CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: paiN vs TYLOO - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1dc527d4510d77bb75cc5c95aef49ab7769b4e34d7c3b4a55da5bdf772bb6202
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- paiNof paiN, TYLOO
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,916
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,808
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,916 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed TYLOO | 39c | 4,555$1,767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,766.88 | 1,259 | 42.5%535 W · 724 L | +20.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60cc…f0dfbacked paiN | 61c | 3,273$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,272.8 | 180 | 51.1%92 W · 88 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7e2…826cbacked TYLOO | 38c | 2,640$1,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,001 | 83 | 42.2%35 W · 48 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked paiN | 61c | 2,499$1,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$968.89 | 1,611 | 45.4%731 W · 880 L | +30.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa925…e1c8backed TYLOO | 40c | 2,120$846 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$846 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | -5.3wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed TYLOO | 23c | 1,063$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.23 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f27…8ec7backed paiN | 61c | 1,062$648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.21 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -3.0wins | -0.13per pick | 65cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1b…7d5ebacked paiN | 80c | 723.6$579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.72 | 65 | 35.4%23 W · 42 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf95e…53ffbacked TYLOO | 31c | 615.15$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.12 | 198 | 49.5%98 W · 100 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52ec…a6f3backed paiN | 60c | 565$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226 | 469 | 49.7%233 W · 236 L | -14.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a37…869bbacked paiN | 64c | 564.61$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.26 | 75 | 52%39 W · 36 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2615…6c59backed TYLOO | 17c | 554.08$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.19 | 23 | 0%0 W · 23 L | -3.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xef1a…d048backed TYLOO | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 115 | 58.3%67 W · 48 L | +9.6wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7cf4…20b3backed paiN | 57c | 482.56$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.5 | 107 | 48.6%52 W · 55 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d8e…b1c7backed TYLOO | 22c | 454.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9940…b140backed TYLOO | 35c | 443$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.62 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed paiN | 77c | 400$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 589 | 61.3%361 W · 228 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…1b46backed TYLOO | 6c | 333.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 97 | 59.8%58 W · 39 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c9c…bcfcbacked TYLOO | 20c | 330.96$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 152 | 55.3%84 W · 68 L | +8.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…3e3dbacked TYLOO | 10c | 300.8$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.32 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -4.6wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -40%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed TYLOO | 22c | 221.65$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.06 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6aed…eb43backed TYLOO | 41c | 217.07$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed paiN | 56c | 216.45$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.24 | 463 | 40.8%189 W · 274 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6590…ad78backed TYLOO | 14c | 175$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.72 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca82…997bbacked TYLOO | 28c | 145.24$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9318…a645backed paiN | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 136 | 46.3%63 W · 73 L | -9.6wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -15%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xed88…6a3dbacked paiN | 59c | 128.13$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.13 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ba…faecbacked paiN | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29bf…70fcbacked TYLOO | 26c | 125$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed TYLOO | 23c | 116$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.58 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd960…1adebacked TYLOO | 19c | 107.89$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 213 | 43.7%93 W · 120 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad46…df49backed TYLOO | 42c | 86$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.12 | 96 | 31.3%30 W · 66 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed TYLOO | 26c | 76$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.14 | 137 | 40.9%56 W · 81 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9823…02dbbacked paiN | 77c | 72.85$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.61 | 470 | 55.7%262 W · 208 L | +27.7wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbed8…fd44backed TYLOO | 37c | 71.28$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.3 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.21per pick | 63cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf186…a2b7backed paiN | 76c | 70$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6149…8a58backed TYLOO | 51c | 68.15$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.8 | 121 | 52.1%63 W · 58 L | +10.9wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x033e…1bb9backed paiN | 76c | 64.86$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.29 | 200 | 50.5%101 W · 99 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1406…7683backed TYLOO | 22c | 60$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed TYLOO | 35c | 50.29$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.36 | 293 | 50.2%147 W · 146 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dae…a50bbacked TYLOO | 22c | 49.61$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 142 | 33.8%48 W · 94 L | -18.8wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed TYLOO | 37c | 47.37$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.37 | 972 | 30%292 W · 680 L | -23.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x230a…59b1backed paiN | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x644f…c5e9backed paiN | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 30 | 73.3%22 W · 8 L | +5.2wins | +0.17per pick | 56cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x676a…601abacked paiN | 61c | 24.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.59 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f55…6389backed paiN | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 30 | 86.7%26 W · 4 L | +6.0wins | +0.20per pick | 67cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x644e…ff58backed paiN | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe245…3bc8backed paiN | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 217 | 56.7%123 W · 94 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: paiN vs TYLOO - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: paiN vs TYLOO (BO3)paiN won
- Counter-Strike: paiN vs TYLOO - Map 2 WinnerTYLOO won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.