CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs Liquid - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfc1e7abac07d384437f6b63ee953a200f14c902e5c750c4b7c0ebd380e1603c3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Liquidof MIBR, Liquid
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,065
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,413
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,065 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7a78…add7backed MIBR | 14c | 3,560$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.31 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629c…6c01backed MIBR | 5c | 1,920$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.01 | 64 | 32.8%21 W · 43 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +16%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked MIBR | 33c | 1,170$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.1 | 1,611 | 45.4%731 W · 880 L | +30.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Liquid | 68c | 1,103$755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.48 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x644b…2145backed MIBR | 19c | 972$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.18 | 157 | 49%77 W · 80 L | +11.4wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc483…8ac8backed MIBR | 18c | 400$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.5 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -5.2wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdab0…2fe9backed Liquid | 76c | 394.74$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.74 | 38 | 65.8%25 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd3…4191backed MIBR | 4c | 345.01$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked MIBR | 7c | 269.21$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.92 | 1,181 | 22.5%266 W · 915 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b0…4f5cbacked MIBR | 20c | 242.8$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.06 | 87 | 36.8%32 W · 55 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72c4…cfedbacked MIBR | 23c | 219.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed MIBR | 7c | 161.61$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.87 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd397…5052backed Liquid | 65c | 157.94$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.28 | 134 | 61.9%83 W · 51 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09ac…acdcbacked MIBR | 10c | 125.6$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.56 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +2.7wins | +0.13per pick | 35cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e6…53b2backed MIBR | 33c | 90.91$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc671…b0c7backed MIBR | 25c | 60.71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 148 | 48%71 W · 77 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x476b…8a58backed Liquid | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 420 | 57.1%240 W · 180 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: MIBR vs Liquid - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: MIBR vs Liquid (BO3)Liquid won
- Counter-Strike: MIBR vs Liquid - Map 2 WinnerLiquid won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.