2wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2dae…a50bbacked TYLOO | 53c | 75.47$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.47 | 142 | 33.8%48 W · 94 L | -18.8wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7665…f332backed TYLOO | 37c | 73.62$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.1 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0657…14efbacked TYLOO | 50c | 70.26$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.26 | 83 | 53%44 W · 39 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8a2…c111backed TYLOO | 31c | 68.78$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.78 | 57 | 31.6%18 W · 39 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf232…4fc6backed TYLOO | 47c | 68.46$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.46 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -4.8wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe030…8d5fbacked TYLOO | 38c | 68.42$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.42 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2928…536ebacked paiN | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 18cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x068e…6f16backed paiN | 48c | 41.29$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.82 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf9…b7d4backed TYLOO | 45c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b55…2eaebacked paiN | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.33per pick | 50cpaid | -73%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb62e…543bbacked paiN | 69c | 39$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.91 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed0…b051backed paiN | 51c | 37.07$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.91 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d81…259bbacked paiN | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x364e…1996backed paiN | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | -5.6wins | -0.10per pick | 64cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x56f3…e5d3backed paiN | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x676a…601abacked paiN | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14b3…8d7abacked TYLOO | 40c | 25.15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.05 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.21per pick | 39cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…f48dbacked TYLOO | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f5f…e7f9backed TYLOO | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 52 | 36.5%19 W · 33 L | -5.3wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: paiN vs TYLOO - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: paiN vs TYLOO (BO3)paiN won
- Counter-Strike: paiN vs TYLOO - Map 1 WinnerpaiN won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.