TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: MIBR vs Liquid (BO3)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Liquidof MIBR, Liquid
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$145,263
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$140,388

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $145,263 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 160 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb3dd…a7e0backed Liquid73c27,778$20,278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,499.999247.8%44 W · 48 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe74a…40eebacked MIBR28c17,850$4,998 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,9982653.8%14 W · 12 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2418…66c8backed MIBR28c15,526$4,307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,306.8360853.3%324 W · 284 L+20.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb744…5210backed MIBR27c12,646$3,414 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,414.449942.4%42 W · 57 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3993…cdedbacked Liquid72c12,059$8,693 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,366.2683652.5%439 W · 397 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbec7…5977backed Liquid72c10,000$7,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,799.9957647.6%274 W · 302 L-25.7wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-12%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed MIBR15c7,025$1,064 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,063.654,22849.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L+59.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc350…3669backed MIBR28c6,634$1,858 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,857.5611655.2%64 W · 52 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed Liquid72c6,473$4,660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,812.317363%46 W · 27 L+7.9wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+22%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd267…9dc6backed MIBR27c5,659$1,528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,527.931233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-40.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0a4f…3aa5backed MIBR27c5,078$1,371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,371.171833.3%6 W · 12 L-2.2wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-28%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked MIBR24c4,236$1,002 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,001.71,62344.9%728 W · 895 L+4.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f7d…5769backed Liquid73c3,444$2,503 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$941.675747.4%27 W · 30 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf3ae…7b92backed MIBR27c2,862$773 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$772.798042.5%34 W · 46 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe4da…1772backed Liquid73c2,850$2,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$769.553746.2%248 W · 289 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc4a…a3a3backed MIBR10c2,398$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.751741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-26.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xba05…f8c0backed MIBR27c2,395$647 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$646.7797230%292 W · 680 L-23.7wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x14e3…ce1fbacked Liquid74c2,150$1,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$550.52766.7%18 W · 9 L+3.2wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+16.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa6ee…697bbacked Liquid72c2,097$1,510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$587.049861.2%60 W · 38 L+5.5wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+11.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1ab6…078ebacked MIBR27c2,085$563 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56323952.3%125 W · 114 L+14.6wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+10.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x21ec…5348backed Liquid72c2,000$1,440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$559.9972453.7%389 W · 335 L+11.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked MIBR13c1,892$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.93,09648.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L+135.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7a78…add7backed MIBR14c1,821$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.381,96946.7%919 W · 1,050 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77a3…0e3fbacked MIBR28c1,786$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50026045%117 W · 143 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Liquid73c1,654$1,208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$445.861,04044%458 W · 582 L-22.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-22.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked MIBR28c1,500$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42023932.2%77 W · 162 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-2.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked MIBR18c1,416$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.061,61145.4%731 W · 880 L+30.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-14.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5388…4d5abacked MIBR27c1,400$378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37822056.4%124 W · 96 L+19.9wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+15.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x15fe…86bebacked MIBR27c1,350$359 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$359.4913646.3%63 W · 73 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7645…3117backed Liquid71c1,193$847 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$345.8771645.9%329 W · 387 L-3.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c95…ed41backed MIBR27c1,041$281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281.072045%9 W · 11 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xebe7…ddf5backed Liquid74c1,000$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26034156.6%193 W · 148 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8334…4e9fbacked MIBR27c999.99$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2703813.2%5 W · 33 L-5.7wins-0.15per pick28cpaid-71.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xfe9a…3487backed MIBR27c960$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.23557.1%20 W · 15 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d52…834ebacked MIBR27c947.56$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.84728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.18per pick47cpaid-49.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x50dd…c186backed MIBR27c904.81$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.3560%3 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.24per pick36cpaid+68.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5206…0f4cbacked MIBR26c883.32$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.1626535.5%94 W · 171 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Liquid73c850.98$618 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.5429855%164 W · 134 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x928e…d701backed Liquid75c840$630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2104852.1%25 W · 23 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-12.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked MIBR16c821.12$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.122,32655.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L+44.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-9.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb06c…6961backed MIBR25c800$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.4wins-0.34per pick48cpaid-81.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4b9b…7e7cbacked MIBR27c771.43$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21221042.9%90 W · 120 L-12.2wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-23.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked MIBR26c712.9$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.351,14449.4%565 W · 579 L+16.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ffc…8967backed Liquid73c700$511 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1899734%33 W · 64 L+0.2wins0.00per pick34cpaid-10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2478…2e62backed Liquid72c700$504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1964100%4 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+81.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdab0…2fe9backed Liquid73c684.93$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.933865.8%25 W · 13 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb40f…a5b1backed MIBR27c677.78$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+41.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x064a…9c2fbacked Liquid74c640.81$473 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.613357.6%19 W · 14 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-10.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9a3f…914abacked Liquid79c601$474 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.58964%57 W · 32 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick61cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1bfe…ab8dbacked MIBR28c600$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1681770.6%12 W · 5 L+3.7wins+0.22per pick49cpaid+40.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x66ba…621fbacked MIBR27c598.56$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.419043.7%83 W · 107 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ada…43b0backed Liquid76c575$438 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.257455.4%41 W · 33 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f26…c83bbacked MIBR11c561$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.9320936.4%76 W · 133 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc3fc…5176backed MIBR27c551.85$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14912545.6%57 W · 68 L-6.2wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-7.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4ef8…8712backed MIBR28c535.71$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1505347.2%25 W · 28 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb70c…41d5backed MIBR28c500$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14034235.4%121 W · 221 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed MIBR27c499.99$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1355,83037.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L+79.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed Liquid72c499.98$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.9928351.9%147 W · 136 L+8.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1464…5e75backed Liquid73c400$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10821846.8%102 W · 116 L-9.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7b33…9b98backed MIBR28c361.78$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008050%40 W · 40 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8389…db1bbacked MIBR28c357.36$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.067636.8%28 W · 48 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-15.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x12ff…0852backed MIBR28c357.14$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020445.6%93 W · 111 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x07fa…f5cdbacked MIBR28c357.14$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004736.2%17 W · 30 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-21.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5134…90f6backed MIBR29c355.17$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1033641.7%15 W · 21 L-3.2wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-19.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8f69…7df1backed Liquid71c350$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10075450.5%381 W · 373 L+17.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xecde…1025backed MIBR27c324.3$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.5610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b1c…2a3ebacked MIBR23c316.52$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.818443.5%80 W · 104 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6dc0…699abacked MIBR24c300$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$721,18122.5%266 W · 915 L+3.6wins0.00per pick22cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc651…15d3backed MIBR28c292.86$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8210635.8%38 W · 68 L-8.3wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-17.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x74ef…1ac6backed Liquid73c273.97$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.9726360.8%160 W · 103 L-13.4wins-0.05per pick66cpaid-9.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x718a…5d86backed Liquid74c271$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.461668.8%11 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick72cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e64…7308backed Liquid74c270.27$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.279251.1%47 W · 45 L-5.3wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-5.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa35b…60e9backed MIBR11c252.83$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.4255043.1%237 W · 313 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x97ae…82bdbacked MIBR10c250$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2516033.8%54 W · 106 L+0.3wins0.00per pick34cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d5c…aad0backed Liquid73c205.48$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.483661.1%22 W · 14 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7253…89edbacked Liquid72c200$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5615449.4%76 W · 78 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x40ac…ee4bbacked Liquid74c200$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$521172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.10per pick62cpaid+11.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcae7…e1b7backed MIBR28c200$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$565940.7%24 W · 35 L-5.3wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-26.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd92d…e560backed Liquid73c200$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5458651%299 W · 287 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb80d…0ac1backed MIBR28c200$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$566546.2%30 W · 35 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x94f1…b9e7backed MIBR16c198.58$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.9734848.3%168 W · 180 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-12.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbf69…4fa2backed MIBR31c196.05$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6031731.9%101 W · 216 L-13.4wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-16.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x101c…7df8backed MIBR15c195.24$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307842.3%33 W · 45 L-4.3wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-10.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed MIBR28c187$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.497534.7%26 W · 49 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-16.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdff0…f573backed MIBR28c178.8$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5034146.6%159 W · 182 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1c87…1ea1backed MIBR14c178.57$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe5c0…3cd3backed Liquid72c170$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.622560.4%136 W · 89 L+8.1wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbff4…eaf3backed MIBR27c165$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.5511428.1%32 W · 82 L-9.7wins-0.09per pick37cpaid-41.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed MIBR7c150$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.51,57929.7%469 W · 1,110 L-86.9wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-39.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xee8b…1610backed MIBR24c143.48$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$355843.1%25 W · 33 L-5.1wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-24.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe283…7190backed MIBR14c142.86$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2096545.7%441 W · 524 L+10.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x086c…d02abacked MIBR28c142.86$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402245.5%10 W · 12 L-2.4wins-0.11per pick56cpaid-24.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd767…7cd8backed MIBR11c138.1$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0b17…2aa5backed Liquid73c136.99$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.9915453.2%82 W · 72 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x04c1…3b09backed Liquid73c136.99$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.99742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-35.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d73…044bbacked MIBR29c131.27$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.0715441.6%64 W · 90 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ba9…ffdbbacked MIBR27c130$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.1425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-63.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0969…b289backed MIBR27c120$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.419247.9%92 W · 100 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe761…cdb1backed Liquid72c115.62$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.247958.2%46 W · 33 L+4.9wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+7.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf051…a54cbacked MIBR27c108.07$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.183850%19 W · 19 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.