CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs Liquid - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x75ba32c859ddf1a816dfdacf70c14571f22a81089aef697f02bed6c9ca90422e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Liquidof MIBR, Liquid
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $75,773
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $71,070
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $75,773 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x629c…6c01backed MIBR | 13c | 18,230$2,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,279.87 | 64 | 32.8%21 W · 43 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +16%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed MIBR | 22c | 7,017$1,513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,513.4 | 818 | 43.2%353 W · 465 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed MIBR | 21c | 5,984$1,245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,244.91 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed MIBR | 20c | 5,579$1,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,089.97 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked MIBR | 12c | 5,000$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$587.58 | 1,611 | 45.4%731 W · 880 L | +30.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ad…be8cbacked MIBR | 34c | 4,181$1,418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,418.16 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +5.3wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3103…d804backed MIBR | 36c | 3,200$1,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,139.9 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39aa…583cbacked MIBR | 30c | 2,982$897 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$897.39 | 141 | 42.6%60 W · 81 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52ec…a6f3backed Liquid | 75c | 2,564$1,917 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$646.64 | 469 | 49.7%233 W · 236 L | -14.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6df6…8458backed MIBR | 7c | 2,171$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.94 | 324 | 25.3%82 W · 242 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…2112backed MIBR | 12c | 1,880$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.06 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…61bcbacked Liquid | 74c | 1,500$1,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390 | 142 | 39.4%56 W · 86 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d54…9277backed MIBR | 45c | 1,222$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdab0…2fe9backed Liquid | 74c | 660.64$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.77 | 38 | 65.8%25 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c16…8bfabacked MIBR | 23c | 500$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 121 | 53.7%65 W · 56 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd92d…e560backed Liquid | 70c | 499.99$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 586 | 51%299 W · 287 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cf1…5c57backed MIBR | 26c | 453.85$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -4.3wins | -0.17per pick | 45cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed Liquid | 71c | 415$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.35 | 754 | 50.5%381 W · 373 L | +17.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04bd…39a0backed MIBR | 24c | 385.76$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.12 | 90 | 37.8%34 W · 56 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ad…683fbacked Liquid | 72c | 347.22$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.22 | 355 | 50.1%178 W · 177 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cab…a8cfbacked Liquid | 76c | 340.06$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.95 | 250 | 70.8%177 W · 73 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15ff…62ccbacked MIBR | 30c | 338.6$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60b6…eb2bbacked MIBR | 34c | 295.24$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.38 | 264 | 38.6%102 W · 162 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Liquid | 74c | 275$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.5 | 589 | 61.3%361 W · 228 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa60…556cbacked MIBR | 58c | 274.88$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 323 | 52%168 W · 155 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked MIBR | 37c | 220.02$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.68 | 1,256 | 46.7%587 W · 669 L | +17.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96d6…0c2abacked MIBR | 16c | 218.75$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 110 | 32.7%36 W · 74 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60c1…e1c8backed MIBR | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4047…7293backed MIBR | 28c | 183.75$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.03 | 458 | 48.5%222 W · 236 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54fa…363cbacked MIBR | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e08…3d14backed MIBR | 62c | 149$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.38 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -3.8wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Liquid | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 218 | 46.8%102 W · 116 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b42…ae6ebacked Liquid | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.5 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa019…c220backed MIBR | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 214 | 37.9%81 W · 133 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1182…b6bbbacked MIBR | 32c | 88.38$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.42 | 123 | 51.2%63 W · 60 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e4d…d116backed MIBR | 35c | 85.71$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0969…b289backed MIBR | 35c | 75$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 192 | 47.9%92 W · 100 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01d3…9444backed MIBR | 27c | 47.52$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba8e…8e0dbacked Liquid | 74c | 45.59$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.69 | 503 | 58.6%295 W · 208 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3036…15c2backed MIBR | 24c | 43.29$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 88 | 47.7%42 W · 46 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d40…0c0ebacked Liquid | 73c | 42.08$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.36 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.23per pick | 57cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…01a4backed Liquid | 65c | 37.88$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.24 | 184 | 47.8%88 W · 96 L | -11.9wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaa59…aacabacked Liquid | 53c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd9e…79e4backed Liquid | 56c | 25.11$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.11 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x73f9…0732backed Liquid | 76c | 22.73$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.36 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: MIBR vs Liquid - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: MIBR vs Liquid (BO3)Liquid won
- Counter-Strike: MIBR vs Liquid - Map 1 WinnerLiquid won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.