NHL · resolved market
Flyers vs. Canucks: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7d80d75caf537e06ef707d46bb2b043a711e5725fe55c99348d9c98432ec4a5b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,040
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,753
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,040 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under | 51c | 5,941$3,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,029.81 | 895 | 47%421 W · 474 L | -18.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef23…5b60backed Over | 50c | 3,679$1,839 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,839.39 | 642 | 42.2%271 W · 371 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Under | 50c | 3,654$1,827 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,827.02 | 332 | 43.7%145 W · 187 L | -16.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Over | 49c | 2,041$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040.82 | 119 | 53.8%64 W · 55 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 49c | 1,971$966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,004.69 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 50c | 1,850$925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$925 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa39a…1246backed Over | 50c | 1,550$775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$775 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Under | 51c | 1,471$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 437 | 43%188 W · 249 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Over | 49c | 1,200$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 48c | 678.47$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.19 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf819…d410backed Over | 50c | 604.92$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.92 | 209 | 51.7%108 W · 101 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Under | 51c | 537$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.74 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76ed…fa48backed Over | 49c | 536$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.36 | 60 | 65%39 W · 21 L | +7.8wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +99.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Under | 50c | 444$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222 | 495 | 46.5%230 W · 265 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Under | 50c | 406.86$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.36 | 1,143 | 50.8%581 W · 562 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d9…76dbbacked Over | 50c | 401.22$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.22 | 485 | 52.2%253 W · 232 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Over | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 384 | 45.8%176 W · 208 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…66f0backed Over | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 108 | 50.9%55 W · 53 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Under | 50c | 340$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa1a…d9abbacked Under | 52c | 307.69$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 63 | 63.5%40 W · 23 L | +9.2wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked Under | 51c | 250$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.5 | 480 | 46.9%225 W · 255 L | -13.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c3…0e32backed Under | 46c | 218.3$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2060…9186backed Over | 50c | 200.96$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.48 | 308 | 55.5%171 W · 137 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed Over | 46c | 195.53$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.04 | 139 | 41.7%58 W · 81 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Under | 48c | 195$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 624 | 47.3%295 W · 329 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Over | 54c | 183.27$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.22 | 210 | 40.5%85 W · 125 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Under | 55c | 180$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 1,024 | 48.4%496 W · 528 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc880…a622backed Under | 51c | 171$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.21 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Under | 50c | 150$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 599 | 50.4%302 W · 297 L | +20.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1436…e23dbacked Under | 51c | 136$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.36 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b7…60a4backed Under | 52c | 124.47$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.72 | 137 | 47.4%65 W · 72 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58bc…eac2backed Under | 51c | 111$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 50c | 92.22$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.57 | 1,530 | 51.7%791 W · 739 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed Over | 60c | 82.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.78 | 104 | 38.5%40 W · 64 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fed…0d78backed Under | 51c | 82$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.82 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -5.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x844d…3059backed Over | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3de5…c157backed Over | 50c | 75.16$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +98%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc840…0650backed Under | 51c | 75$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.25 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -4.5wins | -0.25per pick | 53cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 48c | 72.26$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.41 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d84…6df0backed Over | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfff1…cc16backed Over | 50c | 58$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5351…a045backed Under | 51c | 55$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.05 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.22per pick | 56cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9134…ee18backed Over | 50c | 53$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea6a…3ee2backed Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 524 | 51%267 W · 257 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda54…dcaabacked Over | 49c | 48$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.48 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56d2…e5f5backed Over | 49c | 43$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.93 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bec…6997backed Under | 51c | 41$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.91 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +3.7wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x333b…9cf7backed Over | 49c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +46.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50c1…6c6cbacked Under | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 137 | 43.1%59 W · 78 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd595…7893backed Over | 49c | 39$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.89 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe11a…d47ebacked Over | 49c | 32$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.32 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +4.7wins | +0.22per pick | 49cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3cce…ebfebacked Over | 49c | 32$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.32 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd43a…f530backed Over | 49c | 31$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.81 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9d28…7a6dbacked Under | 50c | 30.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.07 | 352 | 48%169 W · 183 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f96…92e0backed Over | 49c | 29$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.79 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd1…0100backed Over | 49c | 28$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.28 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a88…2bffbacked Under | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 90 | 45.6%41 W · 49 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3da1…c13bbacked Under | 50c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 366 | 48.9%179 W · 187 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Under | 51c | 23.44$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.97 | 490 | 45.3%222 W · 268 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…042fbacked Over | 49c | 23$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.73 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf06a…cfdabacked Over | 49c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.22 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.23per pick | 59cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed0…b051backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Flyers vs. Canucks: O/U 5.5this page
- Flyers vs. CanucksFlyers won
- Spread: Flyers (-1.5)Flyers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.